Alert archive / Missouri / River Flood Warnings in 2021

River Flood Warning 138, NWS St. Louis, MO

July 31, 2021Marion County, Missouri

NWS St. Louis, MO issued this river flood warning at Jul 31, 2021, 9:50 AM CDT for Marion County, Missouri. It took effect at Jul 31, 2021, 4:35 PM CDT. It was in force for 66 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 31, 2021, 9:50 AM CDT (14:50 UTC)
In effect from
Jul 31, 2021, 4:35 PM CDT
Expired
Aug 3, 2021, 11:03 AM CDT
In force
66 hr
Issued by
NWS St. Louis, MO
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Marion County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 156 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point South Fabius River near Taylor (TAYM7). The gauge peaked at 11.79 ft at Aug 2, 2021, 8:00 AM CDT.

actionminormoderate5101507/3108/0108/0208/0308/04
Action stage
8 ft
Minor stage
10 ft
Moderate stage
14 ft
Major stage
19 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05500000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

458 
WGUS43 KLSX 311450
FLWLSX

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service St Louis MO
950 AM CDT Sat Jul 31 2021

...The National Weather Service in St Louis MO has issued a Flood 
Warning for the following rivers in Missouri...

  South Fabius River near Taylor.

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted. The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions change.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

  

&&


MOC127-020300-
/O.NEW.KLSX.FL.W.0138.210731T2135Z-210804T1101Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.210731T2135Z.210802T0000Z.210803T0500Z.NO/
950 AM CDT Sat Jul 31 2021

The National Weather Service in St Louis has issued a

* Flood Warning for
  the South Fabius River near Taylor.
* From this afternoon to Wednesday morning.
* At 9:30 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 8.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late 
  this afternoon to a crest of 12.7 feet tomorrow evening. It will 
  then fall below flood stage early Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 12.5 feet, Marion County Road 150 will be flooded near 
  this height.

&&


                  Fld   Observed        Forecasts (7 am CDT)
Location          Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu

South Fabius River
Taylor            10.0  8.7   Sat 9 am  11.9  12.4  8.1   2.8   2.2





&&

LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172
      3989 9176

$$

Maples
6 follow-up statements
192 
WGUS43 KLSX 010122
FLWLSX

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service St Louis MO
822 PM CDT Sat Jul 31 2021

...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity and 
increased in duration for the following rivers in Missouri...

  South Fabius River near Taylor.

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

  

&&


MOC127-021330-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0138.000000T0000Z-210804T0452Z/
/TAYM7.2.ER.210731T1505Z.210801T1800Z.210802T2252Z.NO/
822 PM CDT Sat Jul 31 2021

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity and 
increased in duration until late Tuesday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the South Fabius River near Taylor.
* Until late Tuesday evening.
* At 7:30 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 11.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise to 15.1 feet tomorrow evening. It 
  will then fall below flood stage Monday afternoon to 2.0 feet and 
  begin rising again early Thursday afternoon. It will rise to 2.1 
  feet early Saturday morning. It will then fall again and remain 
  below flood stage.
* Impact...At 15.1 feet, a small levee immediately downstream of the 
  gage is overtopped, flooding agricultural fields.

&&


                  Fld   Observed        Forecasts (7 pm CDT)
Location          Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu

South Fabius River
Taylor            10.0  11.7  Sat 7 pm  15.1  9.7   4.2   2.3   2.1





&&

LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172
      3989 9176

$$

Carney
166 
WGUS83 KLSX 011528
FLSLSX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
1028 AM CDT Sun Aug 1 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Middle Fabius River near Ewing.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  South Fabius River near Taylor.

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

  

&&


MOC111-030330-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0139.000000T0000Z-210803T1905Z/
/EWMM7.1.ER.210731T2230Z.210802T0000Z.210802T1305Z.NO/
1028 AM CDT Sun Aug 1 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Tuesday 
afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Middle Fabius River near Ewing.
* Until early Tuesday afternoon.
* At 9:30 AM CDT Sunday the stage was 13.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 9:30 AM CDT Sunday was 13.6 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 13.9 feet 
  this evening. It will then fall below flood stage tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 15.7 feet, Right bank overflows upstream of bridge 
  near the gage.

&&


                   Fld   Observed        Forecasts (1 pm CDT)
Location           Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri

Middle Fabius River
Ewing              12.0  13.6  Sun 9 am  11.1  7.7   5.0   4.0   3.6





&&

LAT...LON 4010 9179 4012 9175 3995 9158 3994 9162

$$

MOC127-030330-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0138.000000T0000Z-210803T2024Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.210731T1505Z.210801T0400Z.210802T1424Z.NO/
1028 AM CDT Sun Aug 1 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Tuesday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the South Fabius River near Taylor.
* Until Tuesday afternoon.
* At 9:30 AM CDT Sunday the stage was 10.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 9:30 AM CDT Sunday was 11.6 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late 
  tomorrow morning and continue falling to 2.0 feet Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet, Small levee immediately downstream of the 
  gage is overtopped, flooding agricultural fields.

&&


                  Fld   Observed        Forecasts (1 pm CDT)
Location          Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri

South Fabius River
Taylor            10.0  10.9  Sun 9 am  9.7   5.5   2.6   2.1   2.1





&&

LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172
      3989 9176

$$

Maples
402 
WGUS83 KLSX 020121
FLSLSX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
821 PM CDT Sun Aug 1 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Middle Fabius River near Ewing.

  South Fabius River near Taylor.

