Alert archive / California / High Surf Advisories in 2021

High Surf Advisory 7, NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA

October 22, 20216 counties in California

NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA issued this high surf advisory at Oct 22, 2021, 12:56 PM PDT for 6 counties in California. It was in force for 10 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 22, 2021, 12:56 PM PDT (19:56 UTC)
Expired
Oct 22, 2021, 11:00 PM PDT
In force
10 hr
Issued by
NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA

Counties City and County of San Francisco, CA, Marin County, CA, Monterey County, CA, San Mateo County, CA, Santa Cruz County, CA, Sonoma County, CA

The radar

The San Francisco radar (KMUX), 53 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Oakland, CA (KOAK), launched 12:00Z, 7.9 hours before the alert went out and 26 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Oakland, CA at 12:00Z on 2021-10-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Oakland, CA at 12:00Z on 2021-10-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 177 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
644 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
50 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
177 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
206 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

633 
WHUS46 KMTR 221956
CFWMTR

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service San Francisco CA
1256 PM PDT Fri Oct 22 2021

...HIGH SURF POSSIBLE FOR REMAINDER OF FRIDAY AT WEST TO 
NORTHWEST FACING BEACHES...

.The storm system currently impacting the region generated
stronger than modeled wave energy in an area between Cape 
Mendocino and Point Arena earlier this morning. This wave energy
has since moved southward off our immediate coast, with buoy data
from Point Arena southward through the Central Coast reporting a
modest uptick in swell height and period. This wave energy is expected
to arrive intermittently at area beaches through the remainder of
the day and could result in potentially hazardous beach and surf 
zone conditions, particularly at west to northwest facing beaches.
There may be periods of longer lulls between larger waves. This 
wave energy subsides overnight and into Saturday. An additional, 
much larger WNW swell train is expected to arrive with and after 
the atmospheric river from late Sunday into early Tuesday.

CAZ006-505-509-529-530-230600-
/O.NEW.KMTR.SU.Y.0007.211022T1956Z-211023T0600Z/
San Francisco-
Coastal North Bay Including Point Reyes National Seashore-
San Francisco Peninsula Coast-Northern Monterey Bay-
Southern Monterey Bay and Big Sur Coast-
1256 PM PDT Fri Oct 22 2021

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Breaking waves of 15 to 20 feet, increased risk of rip 
  currents and longshore currents, enhanced wave run up on 
  beaches.

* WHERE...Primarily west to northwest facing beaches of the entire
  coastline from Sonoma southward through Big Sur including but
  not limited to: ocean beach, montara state beach, halfmoon bay
  state beach, manresa state beach, and marina state beach.

* WHEN...Until 11 PM PDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Dangerous swimming and surfing conditions and 
  localized beach erosion.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...People walking along the beach should never
  turn their back to the sea. Avoid fishing from rocks or jetties.
  The coastal waters remain cold. Cold water shock may cause
  cardiac arrest and it also can cause an involuntary gasp reflex
  causing drowning, even for a good swimmer. The surf zone will be
  dangerous due to larger breaking waves and strong rip currents.
  A stronger event will occur late Sunday to Tuesday, peaking 
  Monday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced swimmers should remain out of the water due to
dangerous surf conditions.

&&

$$
2 follow-up statements
145 
WHUS46 KMTR 222118
CFWMTR

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service San Francisco CA
218 PM PDT Fri Oct 22 2021

...TWO SEPARATE PROGRESSIVELY LARGER SWELL TRAINS WILL BRING 
COASTAL HAZARDS TO WEST TO NORTHWEST FACING BEACHES...

.A pair of strong, early season storm systems will result in
coastal hazards between today and next Tuesday. The first of these
storm systems is impacting the region today and has already 
generated an area of heightened wave energy. Buoys along our coast
has reported a modest uptick in wave height and period and cams
show some of this increased energy now arriving at the coast.
Large breaking waves of 15 to 20 feet, increased risk of longshore
and rip currents, and enhanced coastal runup are all possible
through the remainder of the day as this intermittent wave energy
washes ashore, especially at west facing beaches. A high surf
advisory is in effect until 11 PM this evening due to this threat.
Then, a very strong atmospheric river storm system will move
through the region late this weekend into early next week. Very
large, long period swell is expected to be generated from this
storm as it passes. This wave energy will then transition through
the coastal waters from late Sunday into Tuesday, and peak on
Monday. Swell of 16 to 24 feet at 16 to 18 seconds is forecast to
arrive with the largest swell train as it peaks on Monday and
result in a number of coastal hazards. These hazards include large
breaking waves of 20 to 30 feet (higher at favored break points),
increased risk of strong longshore and rip currents, increased
risk of coastal erosion and minor coastal flooding, and enhanced 
coastal run up concerns due to the summer beach profiles in place.
Due to the early arrival of these large waves, many beaches are
still transitioning from their summer beach profiles and lack the
features and steepness to resist larger wave run up on coasts.
This means that more of this wave energy will have a chance to
move onto the beach and overtake individuals, potentially injuring
them, or pulling them into the cold ocean. Each year, people die 
at the coast due to these or similar ocean conditions. A high 
surf warning for the entire coast has been issued for this threat 
and is in effect from 11PM Sunday to 11AM Tuesday, with the 
highest risks once again at west to northwest facing beaches. 


