Alert archive / Virginia / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 331
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 1, 2021, 12:46 PM EDT for 5 states. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 1, 2021, 12:46 PM EDT (16:46 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 1, 2021, 8:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 0.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 108 counties
Kent County, DE, New Castle County, DE, Sussex County, DE, Anne Arundel County, MD, Baltimore County, MD, Calvert County, MD, Caroline County, MD, Carroll County, MD, Cecil County, MD, Charles County, MD, City of Baltimore, MD, Dorchester County, MD, Frederick County, MD, Harford County, MD, Howard County, MD, Kent County, MD, Montgomery County, MD, Prince George's County, MD, Queen Anne's County, MD, Saint Mary's County, MD, Somerset County, MD, Talbot County, MD, Wicomico County, MD, Worcester County, MD, Atlantic County, NJ, Burlington County, NJ, Camden County, NJ, Cape May County, NJ, Cumberland County, NJ, Gloucester County, NJ, Mercer County, NJ, Middlesex County, NJ, Monmouth County, NJ, Ocean County, NJ, Salem County, NJ, Bucks County, PA, Chester County, PA, Delaware County, PA, Montgomery County, PA, Philadelphia County, PA, Accomack County, VA, Albemarle County, VA, Amelia County, VA, Amherst County, VA, Appomattox County, VA, Arlington County, VA, Bedford County, VA, Buckingham County, VA, Campbell County, VA, Caroline County, VA, Charles City County, VA, Charlotte County, VA, Chesterfield County, VA, City of Alexandria, VA, City of Charlottesville, VA, City of Colonial Heights, VA, City of Fairfax, VA, City of Falls Church, VA, City of Fredericksburg, VA, City of Hampton, VA, City of Hopewell, VA, City of Lynchburg, VA, City of Manassas, VA, City of Manassas Park, VA, City of Newport News, VA, City of Petersburg, VA, City of Poquoson, VA, City of Richmond, VA, City of Williamsburg, VA, Culpeper County, VA, Cumberland County, VA, Dinwiddie County, VA, Essex County, VA, Fairfax County, VA, Fauquier County, VA, Fluvanna County, VA, Gloucester County, VA, Goochland County, VA, Greene County, VA, Hanover County, VA, Henrico County, VA, James City County, VA, King and Queen County, VA, King George County, VA, King William County, VA, Lancaster County, VA, Loudoun County, VA, Louisa County, VA, Madison County, VA, Mathews County, VA, Middlesex County, VA, Nelson County, VA, New Kent County, VA, Northampton County, VA, Northumberland County, VA, Nottoway County, VA, Orange County, VA, Powhatan County, VA, Prince Edward County, VA, Prince George County, VA, Prince William County, VA, Rappahannock County, VA, Richmond County, VA, Spotsylvania County, VA, Stafford County, VA, Surry County, VA, Westmoreland County, VA, York County, VA
The radar
The Sterling radar (KLWX), 92 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 10%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 5%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 60%
Warnings issued inside it
44 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1, 1:03 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Montgomery | 42 min |
| Jul 1, 1:36 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Spotsylvania, Stafford, City of Fredericksburg | 39 min |
| Jul 1, 1:44 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Anne Arundel, Montgomery, Prince George's | 46 min |
| Jul 1, 1:47 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Spotsylvania | 43 min |
| Jul 1, 1:53 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Loudoun | 52 min |
| Jul 1, 1:59 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Caroline | 46 min |
| Jul 1, 2:10 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Howard, Montgomery | 50 min |
| Jul 1, 2:11 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Culpeper, Fairfax, Fauquier, Loudoun, Prince William, Stafford and 2 more | 49 min |
| Jul 1, 2:18 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Anne Arundel, Prince George's | 42 min |
| Jul 1, 2:25 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | King George | 19 min |
| Jul 1, 2:28 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Montgomery | 47 min |
| Jul 1, 2:37 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Essex, Westmoreland | 23 min |
| Jul 1, 2:40 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Montgomery | 35 min |
| Jul 1, 2:41 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Howard, City of Baltimore | 64 min |
| Jul 1, 2:43 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Charles, Montgomery, Prince George's | 47 min |
| Jul 1, 3:06 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Montgomery, Prince George's | 24 min |
| Jul 1, 3:12 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Kent, Queen Anne's, Talbot | 48 min |
| Jul 1, 3:13 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Berks, Bucks, Chester, Lehigh, Montgomery | 47 min |
| Jul 1, 3:14 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | LWX | Arlington, Fairfax, City of Alexandria, City of Falls Church | 3 hr |
