Alert archive / New Jersey / Flood Watches in 2021

Flood Watch 2, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

October 29, 2021Morris County, New Jersey

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this flood watch at Oct 29, 2021, 4:13 PM EDT for Morris County, New Jersey. It took effect at Oct 29, 2021, 8:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 29, 2021, 4:13 PM EDT (20:13 UTC)
In effect from
Oct 29, 2021, 8:00 PM EDT
Expired
Oct 30, 2021, 3:59 AM EDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
Flood severity
None

County Morris County, NJ

The radar

The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 102 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 12:00Z, 8.2 hours before the alert went out and 141 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2021-10-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2021-10-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 12 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
946 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
12 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
37 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

756 
WGUS61 KPHI 292013
FFAPHI

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
413 PM EDT Fri Oct 29 2021

NJZ008-300815-
/O.NEW.KPHI.FA.A.0002.211030T0000Z-211031T1000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Morris-
Including the cities of Morristown
413 PM EDT Fri Oct 29 2021

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE 
SATURDAY NIGHT...

The National Weather Service in Mount Holly has issued a

* Flood Watch for a portion of northern New Jersey...including the 
  following area...Morris.

* From 8 PM EDT this evening through late Saturday night.

* Rain, moderate to heavy at times, is expected to move into the 
  northern New Jersey this evening and persist, on and off, through 
  Saturday. The rain will be heaviest tonight. The Passaic River 
  remains high from the rain that fell earlier in the week. At Pine 
  Brook, water levels are not expected to drop below flood stage 
  before new rises begin. The crest at Pine Brook could exceed 
  moderate flood stage. Additionally, the forecast points at 
  Chatham, Singac, and Little Falls could exceed flood stage this 
  weekend. As a result of these forecast points potentially 
  exceeding flood stage, a flood watch has been issued.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood 
Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared 
to take action should flooding develop.

&&

$$

Kruzdlo
2 follow-up statements
074 
WGUS61 KPHI 300602
FFAPHI

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
202 AM EDT Sat Oct 30 2021

NJZ008-301815-
/O.CON.KPHI.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-211031T1000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Morris-
Including the cities of Morristown
202 AM EDT Sat Oct 30 2021

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

The Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of northern New Jersey...including the following area...
  Morris.

* Through late tonight.

* The Passaic River remains high from rain that fell earlier in the 
  week. At Pine Brook, water levels are not expected to drop below 
  flood stage for at least the next few days. At Chatham, Singac, 
  and Little Falls, another rise in river levels due to the recent 
  rain Friday and Friday night could result in additional flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor later forecasts and be alert of possible Flood Warnings. 
Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take 
action should flooding develop.

&&

$$

SFJ
303 
WGUS61 KPHI 300759
FFAPHI

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
359 AM EDT Sat Oct 30 2021

NJZ008-300900-
/O.CAN.KPHI.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-211031T1000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Morris-
Including the cities of Morristown
359 AM EDT Sat Oct 30 2021

...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Watch for a portion of northern New Jersey...including the 
following area...Morris has been cancelled.

The Flood Watch is cancelled. No new flooding is expected along the 
Passaic. However, a flood warning remains in effect for the the 
Passaic River at Pine Brook. The river at this location is forecast 
to remain above flood stage until early Monday Morning. Please 
continue to heed remaining road closures.

$$

SFJ

The office that day

Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 29, 6:10 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPHICape May, Cumberland, Gloucester, Salem3 hr
Oct 29, 7:38 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPHIBurlington, Camden, Cumberland, Gloucester, Salem3 hr

Nearby

Flood Watches in New Jersey, 2021Every flood watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.