Alert archive / Michigan / Flash Flood Warnings in 2023

Flash Flood Warning 2, NWS Gaylord, MI

July 5, 2023Alcona County, Iosco County, Michigan

NWS Gaylord, MI issued this flash flood warning at Jul 5, 2023, 5:20 PM EDT for Alcona County, Iosco County, Michigan. It was in force for 3 hr. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jul 5, 2023, 5:20 PM EDT (21:20 UTC)
Expired
Jul 5, 2023, 8:15 PM EDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Gaylord, MI
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

Counties Alcona County, MI, Iosco County, MI

The radar

The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 115 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jul 5, 7:15 PM EDTRAIN 1.161 Sw Wurtsmith Airfield, MIAWOS station KOSC Oscoda - Wurtsmith AFB.
Jul 5, 7:34 PM EDTRAIN 4.62 Nne Wurtsmith Airfiel, MIHeavy rainfall from thunderstorms resulting in 4.60 inches of rainfall since 3pm.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Alpena, MI (KAPX), launched 12:00Z, 9.3 hours before the alert went out and 103 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Alpena, MI at 12:00Z on 2023-07-05Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 326 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Alpena, MI at 12:00Z on 2023-07-05The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 9 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
326 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-53 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1234 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
12 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
9 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
43 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

570 
WGUS53 KAPX 052120
FFWAPX
MIC001-069-060015-
/O.NEW.KAPX.FF.W.0002.230705T2120Z-230706T0015Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
520 PM EDT Wed Jul 5 2023

The National Weather Service in Gaylord has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Southeastern Alcona County in northern Michigan...
  Northeastern Iosco County in northern Michigan...

* Until 815 PM EDT.

* At 520 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing 
  heavy rain across the warned area. Between 2 and 3 inches of rain 
  have fallen across far southeast Alcona and northeast Iosco county 
  including around the Oscoda area since 3pm. Flash flooding is 
  ongoing or expected to begin shortly.

  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

  SOURCE...Radar.

  IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban
           areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as
           other poor drainage and low-lying areas.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Oscoda and Au Sable
  Tributaries of the Au Sable River and Pine River  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 4441 8351 4448 8350 4451 8347 4456 8343
      4459 8334 4458 8328 4451 8330 4446 8330
      4443 8331 4442 8332 4439 8341 4438 8346

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED

$$

JPB
3 follow-up statements
405 
WGUS73 KAPX 052159
FFSAPX

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
559 PM EDT Wed Jul 5 2023

MIC001-069-060015-
/O.CON.KAPX.FF.W.0002.000000T0000Z-230706T0015Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Alcona MI-Iosco MI-
559 PM EDT Wed Jul 5 2023

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM EDT THIS 
EVENING FOR SOUTHEASTERN ALCONA AND NORTHEASTERN IOSCO COUNTIES...

At 559 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy 
rain across the warned area. Between 2 and 3 inches of rain have 
fallen across far southeast Alcona and northeast Iosco counties 
between 3 and 6pm.  Rainfall of 2.35 inches in 2 hours occurred in 
Oscoda.

Occasional showers and thunderstorms will move across the warned 
area through 8pm...with additional rainfall amounts of 0.5 to 1 inch 
possible. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Radar.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
         drainage and low-lying areas.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Oscoda and Au Sable

This includes the following streams and drainages...
  Au Sable River tributaries, East Branch Pine River, Loud Creek, 
  Van  Etten Creek, and the Pine River.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 4441 8351 4448 8350 4451 8347 4456 8343
      4459 8334 4458 8328 4451 8330 4446 8330
      4443 8331 4442 8332 4439 8341 4438 8346

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED

$$

JPB
796 
WGUS73 KAPX 052249
FFSAPX

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
649 PM EDT Wed Jul 5 2023

MIC001-069-060015-
/O.CON.KAPX.FF.W.0002.000000T0000Z-230706T0015Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Alcona MI-Iosco MI-
649 PM EDT Wed Jul 5 2023

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM EDT THIS 
EVENING FOR SOUTHEASTERN ALCONA AND NORTHEASTERN IOSCO COUNTIES...

At 649 PM EDT, Rain continues to fall across Alcona and Iosco 
counties as of 645pm EDT.  Rainfall estimates between 2 and 4 inches 
of rain have fallen since 300pm.  Additional rainfall amounts of 
0.50 to 1.00 inch are possible between 700pm and 800pm...with more 
rainfall likely during the mid and late evening hours.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Radar.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
         drainage and low-lying areas is likely.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Oscoda and Au Sable

This includes the following streams and drainages...
  Au Sable River tributaries, East Branch Pine River, Loud Creek, 
  Van  Etten Creek, and the Pine River.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 4441 8351 4448 8350 4451 8347 4456 8343
      4459 8334 4458 8328 4451 8330 4446 8330
      4443 8331 4442 8332 4439 8341 4438 8346

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED

$$

JPB
134 
WGUS73 KAPX 060019
FFSAPX

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
819 PM EDT Wed Jul 5 2023

MIC001-069-060029-
/O.EXP.KAPX.FF.W.0002.000000T0000Z-230706T0015Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Alcona MI-Iosco MI-
819 PM EDT Wed Jul 5 2023

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR SOUTHEASTERN ALCONA AND 
NORTHEASTERN IOSCO COUNTIES...

The Flash Flood Warning has been replaced by a new Flood Warning for 
portions of Alcona and Iosco counties until 215am EDT Thursday.

LAT...LON 4441 8351 4448 8350 4451 8347 4456 8343
      4459 8334 4458 8328 4451 8330 4446 8330
      4443 8331 4442 8332 4439 8341 4438 8346

$$

JPB

The office that day

Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 5, 2:49 PM EDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAPX39 hr
Jul 5, 3:10 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX95 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Michigan, 2023Every flash flood warning in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.