Is Pinal County in a drought?
D3 Extreme drought
Yes. 90.7% of Pinal County is in drought on the Drought Monitor map of Sep 15, 2026, the worst of it extreme drought (D3) across 3.3% of the county. That is worse than a week earlier, when the worst was severe drought. It has been in drought since the week of Aug 8, 2023.
Map valid Sep 15, 2026, released Thursday, Sep 17, 2026. The next map is due Thursday, Sep 24, 2026. Statewide, 77.2% of Arizona is in drought.
This week’s map
The Drought Monitor for Arizona, valid Sep 15, 2026. County lines are drawn in; the categories are the same as the national map.

- D0 Abnormally dry
- D1 Moderate drought
- D2 Severe drought
- D3 Extreme drought
- D4 Exceptional drought
Open the live map with the Drought Monitor
Map courtesy of the US Drought Monitor, NDMC-UNL, with USDA and NOAA. Original at droughtmonitor.unl.edu
This week's map, by category
Percent of Pinal County in each category or worse, the Drought Monitor's own way of counting. In exactly one category this week: D0 9.3%, D1 64.6%, D2 22.8%, D3 3.3%, D4 0%; none 0%.
| Category | This weekSep 15 | Last weekSep 8 | 3 months agoJun 16 | A year agoSep 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D0 to D4 Abnormally dry or worse | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| D1 to D4 Moderate or worse | 90.7% | 90.7% | 100% | 100% |
| D2 to D4 Severe or worse | 26% | 25.8% | 85.8% | 100% |
| D3 to D4 Extreme or worse | 3.3% | 0% | 0% | 62.6% |
| D4 Exceptional drought | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| None | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
The past year
Percent of Pinal County in each category, week by week. Each color includes the worse categories drawn over it.
- D0 Abnormally dry
- D1 Moderate drought
- D2 Severe drought
- D3 Extreme drought
- D4 Exceptional drought
Every week in the chart
| Map | D0+ | D1+ | D2+ | D3+ | D4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2026 | 100% | 90.7% | 26% | 3.3% | 0% |
| Sep 8, 2026 | 100% | 90.7% | 25.8% | 0% | 0% |
| Sep 1, 2026 | 100% | 90.7% | 25.8% | 0% | 0% |
| Aug 25, 2026 | 100% | 90.7% | 25.8% | 0% | 0% |
| Aug 18, 2026 | 100% | 91.6% | 45% | 0% | 0% |
| Aug 11, 2026 | 100% | 91.6% | 45% | 0% | 0% |
| Aug 4, 2026 | 100% | 91.6% | 45% | 0% | 0% |
| Jul 28, 2026 | 100% | 91.6% | 45% | 0% | 0% |
| Jul 21, 2026 | 100% | 100% | 85.8% | 0% | 0% |
| Jul 14, 2026 | 100% | 100% | 85.8% | 0% | 0% |
| Jul 7, 2026 | 100% | 100% | 85.8% | 0% | 0% |
| Jun 30, 2026 | 100% | 100% | 85.8% | 0% | 0% |
| Jun 23, 2026 | 100% | 100% | 85.8% | 0% | 0% |
| Jun 16, 2026 | 100% | 100% | 85.8% | 0% | 0% |
| Jun 9, 2026 | 100% | 100% | 85.8% | 0% | 0% |
| Jun 2, 2026 | 100% | 100% | 85.8% | 0% | 0% |
| May 26, 2026 | 100% | 100% | 85.8% | 0% | 0% |
| May 19, 2026 | 100% | 100% | 85.8% | 0% | 0% |
| May 12, 2026 | 100% | 100% | 85.8% | 0% | 0% |
| May 5, 2026 | 100% | 100% | 96% | 0% | 0% |
| Apr 28, 2026 | 100% | 100% | 73.9% | 0% | 0% |
| Apr 21, 2026 | 100% | 100% | 73.9% | 0% | 0% |
| Apr 14, 2026 | 100% | 100% | 38.8% | 0% | 0% |
| Apr 7, 2026 | 100% | 71.4% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Mar 31, 2026 | 100% | 71.4% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 100% | 52% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 100% | 52% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 83.9% | 0.6% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 83.9% | 0.6% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Feb 24, 2026 | 83.9% | 0.6% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Feb 17, 2026 | 83.7% | 0.6% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Feb 10, 2026 | 83.7% | 0.6% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 83.7% | 0.6% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 83.7% | 0.6% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 83.3% | 0.6% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 83.3% | 0.6% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 90.5% | 43.6% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 92.3% | 79.1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 92.3% | 79.1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 92.3% | 79.1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 92.3% | 79.1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 92.3% | 79.1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Nov 25, 2025 | 92.3% | 79.1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 97.3% | 92.2% | 78.4% | 0% | 0% |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 97.3% | 92.2% | 78.4% | 0% | 0% |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 97.3% | 92.4% | 78.4% | 0% | 0% |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 97.2% | 92.4% | 78.4% | 0% | 0% |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 97.3% | 92.3% | 78.4% | 0% | 0% |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 97.3% | 92.8% | 78.4% | 0% | 0% |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 100% | 100% | 92.4% | 43.5% | 0% |
| Sep 30, 2025 | 100% | 100% | 92.4% | 43.5% | 0% |
| Sep 23, 2025 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 57.4% | 0% |
| Sep 16, 2025 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 62.6% | 0% |
Since 2000
Every weekly map of Pinal County since January 2000.
