Alert archive / Arizona / Red Flag Warnings in 2021
Red Flag Warning 19, NWS Tucson, AZ
NWS Tucson, AZ issued this red flag warning at May 21, 2021, 2:27 AM MST for 6 counties in Arizona. It took effect at May 22, 2021, 10:00 AM MST. It was in force for 10 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- May 21, 2021, 2:27 AM MST (09:27 UTC)
- In effect from
- May 22, 2021, 10:00 AM MST
- Expired
- May 22, 2021, 8:00 PM MST
- In force
- 10 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Tucson, AZ
Counties Cochise County, AZ, Graham County, AZ, Greenlee County, AZ, Pima County, AZ, Pinal County, AZ, Santa Cruz County, AZ
The radar
The Tucson radar (KEMX), 61 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Tuscon, AZ (KTUS), launched 00:00Z, 9.5 hours before the alert went out and 49 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 4494 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 35 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 55 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 39 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
309 WWUS85 KTWC 210927 RFWTWC URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Tucson AZ 227 AM MST Fri May 21 2021 AZZ150>154-212200- /O.UPG.KTWC.FW.A.0013.210522T1700Z-210523T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KTWC.FW.W.0019.210522T1700Z-210523T0300Z/ /O.EXT.KTWC.FW.W.0018.210521T1700Z-210522T0200Z/ Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150 Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County- Tohono O'odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151 Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to 5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County- Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County- Santa Cruz County-TDC-Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152 Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to 5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation- Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153 Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County- White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF- Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154 Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC- 227 AM MST Fri May 21 2021 ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS, LOW RH AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER RATING FOR THE EASTERN HALF OF FIRE WEATHER ZONE 150, ALL OF 151, NORTHERN HALF OF 152, ALL OF 153, AND 154 EXCLUDING THE CHIRICAHUAS... ...RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MST SATURDAY FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS, LOW RH AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER RATING FOR EASTERN ZONE 150 AND ALL OF ZONES 151, 152, 153 AND 154...... The start time of the Red Flag Warning for today was adjusted and is now in effect from 10 am to 7 pm today. The adjustment was made to account for current and expected wind and RH conditions. The National Weather Service in Tucson has upgraded the Saturday Fire Weather Watch to a Red Flag Warning, which is in effect from 10 AM to 8 PM MST Saturday. * AFFECTED AREA...For today, most of southeast Arizona except western Pima county, eastern two-thirds of Cochise county and the southeast parts of Graham and Greenlee counties. For Saturday the warning is in effect everywhere from the Baboquivari Mountains eastward. * TIMING...For Today, from 10 am through 7 pm which should be the windiest time period. For Saturday, the warning is in effect from 10 am through 8 pm in the evening. * WINDS...For today, southwest 15 to 25 mph, with gusts around 35 mph. Local gusty and erratic outflow wind gusts of 35 to 45 mph are possible around virga shafts or dry thunderstorms which are most likely from the Safford area North and East. For Saturday, winds are expected to be stronger at southwest 15 to 30 mph, with gusts to 40 mph. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...8-15 percent today and generally 5-10 percent on Saturday. * IMPACTS...Any fires that develop or are ongoing will have the potential to spread rapidly and be resistant to control efforts. * FOR A DETAILED VIEW OF THE HAZARD AREA...Visit weather.gov/Tucson and click on the Detailed Hazards Icon. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now...or are expected to develop. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and dry vegetation will create the potential for rapid and erratic fire growth. Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the field of the Red Flag Warning for portions of Southeast Arizona. && $$ Cerniglia Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson
5 follow-up statements
251 WWUS85 KTWC 212142 RFWTWC URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Tucson AZ 242 PM MST Fri May 21 2021 AZZ150>154-221330- /O.CON.KTWC.FW.W.0018.000000T0000Z-210522T0200Z/ /O.CON.KTWC.FW.W.0019.210522T1700Z-210523T0300Z/ Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150 Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County- Tohono O'odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151 Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to 5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County- Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County- Santa Cruz County-TDC-Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152 Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to 5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation- Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153 Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County- White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF- Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154 Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC- 242 PM MST Fri May 21 2021 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS, LOW RH AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER RATING FOR THE EASTERN HALF OF FIRE WEATHER ZONE 150, ALL OF 151, NORTHERN HALF OF 152, ALL OF 153, AND 154 EXCLUDING THE CHIRICAHUAS... