Alert archive / Nebraska / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2019

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 607

August 20, 2019Morgan County, Weld County, Colorado; 8 counties in Nebraska; 4 counties in Wyoming

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 20, 2019, 3:03 PM MDT for Morgan County, Weld County, Colorado; 8 counties in Nebraska; 4 counties in Wyoming. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 20, 2019, 3:03 PM MDT (21:03 UTC)
Expired
Aug 20, 2019, 11:00 PM MDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Morgan County, CO, Weld County, CO, Banner County, NE, Box Butte County, NE, Cheyenne County, NE, Dawes County, NE, Kimball County, NE, Morrill County, NE, Scotts Bluff County, NE, Sioux County, NE, Goshen County, WY, Laramie County, WY, Niobrara County, WY, Platte County, WY

The radar

The Cheyenne radar (KCYS), 132 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
40%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

27 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 20, 3:24 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUWeld51 min
Aug 20, 3:48 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUWeld42 min
Aug 20, 4:10 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUWeld50 min
Aug 20, 4:42 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUWeld48 min
Aug 20, 4:52 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSLaramie38 min
Aug 20, 4:53 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningCYSConverse, Niobrara, Platte3 hr
Aug 20, 5:02 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUWeld28 min
Aug 20, 5:25 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningCYSLaramie3 hr
Aug 20, 5:29 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSPlatte46 min
Aug 20, 5:33 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUWeld42 min
Aug 20, 5:34 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSLaramie26 min
Aug 20, 5:49 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSPlatte26 min
Aug 20, 5:51 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSPlatte24 min
Aug 20, 5:53 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSLaramie37 min
Aug 20, 5:54 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUAdams, Weld51 min
Aug 20, 6:02 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSPlatte7 min
Aug 20, 6:04 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSPlatte25 min
Aug 20, 6:12 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSAlbany, Platte33 min
Aug 20, 6:20 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningCYSPlatte13 hr
Aug 20, 6:27 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSPlatte33 min
Aug 20, 6:43 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSAlbany, Converse, Platte17 min
Aug 20, 6:57 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSAlbany, Platte48 min
Aug 20, 8:41 PM MDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyCYSPlatte11 hr
Aug 20, 9:25 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSGoshen50 min
Aug 20, 9:49 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSGoshen, Laramie, Platte41 min
Aug 20, 10:07 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSBanner, Box Butte, Dawes, Morrill, Scotts Bluff, Sioux53 min
Aug 20, 10:50 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSBanner, Box Butte, Cheyenne, Dawes, Kimball, Morrill and 2 more55 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Rapid City, SD (KUNR), launched 12:00Z, 9.1 hours before the alert went out and 238 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Rapid City, SD at 12:00Z on 2019-08-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 307 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Rapid City, SD at 12:00Z on 2019-08-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 32 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
307 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-354 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2280 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
32 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
322 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

069 
WWUS20 KWNS 202059
SEL7  
SPC WW 202059
COZ000-NEZ000-WYZ000-210500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 607
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
300 PM MDT Tue Aug 20 2019

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Extreme northeast Colorado
  The western Nebraska Panhandle
  Southeast Wyoming

* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 300 PM until
  1100 PM MDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
    inches in diameter possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorm development is expected late this
afternoon/evening from extreme northeast Colorado into southeast
Wyoming.  The storm environment will favor discrete supercells with
isolated very large hail initially, and upscale growth into a
cluster is possible late this evening with some damaging wind
potential.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles west northwest
of Chadron NE to 65 miles southeast of Cheyenne WY. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 604...WW 605...WW 606...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
29010.

...Thompson

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 19, 10:05 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBurt, Dakota, Thurston115 min
Aug 20, 2:30 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBanner, Kimball, Scotts Bluff, Sioux60 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Nebraska, 2019Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Wyoming, 2019Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Colorado, 2019Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.