Alert archive / New Mexico / Flash Flood Warnings in 2021

Flash Flood Warning 2, NWS Albuquerque, NM

May 16, 2021Colfax County, New Mexico

NWS Albuquerque, NM issued this flash flood warning at May 16, 2021, 6:36 PM MDT for Colfax County, New Mexico. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 16, 2021, 6:36 PM MDT (00:36 UTC)
Expired
May 16, 2021, 9:45 PM MDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Albuquerque, NM
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

County Colfax County, NM

The radar

The Albuquerque radar (KABX), 223 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM (KABQ), launched 00:00Z, 0.6 hours before the alert went out and 217 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM at 00:00Z on 2021-05-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 152 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM at 00:00Z on 2021-05-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 32 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
152 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-28 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
3777 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
18 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
32 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
73 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

372 
WGUS55 KABQ 170036
FFWABQ
NMC007-170345-
/O.NEW.KABQ.FF.W.0002.210517T0036Z-210517T0345Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
636 PM MDT Sun May 16 2021

The National Weather Service in Albuquerque has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  The Ute Park Burn Scar in...
  Southwestern Colfax County in northeastern New Mexico...

* Until 945 PM MDT.

* At 636 PM MDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing 
  heavy rain over the Ute Park Burn Scar. Between 0.1 and 0.65 
  inches of rain have fallen with the heaviest amounts over Ute 
  Park. Additional rainfall amounts of 0.1 to 0.25 inches are 
  possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected 
  to begin shortly.

Excessive rainfall over the burn scar will impact Highway 64 from 
Ute Park to Cimarron, the Cimarron River and the Philmont Scout 
Ranch backcountry as well as Ute Park including Hummingbird Lane and 
Cimarron. Some areas north of Highway 64 that will be impacted 
include State Road 204, Bear and Dean Canyons, Ponil Creek, and 
Turkey Creek. Some areas south of Highway 64 that will be impacted 
include Webster and Cimarroncito Reservoirs, Cimarroncito Creek, 
Vaca Pond, Deer Lake, Ute Gulch and Grouse and Sawmill Canyons. The 
debris flow can consist of rock, mud, vegetation and other loose 
materials.

  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms in and around
           the Ute Park Burn Scar.

  SOURCE...Radar.

  IMPACT...Flooding of areas in and around the Ute Park Burn
           Scar.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Cimarron, Philmont Scout Ranch and Ute Park.

This includes the following highways...
	Highway 64 between Mile Markers 295 and 311.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This will impact the Ute Park burn scar including but not limited to 
Highway 64 from Ute Park to Cimarron, the Cimarron River and the 
Philmont Scout Ranch backcountry as well as Ute Park including 
Hummingbird Lane and Cimarron.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3659 10494 3654 10489 3652 10489 3646 10494
      3646 10502 3647 10506 3649 10507 3649 10508
      3650 10510 3651 10511 3653 10513 3654 10514
      3656 10513 3657 10511 3659 10502 3659 10500
      3659 10499

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED

$$

44
2 follow-up statements
424 
WGUS75 KABQ 170156
FFSABQ

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
756 PM MDT Sun May 16 2021

NMC007-170345-
/O.CON.KABQ.FF.W.0002.000000T0000Z-210517T0345Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Colfax NM-
756 PM MDT Sun May 16 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR THE UTE PARK BURN SCAR REMAINS IN EFFECT 
UNTIL 945 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR SOUTHWESTERN COLFAX COUNTY...

At 756 PM MDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy 
rain over the Ute Park Burn Scar ended. However, between 0.15 and 
0.8 inches of rain fell on the scar earlier with the heaviest 
amounts around the town of Ute Park. The water level in drainages 
like Cimarron Creek and Ponil Creek may continue to rise through 9 
PM MDT, posing a risk to life and property.

Dangerous runoff is most likely to impact the Cimarron River and 
Highway 64 from Ute Park to Cimarron. The debris flow can consist of 
rock, mud, vegetation and other loose materials.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms in and around the
         Ute Park Burn Scar.

SOURCE...Radar.

IMPACT...Flooding of areas in and around the Ute Park Burn Scar.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Cimarron, Philmont Scout Ranch and Ute Park.

