Alert archive / New York / Extreme Cold Warnings in 2026

Extreme Cold Warning 2, NWS Buffalo, NY

January 29, 2026Jefferson County, Lewis County, New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this extreme cold warning at Jan 29, 2026, 12:41 PM EST for Jefferson County, Lewis County, New York. It took effect at Jan 29, 2026, 7:00 PM EST. It was in force for 18 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 29, 2026, 12:41 PM EST (17:41 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 29, 2026, 7:00 PM EST
Expired
Jan 30, 2026, 1:00 PM EST
In force
18 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

Counties Jefferson County, NY, Lewis County, NY

The radar

The Ft Drum radar (KTYX), 16 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 5.7 hours before the alert went out and 205 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2026-01-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2026-01-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 86 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1039 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
86 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
119 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

300 
WWUS71 KBUF 291741
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1241 PM EST Thu Jan 29 2026

NYZ007-008-301500-
/O.UPG.KBUF.CW.Y.0004.260130T0000Z-260130T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.EC.W.0002.260130T0000Z-260130T1800Z/
Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Watertown and Lowville
1241 PM EST Thu Jan 29 2026

...EXTREME COLD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST 
FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Dangerously cold wind chills as low as 35 below zero 
  expected.

* WHERE...Jefferson and Lewis Counties.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Dangerously cold wind chills as low as 35 below zero 
  will cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 15 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This is a potentially dangerous situation to be outdoors. If you 
must be outside, be sure to cover all exposed skin. Frostbite can 
occur in 15 minutes or less with apparent temperatures of 25 below 
zero or colder.

&&

$$

NYZ001>006-010>014-019>021-085-301500-
/O.CON.KBUF.CW.Y.0004.260130T0000Z-260130T1500Z/
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Northern Erie-
Genesee-Wyoming-Livingston-Ontario-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-
Allegany-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Rochester, Newark,
Fair Haven, Oswego, Buffalo, Batavia, Warsaw, Geneseo,
Canandaigua, Jamestown, Olean, Wellsville, Orchard Park, and
Springville
1241 PM EST Thu Jan 29 2026

...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 
10 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Bitterly cold wind chills as low as 24 below zero expected.

* WHERE...Erie, Niagara, Orleans, Monroe, Wayne, Northern Cayuga, 
  Oswego, Genesee, Wyoming, Livingston, Ontario, Chautauqua, 
  Cattaraugus, and Allegany Counties.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 10 AM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Bitterly cold wind chills as low as 24 below zero will 
  cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes. 
  Frostbite and hypothermia will occur if unprotected skin is 
  exposed to these temperatures.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This is a potentially hazardous situation to be outdoors. If you 
must be outside, be sure to cover all exposed skin. Frostbite can 
occur in 30 minutes or less with apparent temperatures of 15 below 
zero or colder.

&&

$$

HSK
3 follow-up statements
555 
WWUS71 KBUF 301500
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1000 AM EST Fri Jan 30 2026

NYZ019>021-301800-
/O.EXP.KBUF.CW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-260130T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.CW.Y.0005.260130T1500Z-260130T1800Z/
Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Allegany-
Including the cities of Jamestown, Olean, and Wellsville
1000 AM EST Fri Jan 30 2026

...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

* WHAT...Bitterly cold wind chills as low as 20 below zero.

* WHERE...The western Southern Tier.

* WHEN....

* IMPACTS...Bitterly cold wind chills as low as 20 below zero will 
  cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes. 
  Frostbite and hypothermia will occur if unprotected skin is 
  exposed to these temperatures.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This is a potentially hazardous situation to be outdoors. If you 
must be outside, be sure to cover all exposed skin. Frostbite can 
occur in 30 minutes or less with apparent temperatures of 15 below 
zero or colder.

&&

$$

NYZ001>006-010>014-085-301600-
/O.EXP.KBUF.CW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-260130T1500Z/
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Northern Erie-
Genesee-Wyoming-Livingston-Ontario-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Rochester, Newark,
Fair Haven, Oswego, Buffalo, Batavia, Warsaw, Geneseo,
Canandaigua, Orchard Park, and Springville
1000 AM EST Fri Jan 30 2026

...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

$$

NYZ007-008-301800-
/O.CON.KBUF.EC.W.0002.000000T0000Z-260130T1800Z/
Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Watertown and Lowville
1000 AM EST Fri Jan 30 2026

...EXTREME COLD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS 
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Dangerously cold wind chills as low as 25 below zero.

