Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2023
Tornado Watch 621
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Aug 9, 2023, 8:06 PM CDT for 30 counties in Arkansas. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 9, 2023, 8:06 PM CDT (01:06 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 10, 2023, 3:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 65 kt
All 30 counties
Baxter County, AR, Boone County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Conway County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Independence County, AR, Izard County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Logan County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Marion County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Newton County, AR, Perry County, AR, Pope County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Randolph County, AR, Saline County, AR, Scott County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sharp County, AR, Stone County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Yell County, AR
The radar
The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 69 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 60%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 50%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 60%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 50%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
14 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 8:27 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Baxter, Boone, Marion | 3 hr |
| Aug 9, 8:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Fulton, Izard, Lawrence, Randolph, Sharp | 45 min |
| Aug 9, 9:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Jackson, Lawrence, Randolph, Sharp | 38 min |
| Aug 9, 9:12 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Baxter, Fulton, Izard, Lawrence, Randolph, Sharp and 1 more | 2 hr |
| Aug 9, 9:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Jackson, Lawrence, Randolph | 16 min |
| Aug 9, 10:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Boone, Marion, Newton, Searcy | 11 min |
| Aug 9, 10:33 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Baxter, Searcy, Stone | 42 min |
| Aug 9, 11:49 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Marion, Newton, Searcy | 19 min |
| Aug 10, 12:20 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Cleburne, Van Buren | 40 min |
| Aug 10, 12:47 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Johnson | 23 min |
| Aug 10, 12:51 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Cleburne, Van Buren, White | 39 min |
| Aug 10, 1:23 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Cleburne, Jackson, White, Woodruff | 52 min |
| Aug 10, 2:01 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Cleburne, Faulkner, Van Buren, White | 44 min |
| Aug 10, 2:22 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Baxter, Izard, Searcy, Stone | 3 hr |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 1.1 hours before the alert went out and 214 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1135 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -10 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 602 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 53 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 39 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 86 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.6
- Supercell composite
- 3.7
The text
As transmitted.
320
WWUS20 KWNS 100102
SEL1
SPC WW 100102
ARZ000-100800-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 621
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
805 PM CDT Wed Aug 9 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Nothern and central Arkansas
* Effective this Wednesday night and Thursday morning from 805 PM
until 300 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A band of storms will continue to develop
east-southeastward from Missouri into northern Arkansas, and
additional development is possible farther to the south. The storm
environment will favor both supercells and bowing segments capable
of producing damaging winds, large hail, and a couple of tornadoes.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
north and south of a line from 35 miles south of Walnut Ridge AR to
25 miles south of Fayetteville AR. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 617...WW 618...WW
619...WW 620...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean
storm motion vector 29030.
...ThompsonSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 7:58 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Cleburne, Conway and 24 more | 2 hr |
| Aug 9, 9:13 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clay, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Greene, Independence and 8 more | 2 hr |
| Aug 9, 9:31 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Clay, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Greene, Lee and 3 more | 5 hr |
| Aug 9, 11:30 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Crittenden | 2 hr |
| Aug 10, 3:38 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Phillips | 2 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2023Every tornado watch in 2023
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.