Alert archive / Georgia / Mesoscale Discussions in 2021

Mesoscale Discussion 542

May 4, 202113 counties in Florida; 30 counties in Georgia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 4, 2021, 9:28 PM CDT for 13 counties in Florida; 30 counties in Georgia. It was in force for 92 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 4, 2021, 9:28 PM CDT (02:28 UTC)
Expired
May 4, 2021, 11:00 PM CDT
In force
92 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe thunderstorm watch 151
All 43 counties

Bay County, FL, Calhoun County, FL, Gadsden County, FL, Gulf County, FL, Holmes County, FL, Jackson County, FL, Jefferson County, FL, Leon County, FL, Liberty County, FL, Okaloosa County, FL, Wakulla County, FL, Walton County, FL, Washington County, FL, Baker County, GA, Ben Hill County, GA, Berrien County, GA, Bibb County, GA, Bleckley County, GA, Brooks County, GA, Colquitt County, GA, Cook County, GA, Crisp County, GA, Decatur County, GA, Dodge County, GA, Dougherty County, GA, Grady County, GA, Houston County, GA, Irwin County, GA, Jones County, GA, Laurens County, GA, Miller County, GA, Mitchell County, GA, Pulaski County, GA, Seminole County, GA, Telfair County, GA, Thomas County, GA, Tift County, GA, Turner County, GA, Twiggs County, GA, Wheeler County, GA, Wilcox County, GA, Wilkinson County, GA, Worth County, GA

The radar

The Ft Rucker radar (KEOX), 86 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:30 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Tallahassee Rgnl, FL (KTLH), launched 00:00Z, 2.5 hours before the alert went out and 114 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tallahassee Rgnl, FL at 00:00Z on 2021-05-05Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1458 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tallahassee Rgnl, FL at 00:00Z on 2021-05-05The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 97 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1458 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-7 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1099 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
97 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
134 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.8
Supercell composite
5.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

056 
ACUS11 KWNS 050229
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 050228 
GAZ000-FLZ000-ALZ000-050400-

Mesoscale Discussion 0542
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0928 PM CDT Tue May 04 2021

Areas affected...Portions of the FL Panhandle...far southeastern
AL...and southern/central GA

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 151...

Valid 050228Z - 050400Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 151
continues.

SUMMARY...An isolated strong to damaging wind threat continues in
the short term, but storm intensity should gradually decrease this
evening. Downstream watch issuance is not expected.

DISCUSSION...A long-lived MCS is beginning to show signs of
decreasing intensity over the past hour or so, with cloud top
temperatures warming in IR satellite imagery, lightning flash rates
diminishing, and reflectivity cores aloft weakening. With the
exception of the FL Panhandle, instability gradually wanes with
eastward extent into central GA based on the latest mesoanalysis
estimates. The southern portion of the line in far southeastern AL
and the FL Panhandle has become oriented more parallel to the mean
mid-level flow aloft, and has slowly decelerated. Still, isolated
strong to damaging winds around 50-60 mph may occur with any of the
stronger segments of the line over the next hour or so. A couple of
measured wind gusts around 50 mph have recently occurred, and the
ASOS in Albany GA reported a wind gust of 62 mph at 0211Z. Given the
expectation that overall storm intensity should continue to decrease
through the remainder of the evening, downstream watch issuance is
not expected.

..Gleason.. 05/05/2021

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...JAX...FFC...TAE...MOB...

LAT...LON   30608667 31258496 31778385 32368365 32918386 33128392
            33018307 32538253 31198305 30158414 29638508 30208590
            30368640 30608667

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 4, 7:38 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaker, Calhoun, Chattahoochee, Clay, Crawford, Crisp and 24 more97 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Georgia, 2021Mesoscale Discussions in Florida, 2021Every mesoscale discussion in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.