CAZ006-505-509-529-530-230600-
/O.NEW.KMTR.SU.W.0002.211025T0600Z-211026T1800Z/
/O.CON.KMTR.SU.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-211023T0600Z/
San Francisco-
Coastal North Bay Including Point Reyes National Seashore-
San Francisco Peninsula Coast-Northern Monterey Bay-
Southern Monterey Bay and Big Sur Coast-
218 PM PDT Fri Oct 22 2021

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS
EVENING...
...HIGH SURF WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM SUNDAY TO 11 AM PDT
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...For today's High Surf Advisory, intermittent large
  breaking waves of 15 to 20 feet, increased coastal run up,
  stronger rip currents and longshore currents. For the High Surf
  Warning, dangerously large breaking waves of 20 to 30 feet,
  greatly increased coastal run up, strong rip currents and
  longshore currents, and increased risk of coastal run up and
  minor coastal flooding in low lying areas.
 
* WHERE...Entire Pacific Coast from Sonoma to Monterey county.
  Highest risk at west to northwest facing beaches, including but
  not limited to: Ocean Beach, Montara State Beach, Half Moon Bay
  State Beach, Manresa State Beach, and Marina State Beach.

* WHEN...For the High Surf Advisory, until 11 PM PDT this evening. For
  the High Surf Warning, from 11 PM Sunday to 11 AM PDT Tuesday. 

* IMPACTS...Breaking waves can sweep people off jetties and 
  docks, and into dangerous seas. Life-threatening swimming 
  conditions and significant beach erosion can be expected.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Today's high surf advisory is for
  moderately large intermittent risks and should not downplay the
  expected risk arriving during the high surf warning. The high 
  surf warning will see much stronger wave action and coastal 
  threats, especially on Monday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Everyone should remain out of the water due to life-threatening
surf conditions. Stay off of jetties, piers, and other waterside
infrastructure.

&&

$$
685 
WHUS46 KMTR 230558
CFWMTR

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service San Francisco CA
1058 PM PDT Fri Oct 22 2021

...A VERY LARGE SWELL TRAIN WILL BRING COASTAL HAZARDS TO WEST TO
NORTHWEST FACING BEACHES...

.Strong, early season storm systems will result in coastal 
hazards returning next Tuesday. A very strong atmospheric river
and storm system will move through the region late this weekend
and early next week. Very large, long period swell will accompany
this storm as it passes. This wave energy will transition through
the coastal waters from late Sunday into Tuesday, and peak on 
Monday. Swell of 16 to 24 feet at 16 to 18 seconds is forecast to 
arrive with the largest swell train as it peaks on Monday and 
result in a number of coastal hazards. These hazards include large
breaking waves of 20 to 30 feet (higher at favored break points),
increased risk of strong longshore and rip currents, increased 
risk of coastal erosion and minor coastal flooding, and enhanced 
coastal run up concerns due to the summer beach profiles in place.
Due to the early arrival of these large waves, many beaches are 
still transitioning from their summer beach profiles and lack the 
features and steepness to resist larger wave run up on coasts. 
This means that more of this wave energy will have a chance to 
move onto the beach and overtake individuals, potentially injuring
them, or pulling them into the cold ocean. Each year, people die 
at the coast due to these or similar ocean conditions. A high surf
warning for the entire coast has been issued for this threat and 
is in effect from 11PM Sunday to 11AM Tuesday, with the highest 
risks once again at west to northwest facing beaches.

CAZ006-505-509-529-530-231200-
/O.EXP.KMTR.SU.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-211023T0600Z/
/O.CON.KMTR.SU.W.0002.211025T0600Z-211026T1800Z/
San Francisco-
Coastal North Bay Including Point Reyes National Seashore-
San Francisco Peninsula Coast-Northern Monterey Bay-
Southern Monterey Bay and Big Sur Coast-
1058 PM PDT Fri Oct 22 2021

...HIGH SURF WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM SUNDAY TO 11 AM
PDT TUESDAY...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...For the High Surf Warning, dangerously large breaking 
  waves of 20 to 30 feet, greatly increased coastal run up, strong
  rip currents and longshore currents, and increased risk of 
  coastal run up and minor coastal flooding in low lying areas.

* WHERE...Entire Pacific Coast from Sonoma to Monterey county. 
  Highest risk at west to northwest facing beaches, including 
  but not limited to: Ocean Beach, Montara State Beach, Half 
  Moon Bay State Beach, Manresa State Beach, and Marina State 
  Beach.

* WHEN...For the High Surf Warning, from 11 PM Sunday to 11 AM 
  PDT Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Breaking waves can sweep people off jetties and 
  docks, and into dangerous seas. Life-threatening swimming 
  conditions and significant beach erosion can be expected.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The high surf warning will bring strong 
  wave action and coastal threats, especially on Monday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Everyone should remain out of the water due to life-threatening
surf conditions. Stay off of jetties, piers, and other waterside
infrastructure.

&&

$$

The office that day

Everything else NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 22, 10:48 AM PDTFlash Flood WatchMTRMarin, Monterey, Napa, San Mateo, Santa Clara, Santa Cruz and 1 more65 hr
Oct 22, 1:38 PM PDTWind AdvisoryMTRAlameda, Contra Costa, Marin, Monterey, Napa, San Benito and 5 more57 hr
Oct 22, 2:18 PM PDTHigh Surf WarningMTRMarin, Monterey, City and County of San Francisco, San Mateo, Santa Cruz, Sonoma4 days

Nearby

High Surf Advisories in California, 2021Every high surf advisory in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.