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MST SATURDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS, LOW RH AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER RATING FOR THE EASTERN HALF OF FIRE WEATHER ZONE 150, ALL OF 151, NORTHERN HALF OF 152, ALL OF 153, AND 154 EXCLUDING THE CHIRICAHUAS... The start time of the Red Flag Warning for today was adjusted and is now in effect from 10 am to 7 pm today. The adjustment was made to account for current and expected wind and RH conditions. The National Weather Service in Tucson has upgraded the Saturday Fire Weather Watch to a Red Flag Warning, which is in effect from 10 AM to 8 PM MST Saturday. * AFFECTED AREA...For today, most of southeast Arizona except western Pima county, eastern two-thirds of Cochise county and the southeast parts of Graham and Greenlee counties. For Saturday the warning is in effect everywhere from the Baboquivari Mountains eastward. * TIMING...For Today, from 10 am through 7 pm which should be the windiest time period. For Saturday, the warning is in effect from 10 am through 8 pm in the evening. * WINDS...For today, southwest 15 to 25 mph, with gusts around 35 mph. Local gusty and erratic outflow wind gusts of 35 to 45 mph are possible around virga shafts or dry thunderstorms which are most likely from the Safford area North and East. For Saturday, winds are expected to be stronger at southwest 15 to 30 mph, with gusts to 40 mph. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...8-15 percent rest of today and generally 5-10 percent on Saturday. * IMPACTS...Any fires that develop or are ongoing will have the potential to spread rapidly and be resistant to control efforts. * FOR A DETAILED VIEW OF THE HAZARD AREA...Visit weather.gov/Tucson and click on the Detailed Hazards Icon. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now...or are expected to develop. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and dry vegetation will create the potential for rapid and erratic fire growth. Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the field of the Red Flag Warning for portions of Southeast Arizona. && $$ Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson
530 WWUS85 KTWC 220208 RFWTWC URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Tucson AZ 708 PM MST Fri May 21 2021 AZZ150>154-221100- /O.EXP.KTWC.FW.W.0018.000000T0000Z-210522T0200Z/ /O.CON.KTWC.FW.W.0019.210522T1700Z-210523T0300Z/ Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150 Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County- Tohono O'odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151 Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to 5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County- Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County- Santa Cruz County-TDC-Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152 Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to 5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation- Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153 Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County- White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF- Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154 Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC- 708 PM MST Fri May 21 2021 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MST SATURDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS, LOW RH AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER RATING FOR THE EASTERN HALF OF FIRE WEATHER ZONE 150, ALL OF 151, NORTHERN HALF OF 152, ALL OF 153, AND 154 EXCLUDING THE CHIRICAHUAS... ...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED TODAY FOR GUSTY WINDS, LOW RH AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER RATING FOR THE EASTERN HALF OF FIRE WEATHER ZONE 150, ALL OF 151, NORTHERN HALF OF 152, ALL OF 153, AND 154 EXCLUDING THE CHIRICAHUAS... The National Weather Service in Tucson continues the Saturday Red Flag Warning, which is in effect from 10 AM to 8 PM MST Saturday. * AFFECTED AREA...Most of southeast Arizona, including everywhere from the Baboquivari Mountains eastward. * TIMING...Saturday, 10 am through 8 pm in the evening. * WINDS...Winds are expected to be stronger Saturday, from the southwest at 15 to 30 mph, with gusts to 40 mph. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...5-10 percent. * IMPACTS...Any fires that develop or are ongoing will have the potential to spread rapidly and be resistant to control efforts. * FOR A DETAILED VIEW OF THE HAZARD AREA...Visit weather.gov/Tucson and click on the Detailed Hazards Icon. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now...or are expected to develop. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and dry vegetation will create the potential for rapid and erratic fire growth. Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the field of the Red Flag Warning for portions of Southeast Arizona. && $$ Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson
