Alert archive / New York / Winter Storm Warnings in 2021

Winter Storm Warning 1, NWS Buffalo, NY

January 15, 2021Jefferson County, Lewis County, Oswego County, New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this winter storm warning at Jan 15, 2021, 1:35 PM EST for Jefferson County, Lewis County, Oswego County, New York. It took effect at Jan 16, 2021, 1:00 AM EST. It was in force for 40 hr. 15 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jan 15, 2021, 1:35 PM EST (18:35 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 16, 2021, 1:00 AM EST
Expired
Jan 17, 2021, 5:19 PM EST
In force
40 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

Counties Jefferson County, NY, Lewis County, NY, Oswego County, NY

The radar

The Ft Drum radar (KTYX), 18 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jan 17, 9:45 AM ESTSNOW 5Croghan, NY
Jan 17, 9:45 AM ESTSNOW 123 Sse West Carthage, NY
Jan 17, 10:00 AM ESTSNOW 4Watertown, NY
Jan 17, 10:00 AM ESTSNOW 5Lowville, NY
Jan 17, 10:00 AM ESTSNOW 7Carthage, NY
Jan 17, 10:00 AM ESTSNOW 83 Wsw West Carthage, NY
Jan 17, 10:00 AM ESTSNOW 14Lorraine, NY
Jan 17, 10:15 AM ESTSNOW 4Mannsville, NY
Jan 17, 10:30 AM ESTSNOW 94 S Black River, NY
Jan 17, 10:35 AM ESTSNOW 124 Wsw Barnes Corners, NYESTIMATED IN WORTH, NY.
Jan 17, 11:00 AM ESTSNOW 6Glenfield, NY
Jan 17, 11:00 AM ESTSNOW 7Castorland, NY
Jan 17, 11:00 AM ESTSNOW 10Redfield, NYFROM SOCIAL MEDIA.
Jan 17, 12:00 PM ESTSNOW 5Philadelphia, NY
Jan 17, 12:00 PM ESTSNOW 143 W Lowville, NY

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 6.6 hours before the alert went out and 205 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2021-01-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2021-01-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -23 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
787 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
20 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-23 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
39 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

747 
WWUS41 KBUF 151835
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
135 PM EST Fri Jan 15 2021

NYZ006>008-160245-
/O.UPG.KBUF.WS.A.0001.210116T0600Z-210118T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.WS.W.0001.210116T0600Z-210118T0000Z/
Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Oswego, Watertown, and Lowville
135 PM EST Fri Jan 15 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM SATURDAY TO 7 PM EST
SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 15 to 20
  inches across the higher terrain of the Tug Hill Plateau. Total
  accumulations of 4 to 7 inches across the lower elevations. 
  Winds gusting as high as 35 mph on Sunday will result in some 
  blowing and drifting snow.

* WHERE...The Eastern Lake Ontario Region. The greater snow
  amounts will be confined to the higher terrain of the Tug Hill
  Plateau. 

* WHEN...From 1 AM Saturday to 7 PM EST Sunday. The period of
  highest snowfall rates and greatest accumulation will be
  Saturday night through Sunday morning.

* IMPACTS...Travel will be very difficult at times with poor
  visibility and snow covered roads, especially across the higher
  terrain of the Tug Hill Plateau.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Widespread accumulating snow will create difficult travel 
conditions.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

Hitchcock
9 follow-up statements
097 
WWUS41 KBUF 160215
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
915 PM EST Fri Jan 15 2021

NYZ006>008-161015-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0001.210116T0600Z-210118T0000Z/
Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Oswego, Watertown, and Lowville
915 PM EST Fri Jan 15 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM SATURDAY TO
7 PM EST SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 15 to 
  20 inches across the higher terrain of the Tug Hill Plateau. 
  Total accumulations of 4 to 7 inches across the lower 
  elevations. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph on Sunday will 
  result in some blowing and drifting snow.

* WHERE...The Eastern Lake Ontario Region. The greater snow 
  amounts will be confined to the higher terrain of the Tug Hill 
  Plateau.

* WHEN...From 1 AM Saturday to 7 PM EST Sunday. The period of 
  highest snowfall rates and greatest accumulation will be 
  Saturday night through Sunday morning.

* IMPACTS...Travel will be very difficult at times with poor 
  visibility and snow covered roads, especially across the 
  higher terrain of the Tug Hill Plateau.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Widespread accumulating snow will create difficult travel
conditions.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$
730 
WWUS41 KBUF 160900
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
400 AM EST Sat Jan 16 2021

NYZ006>008-161700-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-210118T0000Z/
Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Oswego, Watertown, and Lowville
400 AM EST Sat Jan 16 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow. Total snow accumulations of 10 to 20 inches
  across the higher terrain of the Tug Hill Plateau with 4 to 7
  inch amounts for the lower elevations. Winds gusting as high as
  35 mph on Sunday could result in some blowing snow.

* WHERE...The Eastern Lake Ontario Region. The greatest snow
  amounts will be confined to the higher terrain of the Tug Hill
  Plateau.

