Alert archive / New Mexico / Flash Flood Warnings in 2021

Flash Flood Warning 6, NWS El Paso, TX

July 1, 2021Otero County, New Mexico

NWS El Paso, TX issued this flash flood warning at Jul 1, 2021, 2:20 PM MDT for Otero County, New Mexico. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 1, 2021, 2:20 PM MDT (20:20 UTC)
Expired
Jul 1, 2021, 5:30 PM MDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS El Paso, TX
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

County Otero County, NM

The radar

The Holloman AFB radar (KHDX), 35 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:20 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Santa Teresa, NM (KEPZ), launched 12:00Z, 8.3 hours before the alert went out and 169 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Santa Teresa, NM at 12:00Z on 2021-07-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 966 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Santa Teresa, NM at 12:00Z on 2021-07-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -3 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
966 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-25 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
903 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
3 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-3 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
10 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

006 
WGUS54 KEPZ 012020
FFWEPZ
NMC035-012330-
/O.NEW.KEPZ.FF.W.0006.210701T2020Z-210701T2330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
220 PM MDT Thu Jul 1 2021

The National Weather Service in El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  The Soldier Canyon Burn Area in...
  Northern Otero County in south central New Mexico...

* Until 530 PM MDT.

* At 220 PM MDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing 
  heavy rain over the Soldier Canyon Burn Area. Between 0.5 and 1 
  inch of rain has fallen in the last half hour. Flash flooding is 
  ongoing or expected to begin shortly.

Excessive rainfall over the burn scar will result in debris flow 
moving through the Soldier Canyon...North Fork Tularosa Creek...and 
portions of Tularosa Creek. The debris flow can consist of rock, 
mud, vegetation and other loose materials.

  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms in and around
           the Soldier Canyon Burn Area.

  SOURCE...Doppler radar.

  IMPACT...Flooding of areas in and around the Soldier Canyon
           Burn Area.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Mescalero and Soldier Canyon.

Additional rainfall amounts up to 0.75 inches are possible in the 
warned area.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This is a life-threatening situation. Heavy rainfall will cause 
extensive flash flooding of creeks, streams, ditches, and roads in 
and downstream of the Soldier Canyon burn area, including Mescalero. 
Water, mud, and debris may flow across roads, including U.S. Highway 
70. Roads and driveways may be washed away in places. If you 
encounter flood waters...climb to safety.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

In hilly terrain there are hundreds of low water crossings which are 
potentially dangerous in heavy rain. Do not attempt to cross flooded 
roads. Find an alternate route.

&&

LAT...LON 3320 10571 3315 10574 3315 10576 3315 10577
      3315 10583 3317 10583 3317 10578 3320 10577

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED

$$

JD
1 follow-up statement
066 
WGUS74 KEPZ 012325
FFSEPZ

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
525 PM MDT Thu Jul 1 2021

NMC035-012335-
/O.EXP.KEPZ.FF.W.0006.000000T0000Z-210701T2330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Otero NM-
525 PM MDT Thu Jul 1 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR THE SOLDIER CANYON BURN AREA WILL EXPIRE 
AT 530 PM MDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR NORTHERN OTERO COUNTY...

The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a 
threat. Please continue to heed remaining road closures.

A Flash Flood Watch remains in effect until 1200 AM MDT Friday for 
portions of south central New Mexico and southwest New Mexico.

LAT...LON 3320 10571 3315 10574 3315 10576 3315 10577
      3315 10583 3317 10583 3317 10578 3320 10577

$$

JD

The office that day

Everything else NWS El Paso, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 1, 8:57 AM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEPZDoña Ana3 hr
Jul 1, 9:34 AM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEPZLuna3 hr
Jul 1, 11:21 AM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEPZDoña Ana3 hr
Jul 1, 12:05 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEPZSierra115 min
Jul 1, 12:42 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEPZSierra3 hr
Jul 1, 12:45 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEPZSierra3 hr
Jul 1, 12:51 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEPZOtero3 hr
Jul 1, 12:56 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEPZDoña Ana3 hr
Jul 1, 1:02 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEPZGrant, Hidalgo3 hr
Jul 1, 1:16 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEPZGrant, Hidalgo, Luna3 hr
Jul 1, 1:41 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEPZDoña Ana2 hr
Jul 1, 2:27 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEPZOtero3 hr
Jul 1, 3:02 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningEPZOtero3 hr
Jul 1, 3:04 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEPZDoña Ana, Luna116 min
Jul 1, 3:25 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEPZDoña Ana3 hr
Jul 1, 3:31 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEPZGrant, Luna, Sierra3 hr
Jul 1, 3:52 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEPZOtero3 hr
Jul 1, 3:56 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEPZGrant3 hr
Jul 1, 4:06 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEPZDoña Ana, Otero3 hr
Jul 1, 4:18 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningEPZOtero3 hr
Jul 1, 4:20 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEPZGrant3 hr
Jul 1, 4:34 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEPZSierra116 min
Jul 1, 5:15 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningEPZOtero3 hr
Jul 1, 5:38 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEPZOtero112 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in New Mexico, 2021Every flash flood warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.