Alert archive / Alabama / Mesoscale Discussions in 2021

Mesoscale Discussion 34

January 25, 202122 counties in Alabama; 19 counties in Mississippi; 8 counties in Tennessee

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jan 25, 2021, 9:19 PM CST for 22 counties in Alabama; 19 counties in Mississippi; 8 counties in Tennessee. It was in force for 116 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 25, 2021, 9:19 PM CST (03:19 UTC)
Expired
Jan 25, 2021, 11:15 PM CST
In force
116 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Tornado watch 3
All 49 counties

Blount County, AL, Colbert County, AL, Cullman County, AL, Fayette County, AL, Franklin County, AL, Greene County, AL, Hale County, AL, Jackson County, AL, Jefferson County, AL, Lamar County, AL, Lauderdale County, AL, Lawrence County, AL, Limestone County, AL, Madison County, AL, Marion County, AL, Marshall County, AL, Morgan County, AL, Pickens County, AL, Sumter County, AL, Tuscaloosa County, AL, Walker County, AL, Winston County, AL, Attala County, MS, Chickasaw County, MS, Choctaw County, MS, Clay County, MS, Itawamba County, MS, Kemper County, MS, Leake County, MS, Lee County, MS, Lowndes County, MS, Madison County, MS, Monroe County, MS, Neshoba County, MS, Noxubee County, MS, Oktibbeha County, MS, Pontotoc County, MS, Prentiss County, MS, Tishomingo County, MS, Webster County, MS, Winston County, MS, Franklin County, TN, Giles County, TN, Hardin County, TN, Lawrence County, TN, Lincoln County, TN, Marion County, TN, Moore County, TN, Wayne County, TN

The radar

The Columbus AFB radar (KGWX), 25 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:21 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Birmingham, AL (KBMX), launched 00:00Z, 3.3 hours before the alert went out and 157 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Birmingham, AL at 00:00Z on 2021-01-26Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 232 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Birmingham, AL at 00:00Z on 2021-01-26The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 371 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
232 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-87 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
913 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
66 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
371 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
501 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.4
Supercell composite
1.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

620 
ACUS11 KWNS 260319
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 260319 
TNZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-260515-

Mesoscale Discussion 0034
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0919 PM CST Mon Jan 25 2021

Areas affected...Portions of Mississippi...Alabama...Southern
Tennessee

Concerning...Tornado Watch 3...

Valid 260319Z - 260515Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 3 continues.

SUMMARY...Severe threat continues across the eastern two-thirds of
ww003.

DISCUSSION...Multiple organized deeper circulations have been noted
at times across ww003. One or two of these have attempted to produce
tornadoes, especially with the supercell that is currently over
eastern Pickens County AL. This activity has evolved within a
modestly unstable air mass characterized by strong shear and
seemingly favorable environment for possible tornadoes. Even so, the
lack of strong large-scale forcing for ascent (primarily north of
this region across the OH Valley) appears to be somewhat influential
leading to the lack of more meaningful longer-lived supercells.
Overall severe threat will gradually shift across central and
eastern portions of the tornado watch over the next several hours.

..Darrow.. 01/26/2021

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...OHX...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...

LAT...LON   32569032 35358819 35368537 32558760 32569032

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 25, 11:40 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBibb, Blount, Calhoun, Cherokee, Clay, Cleburne and 10 more2 hr
Jan 26, 12:37 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCBibb, Calhoun, Cherokee, Chilton, Clay, Cleburne and 13 more4 hr
Jan 26, 1:58 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBibb, Calhoun, Chilton, Clay, Cleburne, Coosa and 6 more92 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Alabama, 2021Mesoscale Discussions in Mississippi, 2021Mesoscale Discussions in Tennessee, 2021Every mesoscale discussion in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.