* WHEN...Through 7 PM EST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult at times with poor
  visibility and snow covered roads, particularly across the
  higher terrain of the Tug Hill Plateau.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Widespread accumulating snow will create dangerous travel
conditions.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$
026 
WWUS41 KBUF 161500
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1000 AM EST Sat Jan 16 2021

NYZ006>008-162300-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-210118T0000Z/
Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Oswego, Watertown, and Lowville
1000 AM EST Sat Jan 16 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow. Total snow accumulations of 10 to 20 inches
  across the higher terrain of the Tug Hill Plateau with 4 to 7
  inch amounts for the lower elevations. Winds gusting as high as
  35 mph on Sunday could result in some blowing snow.

* WHERE...The Eastern Lake Ontario Region.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult at times with poor 
  visibility and snow covered roads, particularly across the 
  higher terrain of the Tug Hill Plateau.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Widespread accumulating snow will create dangerous travel
conditions.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$
JLA
917 
WWUS41 KBUF 161927
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
227 PM EST Sat Jan 16 2021

NYZ006>008-170330-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-210118T0000Z/
Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Oswego, Watertown, and Lowville
227 PM EST Sat Jan 16 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow. Additional snow accumulations through late 
  Sunday afternoon of over a foot on the Tug Hill Plateau, with 2 
  to 4 inches at lower elevations, including Oswego, Watertown, 
  Lowville. The most snow will occur later this evening through 
  Sunday morning. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph on Sunday will 
  lead to patchy blowing snow in open areas.
 
* WHERE...The Eastern Lake Ontario Region.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult at times with poor 
  visibility and snow covered roads, particularly across the 
  higher terrain of the Tug Hill Plateau.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Widespread accumulating snow will create dangerous travel
conditions.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$
JLA
920 
WWUS41 KBUF 170241
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
941 PM EST Sat Jan 16 2021

NYZ006>008-171045-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-210118T0000Z/
Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Oswego, Watertown, and Lowville
941 PM EST Sat Jan 16 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow. Additional snow accumulations through Sunday
  afternoon of over a foot on the Tug Hill Plateau, with 2 to 4 
  inches at lower elevations, including Oswego, Watertown, 
  Lowville. The most snow will occur tonight through Sunday 
  morning. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph on Sunday will lead to 
  patchy blowing snow in open areas.

* WHERE...The Eastern Lake Ontario Region.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult at times with poor 
  visibility and snow covered roads, particularly across the 
  higher terrain of the Tug Hill Plateau.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Widespread accumulating snow will create dangerous travel
conditions.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$
963 
WWUS41 KBUF 170734
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
234 AM EST Sun Jan 17 2021

NYZ006>008-171600-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-210118T0000Z/
Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Oswego, Watertown, and Lowville
234 AM EST Sun Jan 17 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Heavy snow. Additional snow accumulations of 6 to 10
  inches across the Tug Hill Plateau while several additional
  inches will be possible across the lower elevations. Winds
  gusting as high as 35 mph. The bulk of the additional snowfall
  will take place before midday.

* WHERE...The Eastern Lake Ontario Region.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult at times with poor
  visibility and snow covered roads, particularly this morning across
  the higher terrain of the Tug Hill Plateau.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Widespread accumulating snow will create dangerous travel
conditions.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

NYZ012-019-020-085-171600-
/O.NEW.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.210117T0734Z-210118T2200Z/
Wyoming-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Warsaw, Jamestown, Olean, Orchard Park, 
and Springville
234 AM EST Sun Jan 17 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Accumulating snow. Total snow accumulations ranging from
  of 7 to 14 inches across the higher terrain to 4 to 7 inches in
  the lower elevations. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Wyoming, Chautauqua, Cattaraugus, and Southern Erie 
  counties.

* WHEN...Until 5 PM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be difficult at times...especially
  tonight and Monday across the higher terrain. The hazardous
  conditions could impact the Monday morning and evening commutes. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Periods of snow will result in snow covered roads and limited
visibilities. Slow down and use caution while driving.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$
759 
WWUS41 KBUF 171102
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
602 AM EST Sun Jan 17 2021

NYZ006>008-171915-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-210118T0000Z/
Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Oswego, Watertown, and Lowville
602 AM EST Sun Jan 17 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Accumulating snow. Additional snow accumulations of 5 to
  8 inches across the Tug Hill Plateau while several additional 
  inches will be possible across the lower elevations. Winds 
  gusting as high as 35 mph. The bulk of the additional snowfall 
  will take place before midday.

* WHERE...The Eastern Lake Ontario Region.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult at times with poor 
  visibility and snow covered roads, particularly this morning 
  across the higher terrain of the Tug Hill Plateau.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Widespread accumulating snow will create dangerous travel
conditions.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

NYZ012-019-020-085-171915-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-210118T2200Z/
Wyoming-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Warsaw, Jamestown, Olean, Orchard Park, 
and Springville
602 AM EST Sun Jan 17 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST
MONDAY...

