Alert archive / Arizona / Red Flag Warnings in 2021

Red Flag Warning 8, NWS Flagstaff, AZ

May 1, 2021Apache County, Coconino County, Navajo County, Arizona

NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued this red flag warning at May 1, 2021, 12:48 PM MST for Apache County, Coconino County, Navajo County, Arizona. It took effect at May 2, 2021, 10:00 AM MST. It was in force for 9 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
May 1, 2021, 12:48 PM MST (19:48 UTC)
In effect from
May 2, 2021, 10:00 AM MST
Expired
May 2, 2021, 7:00 PM MST
In force
9 hr
Issued by
NWS Flagstaff, AZ

Counties Apache County, AZ, Coconino County, AZ, Navajo County, AZ

The radar

The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 124 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Flgstf/Belemont, AZ (KFGZ), launched 12:00Z, 7.8 hours before the alert went out and 121 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 12:00Z on 2021-05-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 12:00Z on 2021-05-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 60 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2983 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
23 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
60 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
34 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

201 
WWUS85 KFGZ 011948
RFWFGZ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
1248 PM MST Sat May 1 2021


AZZ113-114-116-117-020400-
/O.UPG.KFGZ.FW.A.0007.210502T1700Z-210503T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KFGZ.FW.W.0008.210502T1700Z-210503T0200Z/
Little Colorado River Valley in Navajo County (Fire Weather Zone
113)-
Little Colorado River Valley in Apache County (Fire Weather Zone
114)-Eastern Mogollon Rim (Fire Weather Zone 116)-
White Mountains (Fire Weather Zone 117)-
1248 PM MST Sat May 1 2021

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM MST SUNDAY DUE
TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR EAST CENTRAL ARIZONA...

The National Weather Service in Flagstaff has issued a Red Flag
Warning due to strong winds and low relative humidity, which is
in effect from 10 AM to 7 PM MST Sunday. The Fire Weather Watch
is no longer in effect.

* AFFECTED AREA...Locations near Alpine, Eagar-Springerville, 
  Forest Lakes, Heber-Overgaard, Holbrook, Pinetop-Lakeside, 
  Saint Johns, Show Low, Snowflake-Taylor, Whiteriver and 
  Winslow. This includes portions of the Apache-Sitgreaves 
  National Forest, Coconino National Forest and Tonto National 
  Forest.

* WINDS...Southwest 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 8 percent.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that start will have the potential to 
  spread rapidly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring or are imminent. A combination of strong
winds and low relative humidities can contribute to extreme fire
behavior.

Please notify field crews of this red flag warning.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
http://weather.gov/flagstaff
4 follow-up statements
485 
WWUS85 KFGZ 020158
RFWFGZ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
658 PM MST Sat May 1 2021

AZZ113-114-116-117-030200-
/O.CON.KFGZ.FW.W.0008.210502T1700Z-210503T0200Z/
Little Colorado River Valley in Navajo County (Fire Weather Zone
113)-
Little Colorado River Valley in Apache County (Fire Weather Zone
114)-Eastern Mogollon Rim (Fire Weather Zone 116)-
White Mountains (Fire Weather Zone 117)-
658 PM MST Sat May 1 2021

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM MST
SUNDAY FOR EAST CENTRAL ARIZONA...

* AFFECTED AREA...Locations near Alpine, Eagar-Springerville, 
  Forest Lakes, Heber-Overgaard, Holbrook, Pinetop-Lakeside, 
  Saint Johns, Show Low, Snowflake-Taylor, Whiteriver and 
  Winslow. This includes portions of the Apache-Sitgreaves 
  National Forest, Coconino National Forest and Tonto National 
  Forest.

* WINDS...Southwest 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 8 percent.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that start will have the potential to 
  spread rapidly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring or are imminent. A combination of strong
winds and low relative humidities can contribute to extreme fire
behavior.

Please notify field crews of this red flag warning.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
http://weather.gov/flagstaff
340 
WWUS85 KFGZ 021223
RFWFGZ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
523 AM MST Sun May 2 2021

AZZ113-114-116-117-030200-
/O.CON.KFGZ.FW.W.0008.210502T1700Z-210503T0200Z/
Little Colorado River Valley in Navajo County (Fire Weather Zone
113)-
Little Colorado River Valley in Apache County (Fire Weather Zone
114)-Eastern Mogollon Rim (Fire Weather Zone 116)-
White Mountains (Fire Weather Zone 117)-
523 AM MST Sun May 2 2021

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
7 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR EAST CENTRAL ARIZONA...

* AFFECTED AREA...Locations near Alpine, Eagar-Springerville, 
  Forest Lakes, Heber-Overgaard, Holbrook, Pinetop-Lakeside, 
  Saint Johns, Show Low, Snowflake-Taylor, Whiteriver and 
  Winslow. This includes portions of the Apache-Sitgreaves 
  National Forest, Coconino National Forest and Tonto National 
  Forest.

* WINDS...Southwest 15 to 25 MPH with gusts up to 50 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 7 percent.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that start will have the potential to 
  spread rapidly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring or are imminent. A combination of strong
winds and low relative humidities can contribute to extreme fire
behavior.

Please notify field crews of this Red Flag Warning.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
http://weather.gov/flagstaff
128 
WWUS85 KFGZ 021732
RFWFGZ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
1032 AM MST Sun May 2 2021

AZZ113-114-116-117-030200-
/O.CON.KFGZ.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-210503T0200Z/
Little Colorado River Valley in Navajo County (Fire Weather Zone
113)-
Little Colorado River Valley in Apache County (Fire Weather Zone
114)-Eastern Mogollon Rim (Fire Weather Zone 116)-
White Mountains (Fire Weather Zone 117)-
1032 AM MST Sun May 2 2021

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM MST THIS EVENING
FOR EAST-CENTRAL ARIZONA...

* AFFECTED AREA...Locations near Alpine, Eagar-Springerville, 
  Forest Lakes, Heber-Overgaard, Holbrook, Pinetop-Lakeside, 
  Saint Johns, Show Low, Snowflake-Taylor, Whiteriver and 
  Winslow. This includes portions of the Apache-Sitgreaves 
  National Forest, Coconino National Forest and Tonto National 
  Forest.

* WINDS...Southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 7 percent.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that start will have the potential to 
  spread rapidly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring or are imminent. A combination of strong
winds and low relative humidities can contribute to extreme fire
behavior.

Please notify field crews of this Red Flag Warning.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
http://weather.gov/flagstaff
952 
WWUS85 KFGZ 030155
RFWFGZ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
655 PM MST Sun May 2 2021

AZZ113-114-116-117-030300-
/O.EXP.KFGZ.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-210503T0200Z/
Little Colorado River Valley in Navajo County (Fire Weather Zone
113)-
Little Colorado River Valley in Apache County (Fire Weather Zone
114)-Eastern Mogollon Rim (Fire Weather Zone 116)-
White Mountains (Fire Weather Zone 117)-
655 PM MST Sun May 2 2021

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR
EAST-CENTRAL ARIZONA...

Although breezy conditions will persist through late tonight, wind
speeds have fallen below warning critera and the Red Flag Warning
will be allowed to expire at 7 PM MST.

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
http://weather.gov/flagstaff

The office that day

Everything else NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 1, 2:47 AM MSTFire Weather WatchFGZApache, Coconino, Navajo10 hr

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Arizona, 2021Every red flag warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.