Alert archive / Arizona / Winter Storm Warnings in 2021

Winter Storm Warning 1, NWS Flagstaff, AZ

January 22, 2021Coconino County, Navajo County, Yavapai County, Arizona

NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued this winter storm warning at Jan 22, 2021, 2:32 AM MST for Coconino County, Navajo County, Yavapai County, Arizona. It took effect at Jan 22, 2021, 8:00 PM MST. It was in force for . No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 22, 2021, 2:32 AM MST (09:32 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 22, 2021, 8:00 PM MST
Expired
Jan 22, 2021, 1:29 PM MST
In force
Issued by
NWS Flagstaff, AZ

Counties Coconino County, AZ, Navajo County, AZ, Yavapai County, AZ

The radar

The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 85 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Flgstf/Belemont, AZ (KFGZ), launched 00:00Z, 9.5 hours before the alert went out and 24 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 00:00Z on 2021-01-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 22 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 00:00Z on 2021-01-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 12 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
22 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-3 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
994 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
12 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
84 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

688 
WWUS45 KFGZ 220932
WSWFGZ

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
232 AM MST Fri Jan 22 2021

AZZ008-015-016-221745-
/O.NEW.KFGZ.WS.W.0001.210123T0300Z-210125T0000Z/
Yavapai County Mountains-Western Mogollon Rim-
Eastern Mogollon Rim-
Including the cities of Flagstaff and Happy Jack
232 AM MST Fri Jan 22 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 PM
MST SUNDAY ABOVE 6000 FEET...

* WHAT...Expect scattered rain, snow pellet and snow showers
  throughout the day today, but especially during the afternoon. 
  A changeover to all snow will occur this evening as snow levels 
  fall into the night. Periods of snow will then continue through 
  Sunday. Snow shower activity may become sporadic during Saturday
  afternoon and evening. The heaviest precipitation periods are 
  expected tonight and again Saturday night through Sunday. Total 
  snow accumulations 8 to 14 inches are expected above 6000 feet, 
  with locally higher amounts of 10 to 16 inches above 6500 feet.

* WHERE...Areas above 6000 feet near Doney Park, Flagstaff, 
  Forest Lakes, Heber-Overgaard, Prescott and Williams.

* WHEN...From 8 PM this evening to 5 PM MST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Expect difficult travel conditions due to snow and
  blowing snow. Area roadways will be snow packed and dangerous.
  Travel times will increase and some travel may become difficult
  to impossible. 

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Areas of blowing snow above 6000 feet will
  reduce visibility at times later tonight and Saturday.

  Snow forecast from 8 PM Today to 5 PM Sunday:

     Doney Park  6 to 10 inches       Flagstaff 11 to 17 inches
   Forest Lakes 10 to 16 inches Heber-Overgaard  4 to 6  inches
       Prescott  3 to 5  inches        Williams  9 to 15 inches
.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit:
http://weather.gov/flagstaff

For a more detailed table of forecast snow amounts for counties,
reservations and roads go to:
http://weather.gov/flagstaff/SnowTables
2 follow-up statements
424 
WWUS45 KFGZ 221543
WSWFGZ

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
843 AM MST Fri Jan 22 2021

AZZ008-015-016-222300-
/O.CON.KFGZ.WS.W.0001.210123T0300Z-210125T0000Z/
Yavapai County Mountains-Western Mogollon Rim-
Eastern Mogollon Rim-
Including the cities of Flagstaff and Happy Jack
843 AM MST Fri Jan 22 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING
TO 5 PM MST SUNDAY ABOVE 6000 FEET...

* WHAT...Expect scattered rain, snow pellet and snow showers 
  throughout the day today, but especially during the afternoon. 
  A changeover to all snow will occur this evening as snow 
  levels fall into the night. Periods of snow will then continue 
  through Sunday. Snow shower activity may become sporadic 
  during Saturday afternoon and evening. The heaviest 
  precipitation periods are expected tonight and again Saturday 
  night through Sunday. Total snow accumulations 8 to 14 inches 
  are expected above 6000 feet, with locally higher amounts of 
  10 to 16 inches above 6500 feet.

* WHERE...Areas above 6000 feet near Doney Park, Flagstaff, 
  Forest Lakes, Heber-Overgaard, Prescott and Williams.

* WHEN...From 8 PM this evening to 5 PM MST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Expect difficult travel conditions due to snow and 
  blowing snow. Area roadways will be snow packed and dangerous. 
  Travel times will increase and some travel may become 
  difficult to impossible.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Areas of blowing snow above 6000 feet will
  reduce visibility at times later tonight and Saturday.

  Snow forecast from 8 PM Today to 5 PM Sunday:

     Doney Park  6 to 10 inches       Flagstaff 10 to 16 inches
   Forest Lakes 10 to 16 inches Heber-Overgaard  4 to 6  inches
       Prescott  3 to 5  inches        Williams  9 to 13 inches
.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit:
http://weather.gov/flagstaff

For a more detailed table of forecast snow amounts for counties,
reservations and roads go to:
http://weather.gov/flagstaff/SnowTables
400 
WWUS45 KFGZ 222029
WSWFGZ

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
129 PM MST Fri Jan 22 2021

AZZ008-015-016-231200-
/O.CAN.KFGZ.WS.W.0001.210123T0300Z-210125T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KFGZ.WW.Y.0001.210123T0300Z-210125T0000Z/
Yavapai County Mountains-Western Mogollon Rim-
Eastern Mogollon Rim-
Including the cities of Flagstaff and Happy Jack
129 PM MST Fri Jan 22 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO
5 PM MST SUNDAY ABOVE 6000 FEET...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...Periods of snow will develop tonight and then continue
  through Sunday. Snow shower activity may become sporadic on
  Saturday during the daylight hours. The heaviest precipitation
  periods are expected tonight and again Saturday night through
  Sunday. Total snow accumulations 5 to 10 inches are expected 
  above 6000 feet, with locally higher amounts of 8 to 14 inches 
  above 6500 feet.

* WHERE...Areas above 6000 feet near Doney Park, Flagstaff, 
  Forest Lakes, Heber-Overgaard, Prescott, Prescott Valley, 
  Seligman and Williams.

* WHEN...From 8 PM this evening to 5 PM MST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Expect difficult travel conditions due to snow and
  blowing snow. Area roadways will be snow packed and dangerous.
  Travel times will increase.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Areas of blowing snow above 6000 feet will
  reduce visibility at times later tonight and Saturday.

  Snow forecast from 8 PM Today to 5 PM Sunday:

     Doney Park  4 to 6  inches       Flagstaff  7 to 11 inches
   Forest Lakes  8 to 12 inches Heber-Overgaard  3 to 5  inches
       Prescott  2 to 4  inches Prescott Valley  1 to 3  inches
       Seligman  1 to 3  inches        Williams  6 to 10 inches
.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit:
http://weather.gov/flagstaff

For a more detailed table of forecast snow amounts for counties,
reservations and roads go to:
http://weather.gov/flagstaff/SnowTables

The office that day

Everything else NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 22, 1:29 PM MSTWinter Weather AdvisoryFGZApache, Coconino, Navajo, Yavapai64 hr

Nearby

Winter Storm Warnings in Arizona, 2021Every winter storm warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.