Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2020

Tornado Watch 39

March 4, 20204 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 4, 2020, 1:53 AM CST for 4 states. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 4, 2020, 1:53 AM CST (07:53 UTC)
Expired
Mar 4, 2020, 10:00 AM CST
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 70 counties

Baldwin County, AL, Butler County, AL, Choctaw County, AL, Clarke County, AL, Conecuh County, AL, Covington County, AL, Crenshaw County, AL, Escambia County, AL, Mobile County, AL, Monroe County, AL, Washington County, AL, Wilcox County, AL, Escambia County, FL, Okaloosa County, FL, Santa Rosa County, FL, Catahoula Parish, LA, Concordia Parish, LA, East Carroll Parish, LA, East Feliciana Parish, LA, Franklin Parish, LA, Madison Parish, LA, Morehouse Parish, LA, Pointe Coupee Parish, LA, Richland Parish, LA, Saint Helena Parish, LA, Tangipahoa Parish, LA, Tensas Parish, LA, Washington Parish, LA, West Carroll Parish, LA, West Feliciana Parish, LA, Adams County, MS, Amite County, MS, Claiborne County, MS, Clarke County, MS, Copiah County, MS, Covington County, MS, Forrest County, MS, Franklin County, MS, George County, MS, Greene County, MS, Hinds County, MS, Issaquena County, MS, Jasper County, MS, Jefferson County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Jones County, MS, Kemper County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Lauderdale County, MS, Lawrence County, MS, Leake County, MS, Lincoln County, MS, Madison County, MS, Marion County, MS, Neshoba County, MS, Newton County, MS, Pearl River County, MS, Perry County, MS, Pike County, MS, Rankin County, MS, Scott County, MS, Sharkey County, MS, Simpson County, MS, Smith County, MS, Stone County, MS, Walthall County, MS, Warren County, MS, Wayne County, MS, Wilkinson County, MS, Yazoo County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 78 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

28 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 4, 2:06 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANMadison, Yazoo54 min
Mar 4, 2:21 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANKemper24 min
Mar 4, 2:28 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANMadison, Rankin33 min
Mar 4, 2:52 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANLeake, Neshoba, Newton, Rankin, Scott38 min
Mar 4, 3:10 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANJasper, Jones35 min
Mar 4, 3:18 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBWayne42 min
Mar 4, 3:23 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANLauderdale, Newton, Scott52 min
Mar 4, 3:44 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCopiah, Lawrence, Simpson48 min
Mar 4, 3:56 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANLauderdale49 min
Mar 4, 3:57 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBChoctaw48 min
Mar 4, 3:57 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAttala, Holmes, Madison, Yazoo48 min
Mar 4, 4:11 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBChoctaw49 min
Mar 4, 4:24 AM CSTTornado WarningJANCovington, Jefferson Davis, Simpson, Smith66 min
Mar 4, 4:31 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAttala, Leake, Madison44 min
Mar 4, 4:48 AM CSTTornado WarningJANCovington, Jones42 min
Mar 4, 4:55 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBClarke50 min
Mar 4, 4:59 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANEast Carroll, Richland, West Carroll31 min
Mar 4, 5:15 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBWilcox45 min
Mar 4, 5:15 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANJones45 min
Mar 4, 5:31 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBWayne44 min
Mar 4, 5:52 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBWilcox38 min
Mar 4, 5:55 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBGreene, Wayne38 min
Mar 4, 6:14 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBWashington46 min
Mar 4, 6:18 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBButler, Crenshaw, Monroe, Wilcox57 min
Mar 4, 7:54 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBConecuh, Covington, Escambia, Monroe51 min
Mar 4, 8:36 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBCovington39 min
Mar 4, 8:47 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANMadison, Tensas58 min
Mar 4, 9:30 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClaiborne, Hinds, Rankin45 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 00:00Z, 7.9 hours before the alert went out and 87 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 00:00Z on 2020-03-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 47 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 00:00Z on 2020-03-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -48 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
47 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-43 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1002 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
78 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-48 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
215 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
-0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

516 
WWUS20 KWNS 040750
SEL9  
SPC WW 040750
ALZ000-FLZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-041600-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 39
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
150 AM CST Wed Mar 4 2020

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Southwestern Alabama
  The western Florida Panhandle
  Parts of northeastern and southeastern Louisiana
  Much of central and southern Mississippi

* Effective this Wednesday morning from 150 AM until 1000 AM CST.

* Primary threats include...
  A couple tornadoes possible
  Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
    to 2 inches in diameter possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to increase in coverage and
intensity through the morning hours from Louisiana into Mississippi
and southwestern Alabama, along and north of a stalled front.  The
storms will be more elevated with northward extent, posing mainly a
large hail and damaging wind threat.  Closer to the front, storms
will be rooted near the ground, where a couple of tornadoes will be
possible.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
north and south of a line from 25 miles west northwest of Natchez MS
to 25 miles north northeast of Crestview FL. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 28040.

...Thompson

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 4, 1:19 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Choctaw, Clarke, Conecuh, Escambia, Marengo and 5 more2 hr
Mar 4, 2:39 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAutauga, Barbour, Bullock, Dallas, Elmore, Greene and 9 more6 hr
Mar 4, 6:37 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarbour, Butler, Coffee, Conecuh, Covington, Crenshaw and 7 more2 hr
Mar 4, 9:16 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCCoffee, Dale, Geneva, Henry, Houston6 hr
Mar 4, 5:05 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMobile2 hr
Mar 4, 11:34 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGadsden, Jackson, Washington86 min
Mar 4, 1:50 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHamilton, Nassau55 min
Mar 4, 4:20 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBienville, Bossier, Caddo, Caldwell, De Soto, Grant and 11 more115 min
Mar 4, 5:02 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllen, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Bienville, Caldwell, De Soto and 12 more7 hr
Mar 4, 10:50 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Bienville, Caldwell, Catahoula and 24 more115 min
Mar 4, 1:57 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAscension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, Iberia, Iberville, Jefferson and 17 more2 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2020Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2020Tornado Watches in Alabama, 2020Every tornado watch in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.