Alert archive / Arizona / Red Flag Warnings in 2021

Red Flag Warning 4, NWS Flagstaff, AZ

April 14, 2021Apache County, Coconino County, Navajo County, Arizona

NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued this red flag warning at Apr 14, 2021, 2:24 PM MST for Apache County, Coconino County, Navajo County, Arizona. It took effect at Apr 15, 2021, 10:00 AM MST. It was in force for 9 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Apr 14, 2021, 2:24 PM MST (21:24 UTC)
In effect from
Apr 15, 2021, 10:00 AM MST
Expired
Apr 15, 2021, 7:09 PM MST
In force
9 hr
Issued by
NWS Flagstaff, AZ

Counties Apache County, AZ, Coconino County, AZ, Navajo County, AZ

The radar

The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 124 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:28 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Flgstf/Belemont, AZ (KFGZ), launched 12:00Z, 9.4 hours before the alert went out and 121 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 12:00Z on 2021-04-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 12:00Z on 2021-04-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 338 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1913 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
45 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
338 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
367 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

027 
WWUS85 KFGZ 142124
RFWFGZ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
224 PM MST Wed Apr 14 2021


AZZ111-113-114-116-140-160300-
/O.UPG.KFGZ.FW.A.0003.210415T1800Z-210416T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KFGZ.FW.W.0004.210415T1700Z-210416T0300Z/
/O.CON.KFGZ.FW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-210415T0300Z/
Chuska Mountains and Defiance Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 111)-
Little Colorado River Valley in Navajo County (Fire Weather Zone
113)-
Little Colorado River Valley in Apache County (Fire Weather Zone
114)-Eastern Mogollon Rim (Fire Weather Zone 116)-
Northeast Plateaus and Mesas South of Hwy 264 (Fire Weather Zone
140)-
224 PM MST Wed Apr 14 2021

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MST THIS EVENING
FOR MUCH OF COCONINO, NAVAJO,AND APACHE COUNTIES...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MST THURSDAY DUE
TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR PORTIONS OF
COCONINO, NAVAJO, AND APACHE COUNTIES...

The National Weather Service in Flagstaff has issued a Red Flag
Warning due to strong winds and low relative humidity, which is
in effect from 10 AM to 8 PM MST Thursday. The Fire Weather Watch
is no longer in effect.

* AFFECTED AREA...Locations near Buffalo Pass, Dilkon, Eagar- 
  Springerville, Forest Lakes, Ganado, Heber-Overgaard, 
  Holbrook, Kykotsmovi, Saint Johns, Snowflake-Taylor, Window 
  Rock and Winslow. This includes portions of the Apache-
  Sitgreaves National Forest, Coconino National Forest and Tonto 
  National Forest.

* WINDS...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40-50 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 7 percent.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that start will have the potential to 
  spread rapidly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring or are imminent. A combination of strong
winds and low relative humidities can contribute to extreme fire
behavior.

Please notify field crews of this red flag warning.

&&

$$

AZZ139-160300-
/O.NEW.KFGZ.FW.W.0004.210415T1700Z-210416T0300Z/
/O.CON.KFGZ.FW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-210415T0300Z/
Black Mesa Area (Fire Weather Zone 139)-
224 PM MST Wed Apr 14 2021

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MST THIS EVENING
FOR MUCH OF COCONINO, NAVAJO,AND APACHE COUNTIES...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MST THURSDAY DUE
TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR BLACK MESA IN APACHE
COUNTY...

The National Weather Service in Flagstaff has issued a Red Flag
Warning due to strong winds and low relative humidity, which is
in effect from 10 AM to 8 PM MST Thursday.

* AFFECTED AREA...Locations near Shonto. 

* WINDS...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40-50 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 8 percent.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that start will have the potential to 
  spread rapidly.

$$

AZZ117-160300-
/O.UPG.KFGZ.FW.A.0003.210415T1800Z-210416T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KFGZ.FW.W.0004.210415T1700Z-210416T0300Z/
White Mountains (Fire Weather Zone 117)-
224 PM MST Wed Apr 14 2021

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MST THURSDAY DUE
TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE WHITE MOUNTAIN
REGION IN APACHE COUNTY...

The National Weather Service in Flagstaff has issued a Red Flag
Warning due to strong winds and low relative humidity, which is
in effect from 10 AM to 8 PM MST Thursday. The Fire Weather Watch
is no longer in effect.

* AFFECTED AREA...Locations near Alpine, Pinetop-Lakeside, Show 
  Low and Whiteriver. This includes portions of the Apache- 
  Sitgreaves National Forest.

* WINDS...Southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40-45 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 11 percent.

