Alert archive / New York / Flood Watches in 2021
Flood Watch 2, NWS Buffalo, NY
NWS Buffalo, NY issued this flood watch at Mar 10, 2021, 3:09 AM EST for Erie County, New York. It took effect at Mar 10, 2021, 1:00 PM EST. It was in force for 39 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 10, 2021, 3:09 AM EST (08:09 UTC)
- In effect from
- Mar 10, 2021, 1:00 PM EST
- Expired
- Mar 12, 2021, 3:53 AM EST
- In force
- 39 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Buffalo, NY
- Flood severity
- None
County Erie County, NY
The radar
The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 21 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:11 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 00:00Z, 8.2 hours before the alert went out and 20 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1956 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 31 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 48 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 138 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
912 WGUS61 KBUF 100809 FFABUF URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Flood Watch National Weather Service Buffalo NY 309 AM EST Wed Mar 10 2021 .Minor flooding from ice jams is possible later today through early Friday. NYZ010-085-101615- /O.NEW.KBUF.FA.A.0002.210310T1800Z-210312T1500Z/ /00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Northern Erie-Southern Erie- Including the cities of Orchard Park, Buffalo, and Springville 309 AM EST Wed Mar 10 2021 ...FLOOD WATCH FOR ICE JAMS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a * Flood Watch for a portion of western New York, including the following counties, Northern Erie and Southern Erie. * From 1 PM EST this afternoon through Friday morning * Ice jams remain in place on Cazenovia Creek and Buffalo Creek near the confluence of the two creeks. Much warmer temperatures today through Thursday will accelerate snowmelt in the headwaters of the creeks, resulting in higher flows and an increased risk of minor flooding from ice jams. Rainfall of 0.25 to 0.50 inch late Thursday and Thursday night will also increase runoff and result in higher flows. * A limited risk of flooding may develop if ice jams remain in place. Flooding is possible upstream of the ice jams initially, and flooding is also possible downstream of the ice jams if a sudden release occurs. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on current forecasts. You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible flood warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. && $$ Hitchcock
9 follow-up statements
534 WGUS61 KBUF 101005 FFABUF Flood Watch National Weather Service Buffalo NY 505 AM EST Wed Mar 10 2021 .Minor flooding from ice jams is possible later today through early Friday. NYZ010-085-101815- /O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0002.210310T1800Z-210312T1500Z/ /00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Northern Erie-Southern Erie- Including the cities of Orchard Park, Buffalo, and Springville 505 AM EST Wed Mar 10 2021 ...FLOOD WATCH FOR ICE JAMS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... The Flood Watch continues for * A portion of western New York, including the following counties, Northern Erie and Southern Erie. * From 1 PM EST this afternoon through Friday morning * Ice jams remain in place on the lower reaches of Cazenovia Creek and the Buffalo River in South Buffalo. Much warmer temperatures today through Thursday will accelerate snowmelt in the headwaters of the creeks, resulting in higher flows and an increased risk of minor flooding from ice jams. Rainfall of 0.25 to 0.50 inch late Thursday and Thursday night will also increase runoff and result in higher flows. * A limited risk of flooding may develop if ice jams remain in place. Flooding is possible upstream of the ice jams initially, and flooding is also possible downstream of the ice jams if a sudden release occurs. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on current forecasts. You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible flood warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. && $$ Hitchcock
330 WGUS61 KBUF 101448 FFABUF Flood Watch National Weather Service Buffalo NY 948 AM EST Wed Mar 10 2021 .Minor flooding from ice jams is possible later today through early Friday. NYZ010-085-102300- /O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0002.210310T1800Z-210312T1500Z/ /00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Northern Erie-Southern Erie- Including the cities of Orchard Park, Buffalo, and Springville 948 AM EST Wed Mar 10 2021 ...FLOOD WATCH FOR ICE JAMS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... The Flood Watch continues for * A portion of western New York, including the following counties, Northern Erie and Southern Erie. * From 1 PM EST this afternoon through Friday morning * Ice jams remain in place on the lower reaches of Cazenovia Creek and the Buffalo River in South Buffalo. Much warmer temperatures today through Thursday will accelerate snowmelt in the headwaters of the creeks, resulting in higher flows and an increased risk of minor flooding from ice jams. Rainfall of 0.25 to 0.50 inch late Thursday and Thursday night will also increase runoff and result in higher flows. * A limited risk of flooding may develop if ice jams remain in place. Flooding is possible upstream of the ice jams initially, and flooding is also possible downstream of the ice jams if a sudden release occurs. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on current forecasts. You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible flood warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. && $$ RSH