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

  

&&


MOC111-031330-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0139.000000T0000Z-210803T2010Z/
/EWMM7.1.ER.210731T2230Z.210801T2030Z.210802T1410Z.NO/
821 PM CDT Sun Aug 1 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Tuesday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Middle Fabius River near Ewing.
* Until Tuesday afternoon.
* At 7:30 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 13.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late 
  tomorrow morning and continue falling to 3.2 feet Sunday evening.
* Impact...At 15.7 feet, Right bank overflows upstream of bridge 
  near the gage.

&&


                   Fld   Observed        Forecasts (7 pm CDT)
Location           Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri

Middle Fabius River
Ewing              12.0  13.7  Sun 7 pm  10.5  7.0   4.4   3.9   3.5





&&

LAT...LON 4010 9179 4012 9175 3995 9158 3994 9162

$$

MOC127-031330-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0138.000000T0000Z-210804T0000Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.210731T1505Z.210801T0400Z.210802T1800Z.NO/
821 PM CDT Sun Aug 1 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Tuesday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the South Fabius River near Taylor.
* Until Tuesday evening.
* At 7:30 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 11.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 11.5 feet 
  just after midnight tonight. It will then fall below flood stage 
  early tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet, Small levee immediately downstream of the 
  gage is overtopped, flooding agricultural fields.

&&


                  Fld   Observed        Forecasts (7 pm CDT)
Location          Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri

South Fabius River
Taylor            10.0  11.4  Sun 7 pm  8.4   4.5   2.3   2.1   2.1





&&

LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172
      3989 9176

$$

Carney
954 
WGUS83 KLSX 021604
FLSLSX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
1104 AM CDT Mon Aug 2 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Middle Fabius River near Ewing.

  South Fabius River near Taylor.

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

  

&&


MOC111-040415-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0139.000000T0000Z-210804T1656Z/
/EWMM7.1.ER.210731T2230Z.210802T1800Z.210803T1056Z.NO/
1104 AM CDT Mon Aug 2 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late Wednesday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Middle Fabius River near Ewing.
* Until late Wednesday morning.
* At 10:30 AM CDT Monday the stage was 13.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 10:30 AM CDT Monday was 14.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 14.1 feet 
  this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage late tonight.
* Impact...At 15.7 feet, Right bank overflows upstream of bridge 
  near the gage.

&&


                   Fld   Observed        Forecasts (1 pm CDT)
Location           Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

Middle Fabius River
Ewing              12.0  13.9  Mon 10 am 10.2  5.6   4.0   3.6   3.3





&&

LAT...LON 4010 9179 4012 9175 3995 9158 3994 9162

$$

MOC127-040415-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0138.000000T0000Z-210804T2000Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.210731T1505Z.210802T1800Z.210803T1400Z.NO/
1104 AM CDT Mon Aug 2 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Wednesday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the South Fabius River near Taylor.
* Until Wednesday afternoon.
* At 10:30 AM CDT Monday the stage was 11.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 10:30 AM CDT Monday was 11.9 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to 11.9 feet this afternoon. It 
  will then fall below flood stage late tomorrow morning to 1.9 feet 
  and begin rising again Sunday morning. It will rise to 2.0 feet 
  Sunday evening. It will then fall again and remain below flood 
  stage.
* Impact...At 12.5 feet, Marion County Road 150 will be flooded near 
  this height.

&&


                  Fld   Observed        Forecasts (1 pm CDT)
Location          Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

South Fabius River
Taylor            10.0  11.8  Mon 10 am 9.0   4.4   2.8   2.4   2.1





&&

LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172
      3989 9176

$$
913 
WGUS83 KLSX 030052
FLSLSX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
752 PM CDT Mon Aug 2 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  South Fabius River near Taylor.

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

  

&&


MOC127-041300-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0138.000000T0000Z-210804T1800Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.210731T1505Z.210802T1345Z.210803T1200Z.NO/
752 PM CDT Mon Aug 2 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Wednesday 
afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the South Fabius River near Taylor.
* Until early Wednesday afternoon.
* At 7:30 PM CDT Monday the stage was 11.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage 
  tomorrow morning and continue falling to 1.9 feet Monday evening.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet, Small levee immediately downstream of the 
  gage is overtopped, flooding agricultural fields.

&&


                  Fld   Observed        Forecasts (7 pm CDT)
Location          Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

South Fabius River
Taylor            10.0  11.3  Mon 7 pm  7.9   4.5   2.6   2.1   2.0





&&

LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172
      3989 9176

$$

Carney
623 
WGUS83 KLSX 031603
FLSLSX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
1103 AM CDT Tue Aug 3 2021

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  South Fabius River near Taylor.

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.

MOC127-031715-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0138.000000T0000Z-210803T1603Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.210731T1505Z.210802T1345Z.210803T0900Z.NO/
1103 AM CDT Tue Aug 3 2021

...The Flood Warning for the South Fabius River near Taylor has been 
cancelled...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the South Fabius River near Taylor.
* At 10:30 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 9.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 1.9 feet Tuesday 
  morning.

&&


                  Fld   Observed        Forecasts (1 pm CDT)
Location          Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

South Fabius River
Taylor            10.0  9.0   Tue 10 am 4.7   2.9   2.2   2.0   2.0





&&

LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172
      3989 9176

$$

Pfahler

The office that day

Everything else NWS St. Louis, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 31, 5:34 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryLSXKnox, Lewis3 hr
Jul 31, 6:51 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryLSXMarion, Shelby3 hr
Jul 31, 7:39 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXMarion3 hr
Jul 31, 9:49 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXMarion18 hr
Jul 31, 3:05 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXLewis49 hr
Jul 31, 5:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXIron, Reynolds21 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2021Every river flood warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.