466 WWUS85 KTWC 221002 RFWTWC URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Tucson AZ 302 AM MST Sat May 22 2021 AZZ150>154-222215- /O.CON.KTWC.FW.W.0019.210522T1700Z-210523T0300Z/ Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150 Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County- Tohono O'odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151 Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to 5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County- Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County- Santa Cruz County-TDC-Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152 Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to 5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation- Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153 Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County- White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF- Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154 Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC- 302 AM MST Sat May 22 2021 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS, LOW RH AND A VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER RATING FOR THE EASTERN HALF OF FIRE WEATHER ZONE 150 AND ALL OF ZONES 151, 152, 153 AND 154... The National Weather Service in Tucson continues the Red Flag Warning, which is in effect from 10 AM to 8 PM MST today. * AFFECTED AREA...Most of southeast Arizona, including everywhere from the Baboquivari Mountains eastward. * TIMING...10 AM through 8 PM in this evening. * WINDS...Southwest winds will increase to 15 to 30 mph, with gusts to 45 mph. Winds will be slow to diminish this evening. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...Dropping to 6-13 percent followed by very poor overnight recoveries. * IMPACTS...Any fires that develop or are ongoing will have the potential to spread rapidly and be resistant to control efforts. * FOR A DETAILED VIEW OF THE HAZARD AREA...Visit weather.gov/Tucson and click on the Detailed Hazards Icon. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or are expected to develop. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity and dry vegetation will create the potential for rapid, erratic fire growth and extreme fire behavior. Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the field of the Red Flag Warning for portions of Southeast Arizona. && $$ Cerniglia Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson
418 WWUS85 KTWC 222116 RFWTWC URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Tucson AZ 216 PM MST Sat May 22 2021 AZZ150>154-230300- /O.CON.KTWC.FW.W.0019.000000T0000Z-210523T0300Z/ Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150 Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County- Tohono O'odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151 Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to 5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County- Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County- Santa Cruz County-TDC-Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152 Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to 5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation- Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153 Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County- White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF- Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154 Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC- 216 PM MST Sat May 22 2021 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS, LOW RH, AND A VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER RATING FOR THE EASTERN HALF OF FIRE WEATHER ZONE 150 AND ALL OF ZONES 151, 152, 153 AND 154... * AFFECTED AREA...Most of southeast Arizona, including everywhere from the Baboquivari Mountains eastward. * TIMING...Through 8 PM this evening. * WINDS...Out of the southwest at 15 to 30 mph, with gusts to 45 mph. Winds will be slow to diminish this evening. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...Expect values between 6-13 percent followed by very poor overnight recoveries. * IMPACTS...Any fires that develop or are ongoing will have the potential to spread rapidly and be resistant to control efforts. * FOR A DETAILED VIEW OF THE HAZARD AREA...Visit weather.gov/Tucson and click on the Detailed Hazards Icon. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or are expected to develop. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity and dry vegetation will create the potential for rapid, erratic fire growth and extreme fire behavior. Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the field of the Red Flag Warning for portions of Southeast Arizona. && $$ Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson
116 WWUS85 KTWC 230259 RFWTWC URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Tucson AZ 759 PM MST Sat May 22 2021 AZZ150>154-230400- /O.EXP.KTWC.FW.W.0019.000000T0000Z-210523T0300Z/ Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150 Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County- Tohono O'odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151 Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to 5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County- Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County- Santa Cruz County-TDC-Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152 Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to 5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation- Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153 Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County- White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF- Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154 Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC- 759 PM MST Sat May 22 2021 ...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS, LOW RH, AND A VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER RATING FOR THE EASTERN HALF OF FIRE WEATHER ZONE 150 AND ALL OF ZONES 151, 152, 153 AND 154... Winds are diminishing across the area, while temperatures cool down for the evening. As a result, relative humidities will gradually increase. This will end critical fire conditions across southern and southeast Arizona. Thus the Red Flag warning will be allowed to expire. $$ Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson
Nearby
Red Flag Warnings in Arizona, 2021Every red flag warning in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.