Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2023

Tornado Watch 621

August 9, 202330 counties in Arkansas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Aug 9, 2023, 8:06 PM CDT for 30 counties in Arkansas. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 9, 2023, 8:06 PM CDT (01:06 UTC)
Expired
Aug 10, 2023, 3:00 AM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 30 counties

Baxter County, AR, Boone County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Conway County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Independence County, AR, Izard County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Logan County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Marion County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Newton County, AR, Perry County, AR, Pope County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Randolph County, AR, Saline County, AR, Scott County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sharp County, AR, Stone County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Yell County, AR

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 69 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
50%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
50%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

14 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 9, 8:27 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKBaxter, Boone, Marion3 hr
Aug 9, 8:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKFulton, Izard, Lawrence, Randolph, Sharp45 min
Aug 9, 9:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatLZKJackson, Lawrence, Randolph, Sharp38 min
Aug 9, 9:12 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKBaxter, Fulton, Izard, Lawrence, Randolph, Sharp and 1 more2 hr
Aug 9, 9:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatLZKJackson, Lawrence, Randolph16 min
Aug 9, 10:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBoone, Marion, Newton, Searcy11 min
Aug 9, 10:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBaxter, Searcy, Stone42 min
Aug 9, 11:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKMarion, Newton, Searcy19 min
Aug 10, 12:20 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, Van Buren40 min
Aug 10, 12:47 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJohnson23 min
Aug 10, 12:51 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, Van Buren, White39 min
Aug 10, 1:23 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, Jackson, White, Woodruff52 min
Aug 10, 2:01 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, Faulkner, Van Buren, White44 min
Aug 10, 2:22 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKBaxter, Izard, Searcy, Stone3 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 1.1 hours before the alert went out and 214 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2023-08-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1135 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2023-08-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 39 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1135 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-10 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
602 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
53 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
39 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
86 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.6
Supercell composite
3.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

320 
WWUS20 KWNS 100102
SEL1  
SPC WW 100102
ARZ000-100800-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 621
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
805 PM CDT Wed Aug 9 2023

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Nothern and central Arkansas

* Effective this Wednesday night and Thursday morning from 805 PM
  until 300 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A couple tornadoes possible
  Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
    to 75 mph possible
  Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
    to 2 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...A band of storms will continue to develop
east-southeastward from Missouri into northern Arkansas, and
additional development is possible farther to the south.  The storm
environment will favor both supercells and bowing segments capable
of producing damaging winds, large hail, and a couple of tornadoes.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
north and south of a line from 35 miles south of Walnut Ridge AR to
25 miles south of Fayetteville AR. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 617...WW 618...WW
619...WW 620...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean
storm motion vector 29030.

...Thompson

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 9, 7:58 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Cleburne, Conway and 24 more2 hr
Aug 9, 9:13 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Greene, Independence and 8 more2 hr
Aug 9, 9:31 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCClay, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Greene, Lee and 3 more5 hr
Aug 9, 11:30 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrittenden2 hr
Aug 10, 3:38 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Phillips2 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2023Every tornado watch in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.