Alert archive / Arizona / Red Flag Warnings in 2021

Red Flag Warning 10, NWS Tucson, AZ

April 7, 20216 counties in Arizona

NWS Tucson, AZ issued this red flag warning at Apr 7, 2021, 2:19 PM MST for 6 counties in Arizona. It took effect at Apr 8, 2021, 1:00 PM MST. It was in force for 7 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Apr 7, 2021, 2:19 PM MST (21:19 UTC)
In effect from
Apr 8, 2021, 1:00 PM MST
Expired
Apr 8, 2021, 8:00 PM MST
In force
7 hr
Issued by
NWS Tucson, AZ

Counties Cochise County, AZ, Graham County, AZ, Greenlee County, AZ, Pima County, AZ, Pinal County, AZ, Santa Cruz County, AZ

The radar

The Tucson radar (KEMX), 61 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:22 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Tuscon, AZ (KTUS), launched 12:00Z, 9.3 hours before the alert went out and 49 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tuscon, AZ at 12:00Z on 2021-04-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tuscon, AZ at 12:00Z on 2021-04-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 17 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
4759 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
36 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
17 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
76 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

198 
WWUS85 KTWC 072119
RFWTWC

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
219 PM MST Wed Apr 7 2021

AZZ151-152-154-081200-
/O.NEW.KTWC.FW.W.0010.210408T2000Z-210409T0300Z/
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
219 PM MST Wed Apr 7 2021

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 8 PM MST THURSDAY
FOR STRONG WINDS, LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND A HIGH FIRE DANGER 
RATING FOR SOUTHEAST ARIZONA INCLUDING PORTIONS OF FIRE WEATHER 
ZONES 151, 152, AND 154...

The National Weather Service in Tucson has issued a Red Flag
Warning, which is in effect from 1 PM to 8 PM MST Thursday. 

* AFFECTED AREA...The eastern half of fire weather zone 151, the
  majority of fire weather zone 152, and the eastern mountain 
  ranges of fire weather zone 154.

* TIMING...1 PM MST Thursday afternoon through 8 PM MST Thursday
  evening.

* WINDS...West to northwest winds at 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 35
  mph in the warning area. The strongest winds will be near the
  Arizona/New Mexico border.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...Minimum relative humidity 5 to 10 percent at
  lower elevations, and between 10 and 15 percent in the
  mountains.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop or are ongoing will have the 
  potential to spread rapidly.

* FOR A DETAILED VIEW OF THE HAZARD AREA...Visit 
  weather.gov/Tucson and click on the Detailed Hazards Icon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or are expected to develop. A
combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and dry
vegetation will create the potential for rapid and erratic fire
growth.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of the Red Flag Warning for portions of Southeast Arizona.

&&

$$


Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson
3 follow-up statements
951 
WWUS85 KTWC 080909
RFWTWC

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
209 AM MST Thu Apr 8 2021

AZZ151-152-154-082300-
/O.CON.KTWC.FW.W.0010.210408T2000Z-210409T0300Z/
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
209 AM MST Thu Apr 8 2021

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
8 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS, LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY, 
AND A HIGH FIRE DANGER RATING FOR SOUTHEAST ARIZONA INCLUDING 
PORTIONS OF FIRE WEATHER ZONES 151, 152, AND 154...

* AFFECTED AREA...The eastern half of fire weather zone 151, the 
  majority of fire weather zone 152, and the eastern mountain 
  ranges of fire weather zone 154. 

* TIMING...1 PM MST this afternoon through 8 PM MST this evening.

* WINDS...West to northwest winds at 15 to 25 mph with gusts to
  35 mph in the warning area. The strongest winds will be near 
  the Arizona/New Mexico border. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...Minimum relative humidity 5 to 10 percent
  at lower elevations, and between 10 and 15 percent in the 
  mountains.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop or are ongoing will have the 
  potential to spread rapidly.

* FOR A DETAILED VIEW OF THE HAZARD AREA...Visit 
  weather.gov/Tucson and click on the Detailed Hazards Icon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or are expected to develop. A
combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and dry
vegetation will create the potential for rapid and erratic fire
growth.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of the Red Flag Warning for portions of Southeast Arizona.

&&

$$


Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson
920 
WWUS85 KTWC 082005
RFWTWC

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
105 PM MST Thu Apr 8 2021

AZZ151-152-154-090300-
/O.CON.KTWC.FW.W.0010.000000T0000Z-210409T0300Z/
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
105 PM MST Thu Apr 8 2021

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MST THIS EVENING
FOR STRONG WINDS, LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY, AND A HIGH FIRE DANGER
RATING FOR SOUTHEAST ARIZONA INCLUDING PORTIONS OF FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 151, 152, AND 154...

* AFFECTED AREA...The eastern half of fire weather zone 151, the 
  majority of fire weather zone 152, and the eastern mountain 
  ranges of fire weather zone 154. 

* TIMING...Through 8 PM MST this evening.

* WINDS...West to northwest winds at 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 
  35 mph in the warning area. The strongest winds will be near 
  the Arizona/New Mexico border.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...Minimum relative humidity 5 to 10 percent 
  at lower elevations, and between 10 and 15 percent in the 
  mountains.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop or are ongoing will have the 
  potential to spread rapidly.

* FOR A DETAILED VIEW OF THE HAZARD AREA...Visit 
  weather.gov/Tucson and click on the Detailed Hazards Icon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or are expected to develop. A
combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and dry
vegetation will create the potential for rapid and erratic fire
growth.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of the Red Flag Warning for portions of Southeast Arizona.

&&

$$


Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson
837 
WWUS85 KTWC 090251
RFWTWC

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
751 PM MST Thu Apr 8 2021

AZZ151-152-154-090400-
/O.EXP.KTWC.FW.W.0010.000000T0000Z-210409T0300Z/
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
751 PM MST Thu Apr 8 2021

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR 
SOUTHEAST ARIZONA INCLUDING PORTIONS OF FIRE WEATHER ZONES 151, 
152, AND 154...

Winds have continued to slowly diminish through the evening 
hours, and have fallen below the Red Flag Warning threshold. 
Therefore, the Red Flag Warning has been allowed to expire at 8 PM
MST.

However, localized critical fire weather conditions may still be
present for the next hour or two as winds taper off and relative 
humidity increases.


$$


Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Arizona, 2021Every red flag warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.