Alert archive / Arizona / Flash Flood Warnings in 2021

Flash Flood Warning 28, NWS Tucson, AZ

July 15, 2021Pima County, Arizona

NWS Tucson, AZ issued this flash flood warning at Jul 15, 2021, 6:33 AM MST for Pima County, Arizona. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 15, 2021, 6:33 AM MST (13:33 UTC)
Expired
Jul 15, 2021, 9:45 AM MST
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Tucson, AZ
Area
Storm-based polygon
Damage threat
Considerable
Flood severity
None

County Pima County, AZ

The radar

The Tucson radar (KEMX), 96 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 13:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Tuscon, AZ (KTUS), launched 12:00Z, 1.6 hours before the alert went out and 64 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tuscon, AZ at 12:00Z on 2021-07-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1024 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tuscon, AZ at 12:00Z on 2021-07-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 14 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1024 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-67 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1408 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
13 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
14 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
41 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

992 
WGUS55 KTWC 151333
FFWTWC
AZC019-151645-
/O.NEW.KTWC.FF.W.0028.210715T1333Z-210715T1645Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
633 AM MST Thu Jul 15 2021

The National Weather Service in Tucson has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  North Central Pima County in southeastern Arizona...

* Until 945 AM MST.

* At 633 AM MST, Doppler radar indicated showers and thunderstorms 
  producing heavy rain across the warned area. Between 1 and 2 
  inches of rain have fallen. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected 
  to begin shortly.

  HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms
           producing flash flooding.

  SOURCE...Radar.

  IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams,
           urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Marana, Three Points, Avra Valley, San Isidro, Tucson Estates, 
  Picture Rocks, San Pedro, Queens Well, South Comobabi, Santa Rosa 
  Ranch, Sil Nakya and Pan Tak.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.

Remain alert for flooding even in locations not receiving rain. 
Washes, streams, and rivers can become raging killer currents in a 
matter of minutes, even from distant rainfall.

&&

LAT...LON 3228 11185 3192 11174 3208 11120 3243 11125

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

$$

JG
2 follow-up statements
337 
WGUS75 KTWC 151502
FFSTWC

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
802 AM MST Thu Jul 15 2021

AZC019-151645-
/O.CON.KTWC.FF.W.0028.000000T0000Z-210715T1645Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Pima AZ-
802 AM MST Thu Jul 15 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 945 AM MST THIS 
MORNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL PIMA COUNTY...

At 802 AM MST, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy 
rain across the warned area. Between 1 and 2 inches of rain have 
fallen with isolated areas of 3 inches. Additional rainfall amounts 
up to 1 inch are possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is 
ongoing or expected to begin shortly.

HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing
         flash flooding.

SOURCE...Radar.

IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams,
         urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Marana, Three Points, Avra Valley, San Isidro, Tucson Estates, 
  Picture Rocks, San Pedro, Queens Well, South Comobabi, Santa Rosa 
  Ranch, Sil Nakya and Pan Tak.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.

Remain alert for flooding even in locations not receiving rain. 
Washes, streams, and rivers can become raging killer currents in a 
matter of minutes, even from distant rainfall.

&&

LAT...LON 3228 11185 3192 11174 3208 11120 3243 11125

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

$$

AH
911 
WGUS75 KTWC 151636
FFSTWC

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
936 AM MST Thu Jul 15 2021

AZC019-151646-
/O.EXP.KTWC.FF.W.0028.000000T0000Z-210715T1645Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Pima AZ-
936 AM MST Thu Jul 15 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 945 AM MST THIS MORNING FOR 
NORTH CENTRAL PIMA COUNTY...

The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a 
threat. Please continue to heed remaining road closures.

A Flash Flood Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM MST Thursday for 
a portion of Southeast Arizona.

LAT...LON 3228 11185 3192 11174 3208 11120 3243 11125

$$

AH

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tucson, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 14, 5:33 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTWC27 min
Jul 14, 5:41 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTWC49 min
Jul 15, 6:07 AM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryTWCPima113 min
Jul 15, 8:12 AM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryTWCPima2 hr
Jul 15, 8:32 AM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatTWCPima3 hr
Jul 15, 8:40 AM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatTWCPima114 min
Jul 15, 1:51 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryTWCCochise, Graham3 hr
Jul 15, 1:55 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTWCGreenlee35 min
Jul 15, 2:19 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTWCCochise, Graham41 min
Jul 15, 2:31 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryTWCCochise119 min
Jul 15, 2:52 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTWCCochise38 min
Jul 15, 3:15 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTWCGraham45 min
Jul 15, 3:30 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryTWCGraham, Greenlee3 hr
Jul 15, 3:57 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTWCGraham33 min
Jul 15, 4:29 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatTWCGraham2 hr
Jul 15, 4:42 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTWCGraham33 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Arizona, 2021Every flash flood warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.