Alert archive / Michigan / Winter Weather Advisories in 2021

Winter Weather Advisory 21, NWS Gaylord, MI

November 14, 20216 counties in Michigan

NWS Gaylord, MI issued this winter weather advisory at Nov 14, 2021, 3:48 PM EST for 6 counties in Michigan. It took effect at Nov 14, 2021, 10:00 PM EST. It was in force for 18 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 14, 2021, 3:48 PM EST (20:48 UTC)
In effect from
Nov 14, 2021, 10:00 PM EST
Expired
Nov 15, 2021, 3:43 PM EST
In force
18 hr
Issued by
NWS Gaylord, MI

Counties Antrim County, MI, Crawford County, MI, Kalkaska County, MI, Missaukee County, MI, Otsego County, MI, Roscommon County, MI

The radar

The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 28 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Alpena, MI (KAPX), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 199 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Alpena, MI at 12:00Z on 2021-11-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Alpena, MI at 12:00Z on 2021-11-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 9 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
572 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
58 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
9 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
94 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

993 
WWUS43 KAPX 142048
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
348 PM EST Sun Nov 14 2021

MIZ020-025-031-142200-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WW.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-211114T2200Z/
Leelanau-Benzie-Manistee-
Including the cities of Northport, Frankfort, and Manistee
348 PM EST Sun Nov 14 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Areas of snow (possibly mixed with rain early) will gradually 
wind down through early evening. Any additional snow accumulations
will be light, generally less than one inch. Minor slushy snow 
accumulations will still be possible. This could result in slick 
travel, especially as temperatures fall after sunset. 

$$

MIZ021-027-150500-
/O.NEW.KAPX.WW.Y.0021.211115T0300Z-211115T1500Z/
Antrim-Kalkaska-
Including the cities of Mancelona and Kalkaska
348 PM EST Sun Nov 14 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
10 AM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow showers expected to develop. Total snow
  accumulations of 2 to 5 inches.

* WHERE...Antrim and Kalkaska Counties, particularly away from the
  coast.   

* WHEN...From 10 PM this evening to 10 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slushy, slippery road conditions. The 
  hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$

http://www.weather.gov/gaylord
4 follow-up statements
720 
WWUS43 KAPX 150400
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1100 PM EST Sun Nov 14 2021

MIZ033-151200-
/O.EXB.KAPX.WW.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-211115T1800Z/
Missaukee-
Including the city of Lake City
1100 PM EST Sun Nov 14 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Snow. Accumulations between midnight and noon Monday of 2
  to 5 inches along and north of the M-55 corridor.

* WHERE...Missaukee County.

* WHEN...Until 1 PM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$

MIZ021-027-151200-
/O.EXT.KAPX.WW.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-211115T1800Z/
Antrim-Kalkaska-
Including the cities of Mancelona and Kalkaska
1100 PM EST Sun Nov 14 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Snow. Accumulations between midnight and noon Monday of  
  2 to 6 inches.

* WHERE...Antrim and Kalkaska Counties.

* WHEN...Until 1 PM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$

JPB
126 
WWUS43 KAPX 150807
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
307 AM EST Mon Nov 15 2021

MIZ022-028-034-151800-
/O.EXB.KAPX.WW.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-211115T2200Z/
Otsego-Crawford-Roscommon-
Including the cities of Gaylord, Grayling, and Houghton Lake
307 AM EST Mon Nov 15 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations of 1 to 4 inches.

* WHERE...Otsego, Crawford and Roscommon Counties.

* WHEN...Until 5 PM EST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$

MIZ021-027-033-151800-
/O.EXT.KAPX.WW.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-211115T2200Z/
Antrim-Kalkaska-Missaukee-
Including the cities of Mancelona, Kalkaska, and Lake City
307 AM EST Mon Nov 15 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations of 1 to 5 inches.

* WHERE...Antrim, Kalkaska and Missaukee Counties.

* WHEN...Until 5 PM EST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$

http://www.weather.gov/gaylord
451 
WWUS43 KAPX 151542
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1042 AM EST Mon Nov 15 2021

MIZ033-151645-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WW.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-211115T2200Z/
Missaukee-
Including the city of Lake City
1042 AM EST Mon Nov 15 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Although scattered snow showers will continue into the northern
parts of Missaukee County this afternoon, the heavier snow will
remain north and east of this area. Therefore the advisory has
been cancelled.  

$$

MIZ021-022-027-028-034-152200-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-211115T2200Z/
Antrim-Otsego-Kalkaska-Crawford-Roscommon-
Including the cities of Mancelona, Gaylord, Kalkaska, Grayling, 
and Houghton Lake
1042 AM EST Mon Nov 15 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Frequent Snow Showers. Additional snow accumulations of 1
  to 3 inches.  

* WHERE...Antrim, Kalkaska, Crawford, Otsego and Roscommon 
  Counties.

* WHEN...Until 5 PM EST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slushy and slippery road conditions within the
  heavier snow bands. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$

http://www.weather.gov/gaylord
030 
WWUS43 KAPX 152043
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
343 PM EST Mon Nov 15 2021

MIZ021-022-027-028-034-152145-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WW.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-211115T2200Z/
Antrim-Otsego-Kalkaska-Crawford-Roscommon-
Including the cities of Mancelona, Gaylord, Kalkaska, Grayling, 
and Houghton Lake
343 PM EST Mon Nov 15 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Additional snow accumulations will be minor. Therefore, the 
advisory has been cancelled. 

Some snow showers will continue across the area into this 
evening, possibly producing quick reductions in visibility and 
resulting in some minor accumulations. So caution should be
exercised if traveling.   

$$

http://www.weather.gov/gaylord

The office that day

Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 13, 10:56 PM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryAPXAntrim, Benzie, Charlevoix, Emmet, Leelanau, Manistee17 hr
Nov 14, 4:04 AM ESTSmall Craft AdvisoryAPX32 hr

Nearby

Winter Weather Advisories in Michigan, 2021Every winter weather advisory in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.