Alert archive / North Carolina / Tornado Watches in 2023

Tornado Watch 721

December 10, 202345 counties in North Carolina; 37 counties in Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Dec 10, 2023, 1:31 PM EST for 45 counties in North Carolina; 37 counties in Virginia. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Dec 10, 2023, 1:31 PM EST (18:31 UTC)
Expired
Dec 10, 2023, 9:05 PM EST
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
55 kt
All 82 counties

Beaufort County, NC, Bertie County, NC, Camden County, NC, Carteret County, NC, Chatham County, NC, Chowan County, NC, Craven County, NC, Cumberland County, NC, Currituck County, NC, Dare County, NC, Duplin County, NC, Durham County, NC, Edgecombe County, NC, Franklin County, NC, Gates County, NC, Granville County, NC, Greene County, NC, Halifax County, NC, Harnett County, NC, Hertford County, NC, Hoke County, NC, Hyde County, NC, Johnston County, NC, Jones County, NC, Lee County, NC, Lenoir County, NC, Martin County, NC, Moore County, NC, Nash County, NC, Northampton County, NC, Onslow County, NC, Orange County, NC, Pamlico County, NC, Pasquotank County, NC, Perquimans County, NC, Person County, NC, Pitt County, NC, Sampson County, NC, Tyrrell County, NC, Vance County, NC, Wake County, NC, Warren County, NC, Washington County, NC, Wayne County, NC, Wilson County, NC, Amelia County, VA, Brunswick County, VA, Charles City County, VA, Chesterfield County, VA, City of Chesapeake, VA, City of Colonial Heights, VA, City of Emporia, VA, City of Franklin, VA, City of Hampton, VA, City of Hopewell, VA, City of Newport News, VA, City of Norfolk, VA, City of Petersburg, VA, City of Poquoson, VA, City of Portsmouth, VA, City of Richmond, VA, City of Suffolk, VA, City of Virginia Beach, VA, City of Williamsburg, VA, Dinwiddie County, VA, Gloucester County, VA, Greensville County, VA, Hanover County, VA, Henrico County, VA, Isle of Wight County, VA, James City County, VA, King and Queen County, VA, King William County, VA, Lunenburg County, VA, Mecklenburg County, VA, New Kent County, VA, Nottoway County, VA, Prince George County, VA, Southampton County, VA, Surry County, VA, Sussex County, VA, York County, VA

The radar

The Norfolk radar (KAKQ), 73 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
50%

Warnings issued inside it

6 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 10, 3:08 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHFranklin, Wake52 min
Dec 10, 3:53 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHFranklin, Halifax, Vance, Wake, Warren52 min
Dec 10, 3:57 PM ESTTornado WarningRAHHalifax, Warren33 min
Dec 10, 4:02 PM ESTTornado WarningRAHFranklin, Warren28 min
Dec 10, 4:08 PM ESTTornado WarningAKQNorthampton37 min
Dec 10, 4:22 PM ESTFlash Flood WarningAKQHanover, Henrico3 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Newport, NC (KMHX), launched 12:00Z, 6.5 hours before the alert went out and 173 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Newport, NC at 12:00Z on 2023-12-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 97 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Newport, NC at 12:00Z on 2023-12-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 101 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
97 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-28 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
702 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
101 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
112 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

689 
WWUS20 KWNS 101828
SEL1  
SPC WW 101828
NCZ000-VAZ000-CWZ000-110100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 721
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
130 PM EST Sun Dec 10 2023

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Central and Eastern North Carolina
  Southeast Virginia
  Coastal Waters

* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 130 PM until
  800 PM EST.

* Primary threats include...
  A couple tornadoes possible
  Isolated damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible

SUMMARY...A moist environment and stronger deep-layer/low-level
winds will support a long duration (into this evening) of at least
isolated severe storm potential, including a risk for tornadoes and
damaging winds.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles
east and west of a line from 45 miles northwest of Norfolk VA to 20
miles west of Jacksonville NC. For a complete depiction of the watch
see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 720...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 55 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 22040.

...Guyer

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 9, 10:31 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCherokee119 min
Dec 10, 12:40 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCherokee65 min
Dec 10, 12:36 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChatham, Cumberland, Durham, Edgecombe, Franklin, Granville and 16 more114 min
Dec 10, 1:05 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Bladen, Brunswick, Camden, Carteret and 19 more2 hr
Dec 10, 4:53 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Camden, Carteret, Chowan, Craven and 22 more97 min
Dec 9, 9:53 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLee, Scott, Wise, City of Bristol, City of Norton2 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in North Carolina, 2023Tornado Watches in Virginia, 2023Every tornado watch in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.