Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2020
Tornado Watch 39
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 4, 2020, 1:53 AM CST for 4 states. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 4, 2020, 1:53 AM CST (07:53 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 4, 2020, 10:00 AM CST
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 70 counties
Baldwin County, AL, Butler County, AL, Choctaw County, AL, Clarke County, AL, Conecuh County, AL, Covington County, AL, Crenshaw County, AL, Escambia County, AL, Mobile County, AL, Monroe County, AL, Washington County, AL, Wilcox County, AL, Escambia County, FL, Okaloosa County, FL, Santa Rosa County, FL, Catahoula Parish, LA, Concordia Parish, LA, East Carroll Parish, LA, East Feliciana Parish, LA, Franklin Parish, LA, Madison Parish, LA, Morehouse Parish, LA, Pointe Coupee Parish, LA, Richland Parish, LA, Saint Helena Parish, LA, Tangipahoa Parish, LA, Tensas Parish, LA, Washington Parish, LA, West Carroll Parish, LA, West Feliciana Parish, LA, Adams County, MS, Amite County, MS, Claiborne County, MS, Clarke County, MS, Copiah County, MS, Covington County, MS, Forrest County, MS, Franklin County, MS, George County, MS, Greene County, MS, Hinds County, MS, Issaquena County, MS, Jasper County, MS, Jefferson County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Jones County, MS, Kemper County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Lauderdale County, MS, Lawrence County, MS, Leake County, MS, Lincoln County, MS, Madison County, MS, Marion County, MS, Neshoba County, MS, Newton County, MS, Pearl River County, MS, Perry County, MS, Pike County, MS, Rankin County, MS, Scott County, MS, Sharkey County, MS, Simpson County, MS, Smith County, MS, Stone County, MS, Walthall County, MS, Warren County, MS, Wayne County, MS, Wilkinson County, MS, Yazoo County, MS
The radar
The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 78 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 60%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 60%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
28 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2:06 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Madison, Yazoo | 54 min |
| Mar 4, 2:21 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Kemper | 24 min |
| Mar 4, 2:28 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Madison, Rankin | 33 min |
| Mar 4, 2:52 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Leake, Neshoba, Newton, Rankin, Scott | 38 min |
| Mar 4, 3:10 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Jasper, Jones | 35 min |
| Mar 4, 3:18 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Wayne | 42 min |
| Mar 4, 3:23 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Lauderdale, Newton, Scott | 52 min |
| Mar 4, 3:44 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Copiah, Lawrence, Simpson | 48 min |
| Mar 4, 3:56 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Lauderdale | 49 min |
| Mar 4, 3:57 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Choctaw | 48 min |
| Mar 4, 3:57 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Attala, Holmes, Madison, Yazoo | 48 min |
| Mar 4, 4:11 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Choctaw | 49 min |
| Mar 4, 4:24 AM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Covington, Jefferson Davis, Simpson, Smith | 66 min |
| Mar 4, 4:31 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Attala, Leake, Madison | 44 min |
| Mar 4, 4:48 AM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Covington, Jones | 42 min |
| Mar 4, 4:55 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Clarke | 50 min |
| Mar 4, 4:59 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | East Carroll, Richland, West Carroll | 31 min |
| Mar 4, 5:15 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Wilcox | 45 min |
| Mar 4, 5:15 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Jones | 45 min |
| Mar 4, 5:31 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Wayne | 44 min |
| Mar 4, 5:52 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Wilcox | 38 min |
| Mar 4, 5:55 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Greene, Wayne | 38 min |
| Mar 4, 6:14 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Washington | 46 min |
| Mar 4, 6:18 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Butler, Crenshaw, Monroe, Wilcox | 57 min |
| Mar 4, 7:54 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Conecuh, Covington, Escambia, Monroe | 51 min |
| Mar 4, 8:36 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Covington | 39 min |
| Mar 4, 8:47 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Madison, Tensas | 58 min |
| Mar 4, 9:30 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Claiborne, Hinds, Rankin | 45 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 00:00Z, 7.9 hours before the alert went out and 87 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 47 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -43 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1002 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 78 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -48 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 215 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- -0.0
- Supercell composite
- -0.0
The text
As transmitted.
516
WWUS20 KWNS 040750
SEL9
SPC WW 040750
ALZ000-FLZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-041600-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 39
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
150 AM CST Wed Mar 4 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southwestern Alabama
The western Florida Panhandle
Parts of northeastern and southeastern Louisiana
Much of central and southern Mississippi
* Effective this Wednesday morning from 150 AM until 1000 AM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to increase in coverage and
intensity through the morning hours from Louisiana into Mississippi
and southwestern Alabama, along and north of a stalled front. The
storms will be more elevated with northward extent, posing mainly a
large hail and damaging wind threat. Closer to the front, storms
will be rooted near the ground, where a couple of tornadoes will be
possible.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
north and south of a line from 25 miles west northwest of Natchez MS
to 25 miles north northeast of Crestview FL. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 28040.
...ThompsonSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 1:19 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baldwin, Choctaw, Clarke, Conecuh, Escambia, Marengo and 5 more | 2 hr |
| Mar 4, 2:39 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Autauga, Barbour, Bullock, Dallas, Elmore, Greene and 9 more | 6 hr |
| Mar 4, 6:37 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barbour, Butler, Coffee, Conecuh, Covington, Crenshaw and 7 more | 2 hr |
| Mar 4, 9:16 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Coffee, Dale, Geneva, Henry, Houston | 6 hr |
| Mar 4, 5:05 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Mobile | 2 hr |
| Mar 4, 11:34 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Gadsden, Jackson, Washington | 86 min |
| Mar 4, 1:50 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Hamilton, Nassau | 55 min |
| Mar 4, 4:20 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bienville, Bossier, Caddo, Caldwell, De Soto, Grant and 11 more | 115 min |
| Mar 4, 5:02 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Allen, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Bienville, Caldwell, De Soto and 12 more | 7 hr |
| Mar 4, 10:50 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allen, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Bienville, Caldwell, Catahoula and 24 more | 115 min |
| Mar 4, 1:57 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ascension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, Iberia, Iberville, Jefferson and 17 more | 2 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2020Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2020Tornado Watches in Alabama, 2020Every tornado watch in 2020
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.