| Jul 1, 3:18 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Charles City, Chesterfield, Henrico, City of Colonial Heights, City of Hopewell | 42 min |
| Jul 1, 3:20 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Anne Arundel, Calvert, Prince George's | 55 min |
| Jul 1, 3:26 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Baltimore, Cecil, Harford | 38 min |
| Jul 1, 3:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Charles City, Chesterfield, Henrico, Prince George, City of Colonial Heights, City of Hopewell and 1 more | 46 min |
| Jul 1, 3:31 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | LWX | Montgomery | 3 hr |
| Jul 1, 3:33 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | LWX | Anne Arundel, Prince George's | 27 min |
| Jul 1, 3:49 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Charles City, James City, New Kent | 41 min |
| Jul 1, 3:50 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | New Castle | 40 min |
| Jul 1, 3:51 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Dorchester, Wicomico | 54 min |
| Jul 1, 3:56 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Caroline, Kent, Queen Anne's, Talbot | 49 min |
| Jul 1, 4:08 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Sussex | 52 min |
| Jul 1, 4:08 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Kent | 52 min |
| Jul 1, 4:15 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Dorchester | 30 min |
| Jul 1, 4:27 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | New Castle | 48 min |
| Jul 1, 4:28 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Essex, Gloucester, James City, King and Queen, King William, Lancaster and 5 more | 62 min |
| Jul 1, 4:32 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Kent, New Castle, Sussex | 43 min |
| Jul 1, 4:55 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Cape May, Cumberland, Salem | 80 min |
| Jul 1, 4:57 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | PHI | Kent, Sussex | 22 min |
| Jul 1, 4:59 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Burlington, Camden, Gloucester, Mercer, Middlesex, Monmouth and 2 more | 46 min |
| Jul 1, 5:02 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | PHI | Burlington, Mercer | 28 min |
| Jul 1, 5:12 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Kent, Sussex | 48 min |
| Jul 1, 5:21 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Somerset, Worcester | 39 min |
| Jul 1, 5:27 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Atlantic, Burlington, Camden, Cape May, Cumberland, Gloucester and 5 more | 93 min |
| Jul 1, 5:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Dorchester, Somerset, Wicomico, Worcester | 29 min |
| Jul 1, 5:35 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | PHI | Mercer, Monmouth, Ocean | 25 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), launched 12:00Z, 4.8 hours before the alert went out and 86 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 604 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -48 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 928 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 32 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 61 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 108 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.2
- Supercell composite
- 1.2
The text
As transmitted.
285 WWUS20 KWNS 011643 SEL1 SPC WW 011643 DCZ000-DEZ000-MDZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-VAZ000-CWZ000-020000- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 331 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1240 PM EDT Thu Jul 1 2021 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of District Of Columbia Delaware Maryland Central and southern New Jersey Extreme southeastern Pennsylvania Central and northeastern Virginia Coastal Waters * Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 1240 PM until 800 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms are expected to form near and east of the Blue Ridge this afternoon, and storms will spread eastward toward Chesapeake Bay and the Atlantic coast through this evening. The storm environment favors a mix of multicell clusters and line segments capable of producing damaging winds. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 90 statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles south southwest of Richmond VA to 15 miles west northwest of Philadelphia PA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 27030. ...Thompson
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1, 11:45 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Kent, New Castle, Sussex | 2 hr |
| Jul 1, 2:36 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Kent, New Castle | 84 min |
| Jul 1, 4:16 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Kent, New Castle, Sussex | 89 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Virginia, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Maryland, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New Jersey, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.