Alert archive / Colorado / Flash Flood Warnings in 2021

Flash Flood Warning 90, NWS Pueblo, CO

July 30, 2021Chaffee County, Fremont County, Saguache County, Colorado

NWS Pueblo, CO issued this flash flood warning at Jul 30, 2021, 3:00 PM MDT for Chaffee County, Fremont County, Saguache County, Colorado. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 30, 2021, 3:00 PM MDT (21:00 UTC)
Expired
Jul 30, 2021, 5:42 PM MDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Pueblo, CO
Area
Storm-based polygon
Damage threat
Considerable
Flood severity
None

Counties Chaffee County, CO, Fremont County, CO, Saguache County, CO

The radar

The Pueblo radar (KPUX), 158 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Grand Junction, CO (KGJT), launched 12:00Z, 9.0 hours before the alert went out and 230 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Grand Junction, CO at 12:00Z on 2021-07-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 28 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Grand Junction, CO at 12:00Z on 2021-07-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 16 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
28 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-252 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1537 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
15 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
16 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
101 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

073 
WGUS55 KPUB 302100
FFWPUB
COC015-043-109-310000-
/O.NEW.KPUB.FF.W.0090.210730T2100Z-210731T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
300 PM MDT Fri Jul 30 2021

The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  The Decker Burn Scar in...
  Southeastern Chaffee County in central Colorado...
  Western Fremont County in central Colorado...
  Northeastern Saguache County in central Colorado...

* Until 600 PM MDT.

* At 300 PM MDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing 
  heavy rain over the Decker Burn Scar. Up to 0.5 inches of rain 
  have fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 1 to 2 inches in 1 
  hour. Additional rainfall amounts up to 1 inch are possible in the 
  warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin 
  shortly.

Excessive rainfall over the warning area may cause mud slides near 
steep terrain. The mud slide can consist of rock, mud, vegetation 
and other loose materials.

  HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms
           producing flash flooding in and around the Decker Burn
           Scar.

  SOURCE...Radar.

  IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of areas in and around
           the Decker Burn Scar.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Decker Burn Scar.

This includes the following high risk locations...
	County Road 49 and Bear Creek.

Most of the heavy rain is falling over Dorsey Creek which flows into 
San Luis Creek on Saguache county.  However...additional 
thunderstorm development was occuring on the Chaffee county side of 
the burn scar.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This is a life threatening situation. Heavy rainfall may cause 
extensive and severe flash flooding of creeks...streams...and 
ditches in the Decker Burn Scar. Severe debris flows can also be 
anticipated across roads. Roads and driveways may be washed away in 
places. If you encounter flood waters...climb to safety.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3845 10603 3849 10602 3848 10596 3848 10593
      3840 10596 3839 10597 3841 10605

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
EXPECTED RAINFALL...1-2 INCHES IN 1 HOUR

$$

KT
3 follow-up statements
482 
WGUS75 KPUB 302153
FFSPUB

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
353 PM MDT Fri Jul 30 2021

COC015-043-302203-
/O.CAN.KPUB.FF.W.0090.000000T0000Z-210731T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Chaffee CO-Fremont CO-
353 PM MDT Fri Jul 30 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR THE DECKER BURN SCAR IS CANCELLED FOR 
SOUTHEASTERN CHAFFEE AND WESTERN FREMONT COUNTIES...

Flooding is no longer expected to pose a threat. Please continue to 
heed remaining road closures.

LAT...LON 3845 10603 3845 10602 3845 10601 3844 10601
      3843 10601 3843 10600 3842 10600 3842 10599
      3842 10598 3841 10597 3840 10596 3839 10597
      3841 10605

$$

COC109-310000-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.W.0090.000000T0000Z-210731T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Saguache CO-
353 PM MDT Fri Jul 30 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR THE DECKER BURN SCAR REMAINS IN EFFECT 
UNTIL 6 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR NORTHEASTERN SAGUACHE COUNTY...

At 353 PM MDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy 
rain over the Decker Burn Scar. Up to 1 inch of rain has fallen. 
Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly.

