Alert archive / Colorado / Flash Flood Warnings in 2021

Flash Flood Warning 51, NWS Pueblo, CO

July 13, 2021Custer County, Fremont County, Saguache County, Colorado

NWS Pueblo, CO issued this flash flood warning at Jul 13, 2021, 3:11 PM MDT for Custer County, Fremont County, Saguache County, Colorado. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 13, 2021, 3:11 PM MDT (21:11 UTC)
Expired
Jul 13, 2021, 6:15 PM MDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Pueblo, CO
Area
Storm-based polygon
Damage threat
Considerable
Flood severity
None

Counties Custer County, CO, Fremont County, CO, Saguache County, CO

The radar

The Pueblo radar (KPUX), 140 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Grand Junction, CO (KGJT), launched 12:00Z, 9.2 hours before the alert went out and 254 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Grand Junction, CO at 12:00Z on 2021-07-13Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 27 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Grand Junction, CO at 12:00Z on 2021-07-13The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 111 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
27 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-350 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
3436 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
111 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
184 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

189 
WGUS55 KPUB 132111
FFWPUB
COC027-043-109-140015-
/O.NEW.KPUB.FF.W.0051.210713T2111Z-210714T0015Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
311 PM MDT Tue Jul 13 2021

The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  The Hayden Pass Burn Scar in...
  Southwestern Fremont County in central Colorado...
  Northeastern Saguache County in central Colorado...
  Northwestern Custer County in southeastern Colorado...

* Until 615 PM MDT.

* At 311 PM MDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing 
  heavy rain over the Hayden Pass Burn Scar. The expected rainfall 
  rate is 1 to 2 inches in 1 hour. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 
  to 2 inches are possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is 
  ongoing or expected to begin shortly.

Excessive rainfall over the warning area will cause mud slides near 
steep terrain. The mud slide can consist of rock, mud, vegetation 
and other loose materials.

  HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms
           producing flash flooding in and around the Hayden Pass
           Burn Scar.

  SOURCE...Radar.

  IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of areas in and around
           the Hayden Pass Burn Scar.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Hayden Pass Burn Scar.

This includes the following high risk locations...
Cutty's Resort On Hayden Creek Road and Big Cottonwood Creek along 
County Road 40.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This is a life threatening situation. Heavy rainfall will cause 
extensive and severe flash flooding of creeks...streams...and 
ditches in the Hayden Pass Burn Scar. Severe debris flows can also 
be anticipated across roads. Roads and driveways may be washed away 
in places. If you encounter flood waters...climb to safety.

Move away from recently burned areas. Life-threatening flooding of 
creeks, roads and normally dry arroyos is likely. The heavy rains 
will likely trigger rockslides, mudslides and debris flows in steep 
terrain, especially in and around these areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3830 10585 3837 10579 3829 10565 3822 10575

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
EXPECTED RAINFALL...1-2 INCHES IN 1 HOUR

$$

Cohen
2 follow-up statements
673 
WGUS75 KPUB 132146
FFSPUB

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
346 PM MDT Tue Jul 13 2021

COC027-043-109-140015-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.W.0051.000000T0000Z-210714T0015Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Custer CO-Fremont CO-Saguache CO-
346 PM MDT Tue Jul 13 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR THE HAYDEN PASS BURN SCAR REMAINS IN 
EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR SOUTHWESTERN FREMONT, 
NORTHEASTERN SAGUACHE AND NORTHWESTERN CUSTER COUNTIES...

At 346 PM MDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy 
rain over the Hayden Pass Burn Scar. Flash flooding is ongoing or 
expected to begin shortly.

Excessive rainfall over the warning area will cause mud slides near 
steep terrain. The mud slide can consist of rock, mud, vegetation 
and other loose materials.

HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing
         flash flooding in and around the Hayden Pass Burn Scar.

SOURCE...Radar.

IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of areas in and around
         the Hayden Pass Burn Scar.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Hayden Pass Burn Scar.

This includes the following high risk locations...
Cutty's Resort On Hayden Creek Road and Big Cottonwood Creek along 
County Road 40.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This is a life threatening situation. Heavy rainfall will cause 
extensive and severe flash flooding of creeks...streams...and 
ditches in the Hayden Pass Burn Scar. Severe debris flows can also 
be anticipated across roads. Roads and driveways may be washed away 
in places. If you encounter flood waters...climb to safety.

Move away from recently burned areas. Life-threatening flooding of 
creeks, roads and normally dry arroyos is likely. The heavy rains 
will likely trigger rockslides, mudslides and debris flows in steep 
terrain, especially in and around these areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3830 10585 3837 10579 3829 10565 3822 10575

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

$$

Cohen
631 
WGUS75 KPUB 140011
FFSPUB

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
611 PM MDT Tue Jul 13 2021

COC027-043-109-140021-
/O.EXP.KPUB.FF.W.0051.000000T0000Z-210714T0015Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Custer CO-Fremont CO-Saguache CO-
611 PM MDT Tue Jul 13 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR THE HAYDEN PASS BURN SCAR WILL EXPIRE AT 
615 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR SOUTHWESTERN FREMONT, NORTHEASTERN 
SAGUACHE AND NORTHWESTERN CUSTER COUNTIES...

The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a 
threat. Please continue to heed remaining road closures.

LAT...LON 3830 10585 3837 10579 3829 10565 3822 10575

$$

Moore

The office that day

Everything else NWS Pueblo, CO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 13, 12:50 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBTeller40 min
Jul 13, 1:08 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBTeller21 min
Jul 13, 1:24 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBChaffee36 min
Jul 13, 1:29 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBTeller31 min
Jul 13, 2:50 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBSaguache25 min
Jul 13, 3:01 PM MDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatPUBChaffee, Fremont, Saguache3 hr
Jul 13, 4:18 PM MDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatPUBChaffee3 hr
Jul 13, 4:22 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBHuerfano38 min
Jul 13, 4:43 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBHuerfano32 min
Jul 13, 4:56 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBHuerfano34 min
Jul 13, 5:15 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBLas Animas45 min
Jul 13, 5:27 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBHuerfano48 min
Jul 13, 5:29 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBOtero46 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Colorado, 2021Every flash flood warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.