Alert archive / Illinois / Tornado Watches in 2021

Tornado Watch 417

August 9, 202117 counties in Illinois; 4 counties in Indiana

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Aug 9, 2021, 2:43 PM CDT for 17 counties in Illinois; 4 counties in Indiana. It was in force for 9 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 9, 2021, 2:43 PM CDT (19:43 UTC)
Expired
Aug 10, 2021, 12:00 AM CDT
In force
9 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 21 counties

Boone County, IL, Bureau County, IL, Cook County, IL, DeKalb County, IL, DuPage County, IL, Grundy County, IL, Kane County, IL, Kankakee County, IL, Kendall County, IL, Lake County, IL, LaSalle County, IL, Lee County, IL, McHenry County, IL, Ogle County, IL, Putnam County, IL, Will County, IL, Winnebago County, IL, Jasper County, IN, Lake County, IN, Newton County, IN, Porter County, IN

The radar

The Chicago radar (KLOT), 43 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

21 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 9, 3:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTBoone, DeKalb, Ogle, Winnebago61 min
Aug 9, 3:46 PM CDTTornado WarningLOTBoone, Winnebago26 min
Aug 9, 4:34 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedLOTDeKalb41 min
Aug 9, 4:39 PM CDTTornado WarningLOTDeKalb, Ogle51 min
Aug 9, 5:11 PM CDTTornado WarningLOTLee49 min
Aug 9, 5:15 PM CDTTornado WarningLOTDeKalb, Kane60 min
Aug 9, 5:32 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedLOTDeKalb, Ogle43 min
Aug 9, 5:42 PM CDTTornado WarningLOTKane48 min
Aug 9, 5:55 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNBureau50 min
Aug 9, 6:00 PM CDTTornado WarningLOTDeKalb, Lee26 min
Aug 9, 6:09 PM CDTTornado WarningLOTDeKalb, Kane51 min
Aug 9, 6:24 PM CDTTornado WarningLOTDuPage, Kane66 min
Aug 9, 6:50 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNBureau25 min
Aug 9, 6:50 PM CDTTornado WarningLOTKane40 min
Aug 9, 7:12 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedDVNBureau48 min
Aug 9, 7:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTCook, DuPage42 min
Aug 9, 7:30 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedDVNBureau45 min
Aug 9, 8:02 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningDVNBureau2 hr
Aug 9, 8:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNBureau, Putnam29 min
Aug 9, 9:30 PM CDTTornado WarningLOTKankakee, Will45 min
Aug 9, 10:06 PM CDTTornado WarningLOTWill54 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 12:00Z, 7.7 hours before the alert went out and 166 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2021-08-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1676 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2021-08-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 171 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1676 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-63 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
705 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
43 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
171 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
208 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.3
Supercell composite
2.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

717 
WWUS20 KWNS 091938
SEL7  
SPC WW 091938
ILZ000-INZ000-LMZ000-100300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 417
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
240 PM CDT Mon Aug 9 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Northern Illinois
  Extreme northwestern Indiana
  Lake Michigan

* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 240 PM until
  1000 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A couple tornadoes possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Severe storms are expected to develop in clusters or short
bands across northern Illinois this afternoon, and storms will
spread east-southeastward through late evening.  The storm
environment favors a mix of clusters and embedded supercells capable
of producing a couple of tornadoes, damaging winds of 60 to 70 mph,
and isolated large hail of 1 to 1.5 inch diameter.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 45 statute miles
north and south of a line from 30 miles southwest of Rockford IL to
85 miles east of Marseilles IL. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 30025.

...Thompson

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 9, 12:18 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Carroll, Cook, DeKalb, DuPage, Grundy and 10 more2 hr
Aug 9, 5:53 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBureau, Cook, DeKalb, DuPage, Grundy, Kane and 6 more67 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Illinois, 2021Tornado Watches in Indiana, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.