Excessive rainfall over the burn scar may result in debris flow 
moving through the Dorsey and Lone Tree Creeks. The debris flow can 
consist of rock, mud, vegetation and other loose materials.

HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing
         flash flooding in and around the Decker Burn Scar.

SOURCE...Radar.

IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of areas in and around
         the Decker Burn Scar.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Southwestern Decker Burn Scar.

Rainfall has diminished but residual flooding may continue through 
the remainder of the warning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This is a life threatening situation. Heavy rainfall may cause 
extensive and severe flash flooding of creeks...streams...and 
ditches in the Decker Burn Scar. Severe debris flows can also be 
anticipated across roads. Roads and driveways may be washed away in 
places. If you encounter flood waters...climb to safety.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3845 10603 3845 10602 3845 10601 3844 10601
      3843 10601 3843 10600 3842 10600 3842 10599
      3842 10598 3841 10597 3840 10596 3839 10597
      3841 10605

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

$$

AJA
118 
WGUS75 KPUB 302305
FFSPUB

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
505 PM MDT Fri Jul 30 2021

COC109-310000-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.W.0090.000000T0000Z-210731T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Saguache CO-
505 PM MDT Fri Jul 30 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR THE DECKER BURN SCAR REMAINS IN EFFECT 
UNTIL 6 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR NORTHEASTERN SAGUACHE COUNTY...

At 505 PM MDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy 
rain over the Decker Burn Scar have ended. Between 0.5 and 1.5 
inches of rain have fallen. Flash flooding is expected to continue 
until the water has a chance to recede.

Excessive rainfall over the burn scar may result in debris flow 
moving through the Dorsey and Lone Tree Creeks. The debris flow can 
consist of rock, mud, vegetation and other loose materials.

HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing
         flash flooding in and around the Decker Burn Scar.

SOURCE...Radar.

IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of areas in and around
         the Decker Burn Scar.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Southwestern Decker Burn Scar.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This is a life threatening situation. Heavy rainfall may cause 
extensive and severe flash flooding of creeks...streams...and 
ditches in the Decker Burn Scar. Severe debris flows can also be 
anticipated across roads. Roads and driveways may be washed away in 
places. If you encounter flood waters...climb to safety.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3845 10603 3845 10602 3845 10601 3844 10601
      3843 10601 3843 10600 3842 10600 3842 10599
      3842 10598 3841 10597 3840 10596 3839 10597
      3841 10605

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

$$

KT
979 
WGUS75 KPUB 302342
FFSPUB

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
542 PM MDT Fri Jul 30 2021

COC109-302352-
/O.CAN.KPUB.FF.W.0090.000000T0000Z-210731T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Saguache CO-
542 PM MDT Fri Jul 30 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR THE DECKER BURN SCAR IS CANCELLED FOR 
NORTHEASTERN SAGUACHE COUNTY...

Flood waters have receded. The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no 
longer expected to pose a threat. Please continue to heed remaining 
road closures.

LAT...LON 3845 10603 3845 10602 3845 10601 3844 10601
      3843 10601 3843 10600 3842 10600 3842 10599
      3842 10598 3841 10597 3840 10596 3839 10597
      3841 10605

$$

KT

The office that day

Everything else NWS Pueblo, CO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 30, 3:18 AM MDTFlash Flood WatchPUBChaffee, Lake, Saguache20 hr
Jul 30, 1:48 PM MDTFlash Flood WatchPUBAlamosa, Baca, Bent, Chaffee, Conejos, Costilla and 13 more40 hr
Jul 30, 2:22 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBTeller38 min
Jul 30, 3:44 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBAlamosa31 min
Jul 30, 4:07 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBCuster23 min
Jul 30, 4:13 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBAlamosa32 min
Jul 30, 4:14 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBSaguache31 min
Jul 30, 4:54 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBConejos36 min
Jul 30, 5:16 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningPUBSaguache2 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Colorado, 2021Every flash flood warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.