- D0 Abnormally dry
- D1 Moderate drought
- D2 Severe drought
- D3 Extreme drought
- D4 Exceptional drought
Year by year
| Year | Worst category | Most in drought | Week of | Weeks with drought |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | D3 Extreme drought | 100% | Apr 14 | 37 of 37 |
| 2025 | D4 Exceptional drought | 100% | Jan 7 | 52 of 52 |
| 2024 | D2 Severe drought | 100% | Dec 31 | 53 of 53 |
| 2023 | D3 Extreme drought | 100% | Oct 24 | 21 of 52 |
| 2022 | D2 Severe drought | 100% | Apr 26 | 33 of 52 |
| 2021 | D4 Exceptional drought | 100% | Jan 5 | 51 of 52 |
| 2020 | D4 Exceptional drought | 100% | Jul 28 | 24 of 52 |
| 2019 | D2 Severe drought | 100% | Sep 17 | 14 of 53 |
| 2018 | D4 Exceptional drought | 100% | Jan 2 | 52 of 52 |
| 2017 | D1 Moderate drought | 100% | Nov 28 | 52 of 52 |
| 2016 | D2 Severe drought | 100% | Apr 5 | 52 of 52 |
| 2015 | D3 Extreme drought | 100% | Jan 6 | 52 of 52 |
| 2014 | D3 Extreme drought | 100% | Jan 28 | 52 of 52 |
| 2013 | D3 Extreme drought | 100% | Jan 1 | 53 of 53 |
| 2012 | D3 Extreme drought | 100% | Jan 3 | 52 of 52 |
| 2011 | D3 Extreme drought | 100% | Apr 26 | 52 of 52 |
| 2010 | D2 Severe drought | 100% | Jan 5 | 12 of 52 |
| 2009 | D2 Severe drought | 100% | Aug 25 | 25 of 52 |
| 2008 | D2 Severe drought | 50.2% | Jan 1 | 8 of 53 |
| 2007 | D3 Extreme drought | 100% | Mar 13 | 52 of 52 |
| 2006 | D3 Extreme drought | 100% | Jan 10 | 52 of 52 |
| 2005 | D2 Severe drought | 82.4% | Jan 4 | 26 of 52 |
| 2004 | D3 Extreme drought | 100% | Jan 20 | 52 of 52 |
| 2003 | D3 Extreme drought | 100% | Jan 7 | 52 of 52 |
| 2002 | D3 Extreme drought | 100% | Mar 12 | 43 of 53 |
| 2001 | None | 0% | 0 of 52 | |
| 2000 | D1 Moderate drought | 100% | Feb 15 | 15 of 52 |
Drought history since 2000
Some part of Pinal County was in drought on 75% of the weekly maps since Jan 4, 2000, and exceptional drought (D4) last reached the county the week of Apr 29, 2025.
- Weeks with some drought
- 1,039 of 1,394 (75%)
- Worst category reached
- D4 Exceptional drought, last the week of Apr 29, 2025
- Most widespread
- 100% in drought, week of May 5, 2026
- Longest spell
- 421 weeks, Dec 14, 2010 to Jan 1, 2019
- Current spell
- 163 weeks, since Aug 8, 2023
Outlook
The Climate Prediction Center's drought outlooks at the center of Pinal County: whether drought is expected to develop, persist, improve or end.
- Monthly outlook, Sep 2026
- Drought removal likely
- Seasonal outlook, through December 31 (issued Sep 17)
- Drought removal likely
The monthly outlook is issued on the last day of each month, the seasonal one on the third Thursday. CPC's discussion.