934 WGUS61 KBUF 102203 FFABUF Flood Watch National Weather Service Buffalo NY 503 PM EST Wed Mar 10 2021 .Minor flooding from ice jams is possible through early Friday. NYZ010-085-110615- /O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-210312T1500Z/ /00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Northern Erie-Southern Erie- Including the cities of Orchard Park, Buffalo, and Springville 503 PM EST Wed Mar 10 2021 ...FLOOD WATCH FOR AN ICE JAM REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... The Flood Watch continues for * A portion of western New York, including the following counties, Northern Erie and Southern Erie. * Through Friday morning * Ice jams remain in place on the lower reaches of Cazenovia Creek and the Buffalo River in South Buffalo. Much warmer temperatures through Thursday will accelerate snowmelt in the headwaters of the creeks, resulting in higher flows and an increased risk of minor flooding from ice jams. Rainfall of 0.25 to 0.50 inch late Thursday through Thursday evening will also increase runoff and result in higher flows. * A limited risk of flooding may develop if ice jams remain in place. Flooding is possible upstream of the ice jams initially, and flooding is also possible downstream of the ice jams if a sudden release occurs. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on current forecasts. You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible flood warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. && $$ JLA
134 WGUS61 KBUF 110355 FFABUF Flood Watch National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1055 PM EST Wed Mar 10 2021 .Minor flooding from ice jams is possible through early Friday. NYZ010-085-111200- /O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-210312T1500Z/ /00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Northern Erie-Southern Erie- Including the cities of Orchard Park, Buffalo, and Springville 1055 PM EST Wed Mar 10 2021 ...FLOOD WATCH FOR AN ICE JAM REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... The Flood Watch continues for * A portion of western New York, including the following counties, Northern Erie and Southern Erie. * Through Friday morning * Ice jams remain in place on the lower reaches of Cazenovia Creek and the Buffalo River in South Buffalo. Much warmer temperatures through Thursday will accelerate snowmelt in the headwaters of the creeks, resulting in higher flows and an increased risk of minor flooding from ice jams. Rainfall of 0.25 to 0.50 inch late Thursday through Thursday evening will also increase runoff and result in higher flows. * A limited risk of flooding may develop if ice jams remain in place. Flooding is possible upstream of the ice jams initially, and flooding is also possible downstream of the ice jams if a sudden release occurs. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on current forecasts. You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible flood warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. && $$ JLA
755 WGUS61 KBUF 110935 FFABUF Flood Watch National Weather Service Buffalo NY 435 AM EST Thu Mar 11 2021 .Minor flooding from ice jams is possible through early Friday. NYZ010-085-111745- /O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-210312T1500Z/ /00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Northern Erie-Southern Erie- Including the cities of Orchard Park, Buffalo, and Springville 435 AM EST Thu Mar 11 2021 ...FLOOD WATCH FOR AN ICE JAM REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... The Flood Watch continues for * A portion of western New York, including the following counties, Northern Erie and Southern Erie. * Through Friday morning * Ice jams remain in place on the lower reaches of Cazenovia Creek and the Buffalo River in South Buffalo. Continued warm temperatures today will accelerate snowmelt in the headwaters of the creeks, resulting in higher flows and an increased risk of minor flooding from ice jams. Rainfall of 0.25 to 0.50 inch this afternoon through early tonight will also increase runoff and result in higher flows. * A limited risk of flooding may develop if ice jams remain in place. Flooding is possible upstream of the ice jams initially, and flooding is also possible downstream of the ice jams if a sudden release occurs. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on current forecasts. You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible flood warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. && $$ TMA
