Alert archive / Michigan / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 98, NWS Grand Rapids, MI

October 11, 2021Osceola County, Michigan

NWS Grand Rapids, MI issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Oct 11, 2021, 4:49 PM EDT for Osceola County, Michigan. It was in force for 26 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 11, 2021, 4:49 PM EDT (20:49 UTC)
Expired
Oct 11, 2021, 5:15 PM EDT
In force
26 min
Issued by
NWS Grand Rapids, MI
Area
Storm-based polygon
Tornado
Possible
Hail
0.75 in
Wind
60.0 mph

County Osceola County, MI

The radar

The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 104 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 215 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2021-10-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 165 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2021-10-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 112 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
165 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-185 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
957 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
112 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
186 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

555 
WUUS53 KGRR 112049
SVRGRR
MIC133-112115-
/O.NEW.KGRR.SV.W.0098.211011T2049Z-211011T2115Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
449 PM EDT Mon Oct 11 2021

The National Weather Service in Grand Rapids has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Northern Osceola County in central Michigan...

* Until 515 PM EDT.

* At 448 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 11 miles northwest
  of Evart, moving northeast at 40 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and penny size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...
  Highland...            Le Roy...              Tustin...
  Dighton...             

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain alert for a possible tornado! Tornadoes can develop quickly
from severe thunderstorms. If you spot a tornado go at once into the
basement or small central room in a sturdy structure.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4416 8513 4402 8525 4395 8543 4400 8556
      4417 8546
TIME...MOT...LOC 2048Z 207DEG 34KT 4403 8540 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

CAS
2 follow-up statements
449 
WWUS53 KGRR 112105
SVSGRR

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
505 PM EDT Mon Oct 11 2021

MIC133-112115-
/O.CON.KGRR.SV.W.0098.000000T0000Z-211011T2115Z/
Osceola MI-
505 PM EDT Mon Oct 11 2021

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM EDT
FOR NORTH CENTRAL OSCEOLA COUNTY...

At 505 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 10 miles south of 
Cadillac, or 5 miles east of Tustin, moving northeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Highland...            Dighton...             

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain alert for a possible tornado! Tornadoes can develop quickly
from severe thunderstorms. If you spot a tornado go at once into the
basement or small central room in a sturdy structure.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4407 8529 4408 8544 4417 8544 4416 8518
TIME...MOT...LOC 2104Z 203DEG 19KT 4409 8536 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

CAS
836 
WWUS53 KGRR 112115
SVSGRR

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
515 PM EDT Mon Oct 11 2021

MIC133-112125-
/O.EXP.KGRR.SV.W.0098.000000T0000Z-211011T2115Z/
Osceola MI-
515 PM EDT Mon Oct 11 2021

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL OSCEOLA COUNTY
HAS EXPIRED...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and has exited the warned area. Therefore, the warning has
been allowed to expire.

LAT...LON 4407 8529 4408 8544 4417 8544 4416 8518
TIME...MOT...LOC 2115Z 207DEG 34KT 4417 8530 

$$

CAS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Grand Rapids, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 11, 7:02 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRRVan Buren58 min
Oct 11, 7:11 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningGRR64 min
Oct 11, 7:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRVan Buren32 min
Oct 11, 7:30 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningGRR48 min
Oct 11, 7:36 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRRAllegan39 min
Oct 11, 7:41 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningGRR64 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Michigan, 2021Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.