What drought has meant in Arizona
The National Drought Mitigation Center's examples of impacts observed in Arizona at each level of drought, starting with this week's worst here.
D3 Extreme drought This week
- Fire preparedness increases; fire restrictions are implemented early
- Livestock do not have adequate water; runoff is short; conditions are dusty
- Native plants are stressed
- Ranching operations are affected
- Skiing tourism is low; snowpack is extremely low
- Wildlife encroach on developed areas in search of food and water
D0 Abnormally dry
- Fire risk increases
- Forage is limited; soil is dry
D1 Moderate drought
- Plants are stressed; hillsides are unusually brown
- Stock ponds and creeks are nearly dry; some springs are dry
D2 Severe drought
- Fire danger is high; fire crews are mobilizing
- Little forage remains for wildlife; pine trees are losing needles
- Water and feed are inadequate for livestock
D4 Exceptional drought
- Fire restrictions increase; large fires occur year-round
- Lakes, ponds, and streams are dry
- Vegetation green-up is poor; native plants are dying
Drawn from the Drought Impact Reporter and local observers.
Burn bans and water restrictions
The Drought Monitor does not issue burn bans or water restrictions. Pinal County's officials, the state forestry or fire agency, and local water utilities set them, often once drought reaches D2 or dry fuels raise the fire danger. Check the county's emergency management office or fire marshal for a ban in force, and the alerts page for red flag warnings and fire weather watches.
This week in the West
The Drought Monitor authors' narrative for the map of Sep 15, 2026, released Sep 17, 2026.
An area from southwestern Oregon to central Washington into northern Idaho and Montana received some welcome rainfall during the week. The rain resulted in regional improvements in drought conditions. One location that just missed out was in northwest Washington on the Canadian border, resulting in a drought degradation, where continued low streamflows were observed. There were also areas on the California-Nevada border and central Arizona with drought degradation that also received little-to-no rainfall. Extreme drought is shown over much of central Oregon, central Utah, southern Idaho down into northern Nevada, and small areas in northern Washington and southern Arizona. Exceptional drought continues in southern Idaho, northern Nevada, and northeastern Oregon.
Looking ahead
Over the next five days leading up to next Tuesday, above normal rainfall is forecast in south Florida as well as a large area in southern Wisconsin and Minnesota into eastern Iowa and northern Illinois. The latter area of forecasted rainfall continues to the east through central Michigan, the southern Great Lakes, Pennsylvania, New York, and much of central and southern New England. Other locations with rainfall in the forecast this week are in the Appalachian Mountains, the western Great Plains, and the Four Corners states. Unfortunately, most of Texas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama are forecast to receive little rainfall. Dry conditions are also forecast in California, Nevada, and Washington. Much above normal temperatures are forecast to continue this week in the central and southern U.S.
The 6- to 10-day outlook (September 22-26, 2026) favors above normal temperatures continuing over nearly all of the continental United States. Areas most likely to be above normal are again the south into the southeast, plus the far north. Hawaii is also likely to be above normal. For precipitation, the Eastern Seaboard is likely to have above normal rainfall as is the Southwest. The central U.S. into the upper Midwest is likely to have below normal rainfall. Hawaii and Alaska are both likely to have above normal rain during this period.
Written by Lindsay Johnson, National Drought Mitigation Center; David Mocko, SSAI, NASA/GSFC. The national narrative.
What this means
The five categories the Drought Monitor draws, and how the map is made.
- D0 Abnormally dry
- Going into or coming out of drought.
- D1 Moderate drought
- Some damage to crops and pastures; water shortages developing.
- D2 Severe drought
- Crop or pasture losses likely; water restrictions imposed.
- D3 Extreme drought
- Major crop and pasture losses; widespread water shortages.
- D4 Exceptional drought
- Exceptional and widespread losses; water emergencies.
The US Drought Monitor is drawn every week by authors at the National Drought Mitigation Center, USDA and NOAA, who weigh rainfall, soil moisture, streamflow, groundwater, vegetation health and reports from local observers. Each map shows conditions through Tuesday morning and is released on Thursday. It shows where drought is and how bad it is; it does not forecast it. CPC's outlooks do that.
Nearby
The counties bordering Pinal County, with the worst category on this week's map.
Sources
Statistics and narrative from the US Drought Monitor, courtesy of the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, with USDA and NOAA. Outlooks from the NOAA Climate Prediction Center. Impacts from NDMC's State Impacts tool.