* IMPACTS...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring or are imminent. A combination of strong
winds and low relative humidities can contribute to extreme fire
behavior.

Please notify field crews of this red flag warning.

&&

$$

AZZ104>107-109-110-112-150300-
/O.CON.KFGZ.FW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-210415T0300Z/
Kaibab Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 104)-
Marble and Glen Canyons (Fire Weather Zone 105)-
Grand Canyon Country (Fire Weather Zone 106)-
Coconino Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 107)-
Northeast Plateau And Mesas Hwy 264 Northward (Fire Weather Zone
109)-Chinle Valley (Fire Weather Zone 110)-
Little Colorado River Valley in Coconino County (Fire Weather
Zone 112)-
224 PM MST Wed Apr 14 2021

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MST THIS EVENING
FOR MUCH OF COCONINO, NAVAJO,AND APACHE COUNTIES...

* AFFECTED AREA...Locations near Chinle, Fredonia, Grand Canyon, 
  Jacob Lake, Kayenta, North Rim, Page, Tuba City and Valle. 
  This includes portions of the Coconino National Forest and 
  Kaibab National Forest.

* WINDS...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40-50 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 8 percent.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that start will have the potential to 
  spread rapidly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring or are imminent. A combination of strong
winds and low relative humidities can contribute to extreme fire
behavior.

Please notify field crews of this red flag warning.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
http://weather.gov/flagstaff
4 follow-up statements
628 
WWUS85 KFGZ 150258
RFWFGZ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
758 PM MST Wed Apr 14 2021

AZZ111-113-114-116-139-140-151730-
/O.EXP.KFGZ.FW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-210415T0300Z/
/O.CON.KFGZ.FW.W.0004.210415T1700Z-210416T0300Z/
Chuska Mountains and Defiance Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 111)-
Little Colorado River Valley in Navajo County (Fire Weather Zone
113)-
Little Colorado River Valley in Apache County (Fire Weather Zone
114)-Eastern Mogollon Rim (Fire Weather Zone 116)-
Black Mesa Area (Fire Weather Zone 139)-
Northeast Plateaus and Mesas South of Hwy 264 (Fire Weather Zone
140)-
758 PM MST Wed Apr 14 2021

...THE RED FLAG WARNING FOR WEDNESDAY WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE 
AT 8 PM MST (9 PM NAVAJO NATION)...

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MST (11
AM TO 9 PM NAVAJO NATION) THURSDAY FOR MUCH OF COCONINO, NAVAJO,
AND APACHE COUNTIES AND THE NAVAJO NATION...

* AFFECTED AREA...Locations near Buffalo Pass, Dilkon, Eagar- 
  Springerville, Forest Lakes, Ganado, Heber-Overgaard, 
  Holbrook, Kykotsmovi, Saint Johns, Shonto, Snowflake-Taylor, 
  Window Rock and Winslow. This includes portions of the Apache-
  Sitgreaves National Forest, Coconino National Forest and Tonto 
  National Forest.

* WINDS...Southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 7 percent.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that start will have the potential to 
  spread rapidly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring or are imminent. A combination of strong
winds and low relative humidities can contribute to extreme fire
behavior.

Please notify field crews of this red flag warning.

&&

$$

AZZ104>107-109-110-112-150400-
/O.EXP.KFGZ.FW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-210415T0300Z/
Kaibab Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 104)-
Marble and Glen Canyons (Fire Weather Zone 105)-
Grand Canyon Country (Fire Weather Zone 106)-
Coconino Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 107)-
Northeast Plateau And Mesas Hwy 264 Northward (Fire Weather Zone
109)-Chinle Valley (Fire Weather Zone 110)-
Little Colorado River Valley in Coconino County (Fire Weather
Zone 112)-
758 PM MST Wed Apr 14 2021

...THE RED FLAG WARNING FOR WEDNESDAY WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE 
AT 8 PM MST (9 PM NAVAJO NATION)...

Relative humidity will increase overnight and windy conditions
will slow to breezy across the region so fire weather conditions
will subside through this evening.

$$

AZZ117-151730-
/O.CON.KFGZ.FW.W.0004.210415T1700Z-210416T0300Z/
White Mountains (Fire Weather Zone 117)-
758 PM MST Wed Apr 14 2021

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MST
THURSDAY FOR THE WHITE MOUNTAIN REGION IN APACHE COUNTY...

* AFFECTED AREA...Locations near Alpine, Pinetop-Lakeside, Show 
  Low and Whiteriver. This includes portions of the Apache- 
  Sitgreaves National Forest.

* WINDS...Southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 11 percent.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that start will have the potential to 
  spread rapidly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring or are imminent. A combination of strong
winds and low relative humidities can contribute to extreme fire
behavior.

