Alert archive / Arizona / Red Flag Warnings in 2021

Red Flag Warning 2, NWS Flagstaff, AZ

April 4, 2021Apache County, Coconino County, Navajo County, Arizona

NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued this red flag warning at Apr 4, 2021, 12:57 PM MST for Apache County, Coconino County, Navajo County, Arizona. It took effect at Apr 5, 2021, 12:00 PM MST. It was in force for 7 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Apr 4, 2021, 12:57 PM MST (19:57 UTC)
In effect from
Apr 5, 2021, 12:00 PM MST
Expired
Apr 5, 2021, 7:00 PM MST
In force
7 hr
Issued by
NWS Flagstaff, AZ

Counties Apache County, AZ, Coconino County, AZ, Navajo County, AZ

The radar

The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 124 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:57 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Flgstf/Belemont, AZ (KFGZ), launched 12:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 121 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 12:00Z on 2021-04-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 12:00Z on 2021-04-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 29 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2862 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
29 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
17 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

678 
WWUS85 KFGZ 041957
RFWFGZ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
1257 PM MST Sun Apr 4 2021

AZZ110-111-113-114-116-140-051200-
/O.UPG.KFGZ.FW.A.0001.210405T1900Z-210406T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KFGZ.FW.W.0002.210405T1900Z-210406T0200Z/
Chinle Valley (Fire Weather Zone 110)-
Chuska Mountains and Defiance Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 111)-
Little Colorado River Valley in Navajo County (Fire Weather Zone
113)-
Little Colorado River Valley in Apache County (Fire Weather Zone
114)-Eastern Mogollon Rim (Fire Weather Zone 116)-
Northeast Plateaus and Mesas South of Hwy 264 (Fire Weather Zone
140)-
1257 PM MST Sun Apr 4 2021

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR
FAR SOUTHEASTERN COCONINO COUNTY AND MUCH OF NAVAJO AND APACHE
COUNTIES...

The National Weather Service in Flagstaff has issued a Red Flag
Warning due to strong winds and low relative humidity, which is
in effect from Monday afternoon through Monday evening. The Fire 
Weather Watch is no longer in effect.

* AFFECTED AREA...Far southeastern Coconino County and much of
  Navajo and Apache counties, except for the Black Mesa.

* WINDS...Southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts from 35 to 45 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 6 to 10 percent.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that do start will have the potential to 
  spread rapidly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring or are imminent. A combination of strong
winds and low relative humidities can contribute to extreme fire
behavior.

Please notify field crews of this red flag warning.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
https://weather.gov/flagstaff/FireWeatherDecisionSupport
2 follow-up statements
614 
WWUS85 KFGZ 051008
RFWFGZ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
308 AM MST Mon Apr 5 2021


AZZ110-111-113-114-116-140-060200-
/O.CON.KFGZ.FW.W.0002.210405T1900Z-210406T0200Z/
Chinle Valley (Fire Weather Zone 110)-
Chuska Mountains and Defiance Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 111)-
Little Colorado River Valley in Navajo County (Fire Weather Zone
113)-
Little Colorado River Valley in Apache County (Fire Weather Zone
114)-Eastern Mogollon Rim (Fire Weather Zone 116)-
Northeast Plateaus and Mesas South of Hwy 264 (Fire Weather Zone
140)-
308 AM MST Mon Apr 5 2021

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM MST
THIS EVENING FOR FAR SOUTHEASTERN COCONINO COUNTY AND MUCH OF
NAVAJO AND APACHE COUNTIES...

* AFFECTED AREA...Locations near Buffalo Pass, Chinle, Dilkon, 
  Eagar-Springerville, Forest Lakes, Ganado, Heber-Overgaard, 
  Holbrook, Kayenta, Kykotsmovi, Saint Johns, Snowflake-Taylor, 
  Window Rock and Winslow. This includes portions of the Apache- 
  Sitgreaves National Forest and Coconino National Forest.

* WINDS...Southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 6 to 10 percent.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that do start will have the potential to 
  spread rapidly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring or are imminent. A combination of strong
winds and low relative humidities can contribute to extreme fire
behavior.

Please notify field crews of this red flag warning.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
http://weather.gov/flagstaff
478 
WWUS85 KFGZ 060200
RFWFGZ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
700 PM MST Mon Apr 5 2021

AZZ110-111-113-114-116-140-060300-
/O.EXP.KFGZ.FW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-210406T0200Z/
Chinle Valley (Fire Weather Zone 110)-
Chuska Mountains and Defiance Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 111)-
Little Colorado River Valley in Navajo County (Fire Weather Zone
113)-
Little Colorado River Valley in Apache County (Fire Weather Zone
114)-Eastern Mogollon Rim (Fire Weather Zone 116)-
Northeast Plateaus and Mesas South of Hwy 264 (Fire Weather Zone
140)-
700 PM MST Mon Apr 5 2021

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR FAR
SOUTHEASTERN COCONINO COUNTY AND MUCH OF NAVAJO AND APACHE
COUNTIES...

Wind speeds will continue to decrease below warning criteria this
evening and the Red Flag Warning will expire at 7 PM MST (8 PM
Navajo Nation). It will remain breezy overnight in this area with
a few areas experiencing gusts of 20 to 30 mph, particularly in
the area from St Johns to Springerville.

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
http://weather.gov/flagstaff

The office that day

Everything else NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 4, 3:42 AM MSTFire Weather WatchFGZApache, Coconino, Navajo9 hr
Apr 4, 1:07 PM MSTWind AdvisoryFGZApache, Coconino, Navajo30 hr

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Arizona, 2021Every red flag warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.