* WHERE...Jefferson and Lewis Counties.

* WHEN...Until 1 PM EST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Dangerously cold wind chills as low as 25 below zero 
  will cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This is a potentially dangerous situation to be outdoors. If you 
must be outside, be sure to cover all exposed skin. Frostbite can 
occur in 15 minutes or less with apparent temperatures of 25 below 
zero or colder.

&&

$$

AR
036 
WWUS71 KBUF 301511
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1011 AM EST Fri Jan 30 2026

NYZ007-008-301800-
/O.CON.KBUF.EC.W.0002.000000T0000Z-260130T1800Z/
Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Watertown and Lowville
1011 AM EST Fri Jan 30 2026

...EXTREME COLD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS 
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Dangerously cold wind chills as low as 25 below zero.

* WHERE...Jefferson and Lewis Counties.

* WHEN...Until 1 PM EST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Dangerously cold wind chills as low as 25 below zero 
  will cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This is a potentially dangerous situation to be outdoors. If you 
must be outside, be sure to cover all exposed skin. Frostbite can 
occur in 15 minutes or less with apparent temperatures of 25 below 
zero or colder.

&&

$$

NYZ019>021-301800-
/O.CON.KBUF.CW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-260130T1800Z/
Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Allegany-
Including the cities of Jamestown, Olean, and Wellsville
1011 AM EST Fri Jan 30 2026

...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS 
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Bitterly cold wind chills as low as 20 below zero.

* WHERE...The western Southern Tier.

* WHEN...Until 1 PM EST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Bitterly cold wind chills as low as 20 below zero will 
  cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes. 
  Frostbite and hypothermia will occur if unprotected skin is 
  exposed to these temperatures.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This is a potentially hazardous situation to be outdoors. If you 
must be outside, be sure to cover all exposed skin. Frostbite can 
occur in 30 minutes or less with apparent temperatures of 15 below 
zero or colder.

&&

$$

AR
476 
WWUS71 KBUF 301733
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1233 PM EST Fri Jan 30 2026

NYZ008-310545-
/O.EXP.KBUF.EC.W.0002.000000T0000Z-260130T1800Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.CW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-260131T1600Z/
Lewis-
Including the cities of Lowville
1233 PM EST Fri Jan 30 2026

...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST SATURDAY...
...EXTREME COLD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Bitterly cold wind chills as low as 25 below zero.

* WHERE...Lewis County.

* WHEN...Until 11 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Bitterly cold wind chills as low as 25 below zero will 
  cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes. 
  Frostbite and hypothermia will occur if unprotected skin is 
  exposed to these temperatures.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This is a potentially hazardous situation to be outdoors. If you 
must be outside, be sure to cover all exposed skin. Frostbite can 
occur in 30 minutes or less with apparent temperatures of 15 below 
zero or colder.

&&

$$

NYZ007-301845-
/O.EXP.KBUF.EC.W.0002.000000T0000Z-260130T1800Z/
Jefferson-
Including the cities of Watertown
1233 PM EST Fri Jan 30 2026

...EXTREME COLD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

Apparent temperatures have climbed to levels where dangerously cold 
wind chills are no longer expected, therefore the Extreme Cold 
Warning will be allowed to expire.

$$

NYZ019>021-310545-
/O.EXT.KBUF.CW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-260131T1600Z/
Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Allegany-
Including the cities of Jamestown, Olean, and Wellsville
1233 PM EST Fri Jan 30 2026

...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Bitterly cold wind chills as low as 15 below zero.

* WHERE...The western Southern Tier.

* WHEN...Until 11 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Bitterly cold wind chills as low as 15 below zero will 
  cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes. 
  Frostbite and hypothermia will occur if unprotected skin is 
  exposed to these temperatures.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This is a potentially hazardous situation to be outdoors. If you 
must be outside, be sure to cover all exposed skin. Frostbite can 
occur in 30 minutes or less with apparent temperatures of 15 below 
zero or colder.

Use caution while traveling outside. Wear appropriate clothing, a 
hat, and gloves.

&&

$$

AR

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 29, 1:03 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryBUFCayuga, Erie, Genesee, Monroe, Niagara, Orleans and 2 more57 hr
Jan 29, 1:08 AM ESTCold Weather AdvisoryBUFAllegany, Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chautauqua, Erie, Genesee and 10 more33 hr

Nearby

Extreme Cold Warnings in New York, 2026Every extreme cold warning in 2026

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.