Alert archive / Arizona / Flash Flood Warnings in 2021

Flash Flood Warning 35, NWS Flagstaff, AZ

July 15, 2021Yavapai County, Arizona

NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued this flash flood warning at Jul 15, 2021, 8:21 PM MST for Yavapai County, Arizona. It was in force for 114 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 15, 2021, 8:21 PM MST (03:21 UTC)
Expired
Jul 15, 2021, 10:15 PM MST
In force
114 min
Issued by
NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Area
Storm-based polygon
Damage threat
Considerable
Flood severity
None

County Yavapai County, AZ

The radar

The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 115 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Flgstf/Belemont, AZ (KFGZ), launched 00:00Z, 3.4 hours before the alert went out and 96 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 00:00Z on 2021-07-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 359 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 00:00Z on 2021-07-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 186 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
359 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-39 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1057 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
20 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
186 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
277 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

242 
WGUS55 KFGZ 160321
FFWFGZ
AZC025-160515-
/O.NEW.KFGZ.FF.W.0035.210716T0321Z-210716T0515Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
821 PM MST Thu Jul 15 2021

The National Weather Service in Flagstaff has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  The Granite Creek basin in...
  Yavapai County in west central Arizona...

* Until 1015 PM MST.

* At 818 PM MST, stream gauge reports indicated a 2 foot rise along 
  Granite Creek. Flash flooding is ongoing and will continue along 
  Granite Creek to where it reaches Watson Lake.

  HAZARD...Life-threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms
           producing flash flooding in and around the Granite
           Creek basin.

  SOURCE...Gauges reported.

  IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of areas in and around
           the Granite Creek basin.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Prescott, Downtown Prescott and White Spar Campground.

This includes the following highways...
	State Route 89 between mile markers 308 and 311...and
	between mile markers 314 and 315.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Get out of Granite Creek! Flash flooding is imminent or occurring.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3458 11242 3456 11244 3455 11246 3453 11247
      3450 11247 3450 11249 3454 11248 3456 11247
      3456 11245 3457 11244 3459 11243

FLASH FLOOD...GAUGE INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

$$

MCT
2 follow-up statements
638 
WGUS75 KFGZ 160427
FFSFGZ

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
927 PM MST Thu Jul 15 2021

AZC025-160515-
/O.CON.KFGZ.FF.W.0035.000000T0000Z-210716T0515Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Yavapai AZ-
927 PM MST Thu Jul 15 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR THE GRANITE CREEK BASIN REMAINS IN EFFECT 
UNTIL 1015 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR YAVAPAI COUNTY...

At 925 PM MST, gauge reports indicated that water levels were 
beginning to recede on Granite Creek in Prescott. Additional 
rainfall amounts of 0.1 to 0.25 inches are possible in the warned 
area. Elevated water along Granite Creek will continue to impact 
areas from Prescott downstream to Watson Lake.

HAZARD...Life-threatening flash flooding. Heavy rain producing
         flash flooding in and around the Granite Creek basin.

SOURCE...Gauges reported.

IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of areas in and around
         the Granite Creek basin.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Prescott, Downtown Prescott and White Spar Campground.

This includes the following highways...
	State Route 89 between mile markers 308 and 311...and
	between mile markers 314 and 315.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Get out of Granite Creek! Flash flooding is imminent or occurring.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3458 11242 3456 11244 3455 11246 3453 11247
      3450 11247 3450 11249 3454 11248 3456 11247
      3456 11245 3457 11244 3459 11243

FLASH FLOOD...GAUGE INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

$$

MCT
868 
WGUS75 KFGZ 160508
FFSFGZ

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
1008 PM MST Thu Jul 15 2021

AZC025-160518-
/O.EXP.KFGZ.FF.W.0035.000000T0000Z-210716T0515Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Yavapai AZ-
1008 PM MST Thu Jul 15 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR THE GRANITE CREEK BASIN WILL EXPIRE AT 
1015 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR YAVAPAI COUNTY...

Flood waters have receded, although elevated water levels will 
continue on Granite Creek this evening. Flooding is no longer 
expected to pose a threat. Please continue to heed remaining road 
closures and use caution near elevated water.

LAT...LON 3458 11242 3456 11244 3455 11246 3453 11247
      3450 11247 3450 11249 3454 11248 3456 11247
      3456 11245 3457 11244 3459 11243

$$

MCT

The office that day

Everything else NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 15, 5:20 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryFGZYavapai115 min
Jul 15, 6:33 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZYavapai27 min
Jul 15, 6:55 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryFGZYavapai3 hr
Jul 16, 11:56 AM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino3 hr
Jul 16, 12:03 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryFGZYavapai2 hr
Jul 16, 12:36 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryFGZCoconino2 hr
Jul 16, 12:52 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ23 min
Jul 16, 1:16 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino29 min
Jul 16, 1:20 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino115 min
Jul 16, 1:24 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZGila, Navajo51 min
Jul 16, 1:44 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ46 min
Jul 16, 2:13 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZGila, Navajo32 min
Jul 16, 2:25 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryFGZCoconino3 hr
Jul 16, 2:59 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino61 min
Jul 16, 3:14 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ31 min
Jul 16, 3:43 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino, Yavapai32 min
Jul 16, 4:18 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZYavapai12 min
Jul 16, 4:34 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZGila41 min
Jul 16, 4:41 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZGila3 hr
Jul 16, 4:48 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino, Gila20 min
Jul 16, 4:59 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZGila, Yavapai15 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Arizona, 2021Every flash flood warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.