This includes the following highways...
	Highway 64 between Mile Markers 295 and 311.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This will impact the Ute Park burn scar including but not limited to 
Highway 64 from Ute Park to Cimarron, the Cimarron River and the 
Philmont Scout Ranch backcountry as well as Ute Park including 
Hummingbird Lane and Cimarron.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3659 10494 3654 10489 3652 10489 3646 10494
      3646 10502 3647 10506 3649 10507 3649 10508
      3650 10510 3651 10511 3653 10513 3654 10514
      3656 10513 3657 10511 3659 10502 3659 10500
      3659 10499

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED

$$

44
987 
WGUS75 KABQ 170337
FFSABQ

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
937 PM MDT Sun May 16 2021

NMC007-170347-
/O.EXP.KABQ.FF.W.0002.000000T0000Z-210517T0345Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Colfax NM-
937 PM MDT Sun May 16 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR THE UTE PARK BURN SCAR WILL EXPIRE AT 945 
PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR SOUTHWESTERN COLFAX COUNTY...

Flood waters have receded. The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no 
longer expected to pose a threat. Please continue to heed any 
remaining road closures.

LAT...LON 3659 10494 3654 10489 3652 10489 3646 10494
      3646 10502 3647 10506 3649 10507 3649 10508
      3650 10510 3651 10511 3653 10513 3654 10514
      3656 10513 3657 10511 3659 10502 3659 10500
      3659 10499

$$

44

The office that day

Everything else NWS Albuquerque, NM issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 16, 6:25 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementABQHarding35 min
May 16, 6:30 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryABQColfax3 hr
May 16, 6:38 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQColfax12 min
May 16, 7:00 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementABQHarding30 min
May 16, 7:22 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementABQHarding23 min
May 16, 7:26 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQHarding, Union42 min
May 17, 11:51 AM MDTSpecial Weather StatementABQValencia24 min
May 17, 12:05 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementABQSanta Fe25 min
May 17, 12:16 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQSanta Fe59 min
May 17, 12:25 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementABQTaos35 min
May 17, 12:27 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementABQTorrance33 min
May 17, 12:46 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementABQLos Alamos29 min
May 17, 12:52 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQLos Alamos, Sandoval, Santa Fe53 min
May 17, 1:03 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementABQSanta Fe27 min
May 17, 1:07 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQSandoval, Santa Fe35 min
May 17, 1:13 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQSanta Fe62 min
May 17, 1:22 PM MDTTornado WarningABQSandoval, Santa Fe23 min
May 17, 1:32 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementABQTorrance28 min
May 17, 1:52 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryABQSandoval, Santa Fe113 min
May 17, 1:59 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementABQ31 min
May 17, 2:06 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementABQGuadalupe24 min
May 17, 2:14 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQSanta Fe31 min
May 17, 2:19 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQGuadalupe33 min
May 17, 2:20 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQDe Baca, Guadalupe27 min
May 17, 2:24 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementABQMora36 min
May 17, 2:49 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementABQColfax26 min
May 17, 2:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQMora, Taos17 min
May 17, 3:01 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementABQ29 min
May 17, 3:02 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQDe Baca, Guadalupe, Quay58 min
May 17, 3:22 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementABQCurry8 min
May 17, 3:24 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementABQGuadalupe36 min
May 17, 3:29 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementABQMora31 min
May 17, 3:30 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQGuadalupe23 min
May 17, 3:34 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementABQColfax26 min
May 17, 3:44 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQMora, San Miguel46 min
May 17, 3:55 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQHarding, San Miguel55 min
May 17, 3:56 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementABQGuadalupe34 min
May 17, 3:59 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQQuay, Union61 min
May 17, 3:59 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQCurry, Quay61 min
May 17, 4:01 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQQuay26 min
May 17, 4:07 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQRoosevelt36 min
May 17, 4:17 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQHarding44 min
May 17, 4:30 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQHarding, Mora, San Miguel, Union60 min
May 17, 4:39 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryABQColfax111 min
May 17, 4:42 PM MDTTornado WarningABQQuay38 min
May 17, 4:54 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQCurry, Quay51 min
May 17, 4:57 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQHarding, Quay, Union63 min
May 17, 5:14 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementABQHarding31 min
May 17, 5:30 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQColfax, Harding, Union60 min
May 17, 5:33 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQCurry, Quay21 min
May 17, 5:41 PM MDTTornado WarningABQQuay, Union14 min
May 17, 5:58 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementABQUnion32 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in New Mexico, 2021Every flash flood warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.