Alert archive / Michigan / Flash Flood Warnings in 2026

Flash Flood Warning 21, NWS Gaylord, MI

July 27, 2026Crawford County, Kalkaska County, Michigan

NWS Gaylord, MI issued this flash flood warning at Jul 27, 2026, 10:20 PM EDT for Crawford County, Kalkaska County, Michigan. It was in force for 115 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 27, 2026, 10:20 PM EDT (02:20 UTC)
Expired
Jul 28, 2026, 12:15 AM EDT
In force
115 min
Issued by
NWS Gaylord, MI
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

Counties Crawford County, MI, Kalkaska County, MI

The radar

The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 26 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:21 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Alpena, MI (KAPX), launched 00:00Z, 2.3 hours before the alert went out and 199 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Alpena, MI at 00:00Z on 2026-07-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1258 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Alpena, MI at 00:00Z on 2026-07-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 49 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1258 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-5 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
903 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
49 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
110 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.5
Supercell composite
3.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

006 
WGUS53 KAPX 280220
FFWAPX
MIC039-079-280415-
/O.NEW.KAPX.FF.W.0021.260728T0220Z-260728T0415Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1020 PM EDT Mon Jul 27 2026

The National Weather Service in Gaylord has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Southwestern Crawford County in northern Michigan...
  Northeastern Kalkaska County in northern Michigan...

* Until 1215 AM EDT.

* At 1020 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing 
  heavy rain across the warned area. Between 2 and 4 inches of rain 
  have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts of 0.5 to 1 inch are 
  possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected 
  to begin shortly.

  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

  SOURCE...Radar.

  IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban
           areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as
           other poor drainage and low-lying areas.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Grayling and Blue Lake Township.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.

Please report observed flooding to local emergency services or law 
enforcement and request they pass this information to the National 
Weather Service when you can do so safely.

&&

LAT...LON 4469 8496 4477 8500 4485 8510 4486 8506
      4485 8485 4478 8483 4475 8476 4470 8475
      4464 8467 4452 8463 4451 8480 4451 8483
      4463 8495

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED

$$

JLD
2 follow-up statements
587 
WGUS73 KAPX 280310
FFSAPX

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1110 PM EDT Mon Jul 27 2026

MIC039-079-280415-
/O.CON.KAPX.FF.W.0021.000000T0000Z-260728T0415Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Crawford MI-Kalkaska MI-
1110 PM EDT Mon Jul 27 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1215 AM EDT TUESDAY 
FOR SOUTHWESTERN CRAWFORD AND NORTHEASTERN KALKASKA COUNTIES...

At 1110 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing 
heavy rain across the warned area. Between 2 and 4 inches of rain 
have fallen. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Radar.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, and roads,
         as well as other poor drainage and low-lying areas.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Grayling and Blue Lake Township.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.

Please report observed flooding to local emergency services or law 
enforcement and request they pass this information to the National 
Weather Service when you can do so safely.

&&

LAT...LON 4486 8504 4485 8485 4478 8483 4475 8476
      4470 8475 4464 8467 4452 8463 4451 8478
      4451 8483 4463 8495 4469 8496 4477 8500
      4485 8510 4486 8506

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED

$$

JLD
527 
WGUS73 KAPX 280414
FFSAPX

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1214 AM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026

MIC039-079-280424-
/O.EXP.KAPX.FF.W.0021.000000T0000Z-260728T0415Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Crawford MI-Kalkaska MI-
1214 AM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 1215 AM EDT EARLY THIS MORNING 
FOR SOUTHWESTERN CRAWFORD AND NORTHEASTERN KALKASKA COUNTIES...

Although the heavy rain has ended, flood prone areas and secondary 
roadways may still have standing water. Please continue to heed 
remaining road closures.

&&

LAT...LON 4469 8496 4477 8500 4485 8510 4486 8506
      4486 8503 4486 8502 4485 8485 4478 8483
      4475 8476 4470 8475 4464 8467 4452 8463
      4451 8476 4451 8483 4463 8495

$$

JLD

The office that day

Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 27, 8:39 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAPXCrawford36 min
Jul 27, 8:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXCrawford, Kalkaska24 min
Jul 27, 9:11 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryAPXAntrim, Charlevoix, Kalkaska3 hr
Jul 27, 9:42 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryAPXAntrim, Crawford, Grand Traverse, Kalkaska52 min
Jul 27, 9:45 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAPXRoscommon45 min
Jul 27, 10:22 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAPXMissaukee38 min
Jul 27, 10:44 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAPXGladwin31 min
Jul 27, 11:02 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryAPXCrawford, Ogemaw, Oscoda, Roscommon3 hr
Jul 27, 11:58 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryAPXArenac, Iosco, Ogemaw2 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Michigan, 2026Every flash flood warning in 2026

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.