Alert archive / Kansas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2024

Mesoscale Discussion 1663

July 16, 20248 counties in Kansas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jul 16, 2024, 7:25 PM CDT for 8 counties in Kansas. It was in force for 95 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 16, 2024, 7:25 PM CDT (00:25 UTC)
Expired
Jul 16, 2024, 9:00 PM CDT
In force
95 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe thunderstorm watch 551

Counties Grant County, KS, Hamilton County, KS, Haskell County, KS, Kearny County, KS, Morton County, KS, Seward County, KS, Stanton County, KS, Stevens County, KS

The radar

The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 142 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 00:00Z, 0.4 hours before the alert went out and 148 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Dodge City, at 00:00Z on 2024-07-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1492 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Dodge City, at 00:00Z on 2024-07-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 2 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1492 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-44 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2224 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
2 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
90 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

333 
ACUS11 KWNS 170026
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 170025 
OKZ000-KSZ000-COZ000-170200-

Mesoscale Discussion 1663
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0725 PM CDT Tue Jul 16 2024

Areas affected...Southwestern Kansas...Oklahoma Panhandle

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 551...

Valid 170025Z - 170200Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 551
continues.

SUMMARY...Damaging wind threat will increase across western Kansas
and the Oklahoma Panhandle over the next few hours.

DISCUSSION...A weak mid-level disturbance appears to have topped the
southern Rockies ridge and is now turning southeast toward the
central High Plains. Over the last hour or so, scattered convection
has grown upscale considerably over southeast CO within a weak
low-level upslope flow regime. Precip shield/cold pool is expanding
with this complex, and current trends suggest a maturing MCS may
become more efficient in generating winds as the leading edge
propagates into southwestern KS. With time this complex is expected
to turn more southeast along the instability axis, but that will be
later this evening.

..Darrow.. 07/17/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...AMA...PUB...

LAT...LON   38500195 38350101 36980074 36780171 37880215 38500195

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 17, 3:49 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Greeley, Hamilton, Sherman, Wallace, Wichita116 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2024Every mesoscale discussion in 2024

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.