* WHAT...Accumulating snow. Total snow accumulations ranging 
  from of 7 to 14 inches across the higher terrain to 4 to 7 
  inches in the lower elevations. Winds gusting as high as 35 
  mph.

* WHERE...Wyoming, Chautauqua, Cattaraugus, and Southern Erie 
  counties.

* WHEN...Until 5 PM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be difficult at times...especially 
  tonight and Monday across the higher terrain. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the Monday morning and evening 
  commutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Periods of snow will result in snow covered roads and limited
visibilities. Slow down and use caution while driving.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$
764 
WWUS41 KBUF 171811
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
111 PM EST Sun Jan 17 2021

NYZ012-019-020-085-180215-
/O.UPG.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-210118T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.W.0001.210118T0000Z-210119T1200Z/
Wyoming-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Warsaw, Jamestown, Olean, Orchard Park, 
and Springville
111 PM EST Sun Jan 17 2021

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
7 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow expected. Total snow accumulations
  of 8 to 16 inches in the most persistent lake snows. The
  greatest snow accumulations in Chautauqua and Cattaraugus 
  counties will occur north of a line from Mayville to Cattaraugus
  to Machias. 

* WHERE...Wyoming, Chautauqua, Cattaraugus, and Southern Erie 
  counties.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 7 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The
  hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning or evening
  commute and the morning commute on Tuesday. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Heavy snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be
prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

Experimental content below...do not use operationally
Please see below links for more information on this experiment
http://www.weather.gov/buf/polygon_pdd
http://www.nws.noaa.gov/os/notification/
pns15lake_effect_snowaaa.htm
To view the experimental polygons please see:
http://www.weather.gov/buf/lespolygon
COORD...4273 7823 4274 7837 4277 7837 4278 7878 
        4271 7894 4259 7890 4260 7869 4261 7854 4261 7834 
        4266 7820 
TIME Y21M01D18T0000Z-Y21M01D18T0600Z
COORD...4262 7823 4271 7823 4274 7861 4271 7897 
        4262 7922 4241 7958 4228 7952 4226 7934 4232 7880 
        4247 7848 
TIME Y21M01D18T0600Z-Y21M01D18T1800Z
COORD...4269 7826 4283 7836 4268 7913 4249 7922 
        4234 7945 4233 7918 4247 7895 4242 7887 4240 7864 
        4255 7838 
TIME Y21M01D18T1800Z-Y21M01D19T1200Z

$$

NYZ006>008-180000-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-210118T0000Z/
Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Oswego, Watertown, and Lowville
111 PM EST Sun Jan 17 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations of up to 2 inches
  over the Tug Hill, with minimal snow accumulations elsewhere.

* WHERE...The Eastern Lake Ontario Region.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Widespread accumulating snow will create dangerous travel
conditions.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

JLA
565 
WWUS41 KBUF 172219
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
519 PM EST Sun Jan 17 2021

NYZ006>008-172330-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-210118T0000Z/
Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Oswego, Watertown, and Lowville
519 PM EST Sun Jan 17 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

Heavy snow has ended in the area. There still may be some slick
spots due to previous snowfall and lingering snow showers.

$$

NYZ012-019-020-085-180700-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0001.210118T0000Z-210119T1200Z/
Wyoming-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Warsaw, Jamestown, Olean, Orchard Park, 
and Springville
519 PM EST Sun Jan 17 2021

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow expected. Total snow 
  accumulations of 8 to 16 inches in the most persistent lake 
  snows. The greatest snow accumulations in Chautauqua and 
  Cattaraugus counties will occur north of a line from Mayville 
  to Cattaraugus to Machias.

* WHERE...Wyoming, Chautauqua, Cattaraugus, and Southern Erie 
  counties.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 7 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The 
  hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning or 
  evening commute and the morning commute on Tuesday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Heavy snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be
prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

Experimental content below...do not use operationally
Please see below links for more information on this experiment
http://www.weather.gov/buf/polygon_pdd
http://www.nws.noaa.gov/os/notification/
pns15lake_effect_snowaaa.htm
To view the experimental polygons please see:
http://www.weather.gov/buf/lespolygon
COORD...4273 7823 4274 7837 4277 7837 4278 7878 
        4271 7894 4259 7890 4260 7869 4261 7854 4261 7834 
        4266 7820 
TIME Y21M01D18T0000Z-Y21M01D18T0600Z
COORD...4262 7823 4271 7823 4274 7861 4271 7897 
        4262 7922 4241 7958 4228 7952 4226 7934 4232 7880 
        4247 7848 
TIME Y21M01D18T0600Z-Y21M01D18T1800Z
COORD...4269 7826 4283 7836 4268 7913 4249 7922 
        4234 7945 4233 7918 4247 7895 4242 7887 4240 7864 
        4255 7838 
TIME Y21M01D18T1800Z-Y21M01D19T1200Z

$$

Apffel

Nearby

Winter Storm Warnings in New York, 2021Every winter storm warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.