Alert archive / Arizona / Flash Flood Warnings in 2021

Flash Flood Warning 37, NWS Tucson, AZ

July 16, 2021Cochise County, Arizona

NWS Tucson, AZ issued this flash flood warning at Jul 16, 2021, 2:38 PM MST for Cochise County, Arizona. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 16, 2021, 2:38 PM MST (21:38 UTC)
Expired
Jul 16, 2021, 5:45 PM MST
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Tucson, AZ
Area
Storm-based polygon
Damage threat
Considerable
Flood severity
None

County Cochise County, AZ

The radar

The Tucson radar (KEMX), 94 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:40 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Tuscon, AZ (KTUS), launched 12:00Z, 9.6 hours before the alert went out and 113 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tuscon, AZ at 12:00Z on 2021-07-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1714 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tuscon, AZ at 12:00Z on 2021-07-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 20 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1714 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-54 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1328 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
18 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
20 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
52 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

610 
WGUS55 KTWC 162138
FFWTWC
AZC003-170045-
/O.NEW.KTWC.FF.W.0037.210716T2138Z-210717T0045Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
238 PM MST Fri Jul 16 2021

The National Weather Service in Tucson has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  North Central Cochise County in southeastern Arizona...

* Until 545 PM MST.

* At 238 PM MST, Doppler radar and automated rain gauges indicated 
  thunderstorms producing heavy rain across the warned area. Between 
  1 to 2.5 inches of rain has already fallen. Additional rainfall 
  amounts up to 1 inch are possible in the warned area. Flash 
  flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly.

  HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms
           producing flash flooding.

  SOURCE...Radar and automated gauges.

  IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams,
           urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  mainly rural areas of North Central Cochise County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

In hilly terrain there are hundreds of low water crossings which are 
potentially dangerous in heavy rain. Do not attempt to cross flooded 
roads. Find an alternate route.

&&

LAT...LON 3219 10986 3233 10964 3220 10946 3203 10967

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR AND GAUGE INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

$$

AH
2 follow-up statements
556 
WGUS75 KTWC 162257
FFSTWC

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
357 PM MST Fri Jul 16 2021

AZC003-170045-
/O.CON.KTWC.FF.W.0037.000000T0000Z-210717T0045Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Cochise AZ-
357 PM MST Fri Jul 16 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM MST THIS 
AFTERNOON FOR NORTH CENTRAL COCHISE COUNTY...

At 357 PM MST, Doppler radar and automated rain gauges indicated 
thunderstorms producing heavy rain across the warned area. Between 1 
and 3 inches of rain have fallen. Flash flooding is ongoing or 
expected to begin shortly.

HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing
         flash flooding.

SOURCE...Radar and automated gauges.

IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams,
         urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  mainly rural areas of North Central Cochise County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.

In hilly terrain there are hundreds of low water crossings which are 
potentially dangerous in heavy rain. Do not attempt to cross flooded 
roads. Find an alternate route.

&&

LAT...LON 3219 10986 3233 10964 3220 10946 3203 10967

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR AND GAUGE INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

$$

AH
492 
WGUS75 KTWC 170040
FFSTWC

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
540 PM MST Fri Jul 16 2021

AZC003-170050-
/O.EXP.KTWC.FF.W.0037.000000T0000Z-210717T0045Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Cochise AZ-
540 PM MST Fri Jul 16 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 545 PM MST THIS AFTERNOON FOR 
NORTH CENTRAL COCHISE COUNTY...

The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a 
threat. Please continue to heed remaining road closures.

A Flash Flood Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM MST for a 
portion of Southeast Arizona.

LAT...LON 3219 10986 3233 10964 3220 10946 3203 10967

$$

RH

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tucson, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 15, 5:20 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTWCGraham55 min
Jul 15, 5:24 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryTWCGraham3 hr
Jul 15, 6:15 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTWCGraham30 min
Jul 15, 6:45 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTWCGraham30 min
Jul 16, 10:21 AM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTWCSanta Cruz39 min
Jul 16, 10:53 AM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryTWCPima, Santa Cruz3 hr
Jul 16, 11:25 AM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryTWCSanta Cruz2 hr
Jul 16, 11:31 AM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryTWCCochise, Pima, Santa Cruz119 min
Jul 16, 12:07 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryTWCCochise3 hr
Jul 16, 12:11 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTWC34 min
Jul 16, 12:46 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTWCCochise44 min
Jul 16, 12:51 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryTWCCochise114 min
Jul 16, 12:57 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatTWCCochise2 hr
Jul 16, 1:26 PM MSTAreal Flood WarningTWCCochise, Pima, Santa Cruz3 hr
Jul 16, 1:30 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTWCGreenlee30 min
Jul 16, 1:40 PM MSTAreal Flood WarningTWCSanta Cruz3 hr
Jul 16, 1:51 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatTWCCochise3 hr
Jul 16, 1:57 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatTWCCochise2 hr
Jul 16, 2:03 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTWCGraham, Greenlee42 min
Jul 16, 2:24 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatTWCGraham3 hr
Jul 16, 2:36 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatTWCCochise, Graham3 hr
Jul 16, 2:44 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTWCGraham46 min
Jul 16, 2:55 PM MSTAreal Flood WarningTWCCochise3 hr
Jul 16, 3:03 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatTWCCochise, Graham, Pima3 hr
Jul 16, 3:11 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatTWCCochise3 hr
Jul 16, 3:13 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTWC32 min
Jul 16, 3:20 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTWCGraham25 min
Jul 16, 3:48 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatTWCGraham3 hr
Jul 16, 3:50 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatTWCPima4 hr
Jul 16, 4:53 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTWCPinal37 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Arizona, 2021Every flash flood warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.