765 WGUS61 KBUF 111246 FFABUF Flood Watch National Weather Service Buffalo NY 746 AM EST Thu Mar 11 2021 .Minor flooding from snow melt and isolated ice jams is possible through early Friday. NYZ010-085-112100- /O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-210312T1500Z/ /00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Northern Erie-Southern Erie- Including the cities of Orchard Park, Buffalo, and Springville 746 AM EST Thu Mar 11 2021 ...FLOOD WATCH FOR SNOW MELT AND ISOLATED ICE JAMS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... The Flood Watch continues for * A portion of western New York, including the following counties, Northern Erie and Southern Erie. * Through Friday morning * Near record high temperatures today will accelerate snow melt in the headwaters of the creeks, resulting in higher flows and an increased risk of minor flooding. Basin average rainfall of a quarter inch this afternoon through early tonight will also increase runoff and result in higher flows. * A limited risk of minor flooding may develop due to significant snowmelt from the rural areas and higher terrain south and east of Buffalo. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on current forecasts. You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible flood warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. && $$ RSH
080 WGUS61 KBUF 111944 FFABUF Flood Watch National Weather Service Buffalo NY 244 PM EST Thu Mar 11 2021 .Minor flooding from snow melt and isolated ice jams is possible through early Friday. NYZ010-085-120400- /O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-210312T1500Z/ /00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Northern Erie-Southern Erie- Including the cities of Orchard Park, Buffalo, and Springville 244 PM EST Thu Mar 11 2021 ...FLOOD WATCH FOR SNOW MELT AND ISOLATED ICE JAMS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... The Flood Watch continues for * A portion of western New York, including the following counties, Northern Erie and Southern Erie. * Through Friday morning * Near record high temperatures today will accelerate snow melt in the headwaters of the creeks, resulting in higher flows and an increased risk of minor flooding. Basin average rainfall of a quarter inch this afternoon through early tonight will also increase runoff and result in higher flows. * A limited risk of minor flooding may develop due to significant snowmelt from the rural areas and higher terrain south and east of Buffalo. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on current forecasts. You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible flood warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. && $$ RSH
103 WGUS61 KBUF 120353 FFABUF Flood Watch National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1053 PM EST Thu Mar 11 2021 .Minor flooding from snow melt and the rain that occurred Thursday evening is possible through early Friday. NYZ010-085-121200- /O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-210312T1500Z/ /00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Northern Erie-Southern Erie- Including the cities of Orchard Park, Buffalo, and Springville 1053 PM EST Thu Mar 11 2021 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY... The Flood Watch continues for * A portion of western New York, including the following counties, Northern Erie and Southern Erie. * Until 10 AM EST Friday * Recent warm temperatures will result in higher flows and an increased risk of minor flooding into Friday. Basin average rainfall of a quarter inch that occurred this evening will also increase runoff and result in higher flows. * A limited risk of minor flooding may develop due to significant snowmelt from the rural areas and higher terrain south and east of Buffalo and from the rain that occurred on Thursday evening. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on current forecasts. You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible flood warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. && $$ JLA
638 WGUS61 KBUF 120853 FFABUF Flood Watch National Weather Service Buffalo NY 353 AM EST Fri Mar 12 2021 NYZ010-085-121000- /O.CAN.KBUF.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-210312T1500Z/ /00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Northern Erie-Southern Erie- Including the cities of Orchard Park, Buffalo, and Springville 353 AM EST Fri Mar 12 2021 ...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... The Flood Watch for a portion of western New York, including the following areas, Northern Erie and Southern Erie has been cancelled. Flows on the Buffalo area creeks will continue to gradually recede through this morning. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a threat. $$ TMA
The office that day
Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 3:44 PM EST | Small Craft Advisory | BUF | 5 days |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.