Please notify field crews of this red flag warning.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
http://weather.gov/flagstaff
523 
WWUS85 KFGZ 151157
RFWFGZ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
457 AM MST Thu Apr 15 2021


AZZ111-113-114-116-117-139-140-160300-
/O.CON.KFGZ.FW.W.0004.210415T1700Z-210416T0300Z/
Chuska Mountains and Defiance Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 111)-
Little Colorado River Valley in Navajo County (Fire Weather Zone
113)-
Little Colorado River Valley in Apache County (Fire Weather Zone
114)-Eastern Mogollon Rim (Fire Weather Zone 116)-
White Mountains (Fire Weather Zone 117)-
Black Mesa Area (Fire Weather Zone 139)-
Northeast Plateaus and Mesas South of Hwy 264 (Fire Weather Zone
140)-
457 AM MST Thu Apr 15 2021

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL BE IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MST THIS MORNING
TO 8 PM MST THIS EVENING (11 AM TO 9 PM NAVAJO NATION)...

* AFFECTED AREA...Locations near Alpine, Buffalo Pass, Dilkon, 
  Eagar-Springerville, Forest Lakes, Ganado, Heber-Overgaard, 
  Holbrook, Kykotsmovi, Pinetop-Lakeside, Saint Johns, Shonto, 
  Show Low, Snowflake-Taylor, Whiteriver, Window Rock and 
  Winslow. This includes portions of the Apache-Sitgreaves 
  National Forest, Coconino National Forest and Tonto National 
  Forest.

* WINDS...Southwest/West 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 7 percent.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that start will have the potential to 
  spread rapidly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring or are imminent. A combination of strong
winds and low relative humidities can contribute to extreme fire
behavior.

Please notify field crews of this red flag warning.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
http://weather.gov/flagstaff
791 
WWUS85 KFGZ 151910
RFWFGZ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
1210 PM MST Thu Apr 15 2021

AZZ111-113-114-116-117-139-140-160300-
/O.CON.KFGZ.FW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-210416T0300Z/
Chuska Mountains and Defiance Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 111)-
Little Colorado River Valley in Navajo County (Fire Weather Zone
113)-
Little Colorado River Valley in Apache County (Fire Weather Zone
114)-Eastern Mogollon Rim (Fire Weather Zone 116)-
White Mountains (Fire Weather Zone 117)-
Black Mesa Area (Fire Weather Zone 139)-
Northeast Plateaus and Mesas South of Hwy 264 (Fire Weather Zone
140)-
1210 PM MST Thu Apr 15 2021

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MST (9 PM NAVAJO
NATION) THIS EVENING...

* AFFECTED AREA...Locations near Alpine, Buffalo Pass, Dilkon, 
  Eagar-Springerville, Forest Lakes, Ganado, Heber-Overgaard, 
  Holbrook, Kykotsmovi, Pinetop-Lakeside, Saint Johns, Shonto, 
  Show Low, Snowflake-Taylor, Whiteriver, Window Rock and 
  Winslow. This includes portions of the Apache-Sitgreaves 
  National Forest, Coconino National Forest and Tonto National 
  Forest.

* WINDS...West 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 7 percent.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that start will have the potential to 
  spread rapidly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring or are imminent. A combination of strong
winds and low relative humidities can contribute to extreme fire
behavior.

Please notify field crews of this red flag warning.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
http://weather.gov/flagstaff
049 
WWUS85 KFGZ 160209
RFWFGZ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
709 PM MST Thu Apr 15 2021

AZZ111-113-114-116-117-139-140-160315-
/O.CAN.KFGZ.FW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-210416T0300Z/
Chuska Mountains and Defiance Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 111)-
Little Colorado River Valley in Navajo County (Fire Weather Zone
113)-
Little Colorado River Valley in Apache County (Fire Weather Zone
114)-Eastern Mogollon Rim (Fire Weather Zone 116)-
White Mountains (Fire Weather Zone 117)-
Black Mesa Area (Fire Weather Zone 139)-
Northeast Plateaus and Mesas South of Hwy 264 (Fire Weather Zone
140)-
709 PM MST Thu Apr 15 2021

...RED FLAG WARNING FOR EASTERN ARIZONA IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Flagstaff has cancelled the Red
Flag Warning that was in effect for much of east-central and
northeastern Arizona. Surface observations over the last hour
have showed an uptick in relative humidity and a decrease in wind
speeds below product thresholds.


$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
http://weather.gov/flagstaff

The office that day

Everything else NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 14, 2:58 PM MSTWind AdvisoryFGZApache, Coconino, Navajo28 hr

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Arizona, 2021Every red flag warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.