Alert archive / New Jersey / Flood Watches in 2019

Flood Watch 4, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

December 13, 20198 counties in New Jersey; Bucks County, Pennsylvania

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this flood watch at Dec 13, 2019, 3:40 PM EST for 8 counties in New Jersey; Bucks County, Pennsylvania. It took effect at Dec 13, 2019, 9:00 PM EST. It was in force for 12 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 13, 2019, 3:40 PM EST (20:40 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 13, 2019, 9:00 PM EST
Expired
Dec 14, 2019, 9:00 AM EST
In force
12 hr
Issued by
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
Flood severity
None

Counties Burlington County, NJ, Hunterdon County, NJ, Mercer County, NJ, Middlesex County, NJ, Monmouth County, NJ, Morris County, NJ, Ocean County, NJ, Somerset County, NJ, Bucks County, PA

The radar

The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 47 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:42 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 12:00Z, 8.7 hours before the alert went out and 157 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2019-12-13Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2019-12-13The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 244 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
780 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
54 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
244 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
406 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

241 
WGUS61 KPHI 132040
FFAPHI

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
340 PM EST Fri Dec 13 2019


NJZ008>010-015-PAZ105-106-140445-
/O.NEW.KPHI.FA.A.0004.191214T0200Z-191214T1700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Morris-Hunterdon-Somerset-Mercer-Upper Bucks-Lower Bucks-
Including the cities of Morristown, Flemington, Somerville, 
Trenton, Chalfont, Perkasie, Morrisville, and Doylestown
340 PM EST Fri Dec 13 2019

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING...

The National Weather Service in Mount Holly has issued a

* Flood Watch for portions of New Jersey and southeast 
  Pennsylvania, including the following areas, in New Jersey, 
  Hunterdon, Mercer, Morris, and Somerset. In southeast 
  Pennsylvania, Lower Bucks and Upper Bucks. 

* From 9 PM EST this evening through Saturday morning

* Periods of heavy rain can be expected overnight. Amounts up to 
  two inches are possible. This could lead to small stream as well
  as main-stem flooding. Poor drainage and low-lying flooding is 
  likely.
 
* The risk of low-lying and small stream flooding will increase 
  tonight into Saturday. The risk of main-stem flooding will 
  increase late Saturday into Saturday night. Please refer to our 
  Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service (AHPS) website for both 
  Passaic and Raritan Basin crest forecasts. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts.

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible
Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be
prepared to take action should flooding develop.

&&

$$

NJZ012>014-019-020-026-027-140445-
/O.NEW.KPHI.FA.A.0004.191214T0200Z-191214T1100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Middlesex-Western Monmouth-Eastern Monmouth-
Northwestern Burlington-Ocean-Coastal Ocean-
Southeastern Burlington-
Including the cities of New Brunswick, Freehold, Sandy Hook, 
Moorestown, Mount Holly, Jackson, Long Beach Island, 
and Wharton State Forest
340 PM EST Fri Dec 13 2019

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE
TONIGHT...

The National Weather Service in Mount Holly has issued a

* Flood Watch for portions of central New Jersey, northern New 
  Jersey, and southern New Jersey, including the following 
  areas, in central New Jersey, Eastern Monmouth and Western 
  Monmouth. In northern New Jersey, Middlesex. In southern New 
  Jersey, Coastal Ocean, Northwestern Burlington, Ocean, and 
  Southeastern Burlington. 

* From 9 PM EST this evening through late tonight

* Periods of heavy rain can be expected overnight. Amounts up to
  two inches are possible. 

* The risk of small stream flooding will increase tonight and
  persist into Saturday morning. With expected amounts, poor
  drainage and low-lying flooding is likely.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts.

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible
Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be
prepared to take action should flooding develop.

&&

$$

Kruzdlo
3 follow-up statements
809 
WGUS61 KPHI 140253
FFAPHI

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
953 PM EST Fri Dec 13 2019

NJZ008>010-015-PAZ105-106-141200-
/O.CON.KPHI.FA.A.0004.000000T0000Z-191214T1700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Morris-Hunterdon-Somerset-Mercer-Upper Bucks-Lower Bucks-
Including the cities of Morristown, Flemington, Somerville, 
Trenton, Chalfont, Perkasie, Morrisville, and Doylestown
953 PM EST Fri Dec 13 2019

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

The Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of New Jersey and southeast Pennsylvania, including 
  the following areas, in New Jersey, Hunterdon, Mercer, Morris, 
  and Somerset. In southeast Pennsylvania, Lower Bucks and Upper 
  Bucks. 

* Through Saturday morning.

* Periods of heavy rain will continue overnight into early
  Saturday morning. Amounts of up to two inches are possible. This
  could lead to small stream as well as main-stem flooding. Poor
  drainage and low-lying flooding is likely. 

* The risk of low-lying and small stream flooding will increase
  overnight into Saturday. The risk of main-stem flooding will
  increase late Saturday into Saturday night. Please refer to the 
  Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service (AHPS) website for both 
  Passaic and Raritan Basin crest forecasts. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts.

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible
Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be
prepared to take action should flooding develop.

&&

$$

NJZ012>014-019-020-026-027-141100-
/O.CON.KPHI.FA.A.0004.000000T0000Z-191214T1100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Middlesex-Western Monmouth-Eastern Monmouth-
Northwestern Burlington-Ocean-Coastal Ocean-
Southeastern Burlington-
Including the cities of New Brunswick, Freehold, Sandy Hook, 
Moorestown, Mount Holly, Jackson, Long Beach Island, 
and Wharton State Forest
953 PM EST Fri Dec 13 2019

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SATURDAY...

The Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of central New Jersey, northern New Jersey, and 
  southern New Jersey, including the following areas, in central 
  New Jersey, Eastern Monmouth and Western Monmouth. In northern 
  New Jersey, Middlesex. In southern New Jersey, Coastal Ocean, 
  Northwestern Burlington, Ocean, and Southeastern Burlington. 

* Until 6 AM EST Saturday.

* Periods of heavy rain will continue overnight into early
  Saturday morning. Amounts up to two inches are possible. 

* The risk of small stream flooding will increase overnight and
  persist into Saturday morning. With the rainfall amounts
  expected, poor drainage and low-lying flooding is likely. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts.

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible
Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be
prepared to take action should flooding develop.

&&

$$
821 
WGUS61 KPHI 141107
FFAPHI

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
607 AM EST Sat Dec 14 2019


NJZ012>014-019-020-026-027-141215-
/O.EXP.KPHI.FA.A.0004.000000T0000Z-191214T1100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Middlesex-Western Monmouth-Eastern Monmouth-
Northwestern Burlington-Ocean-Coastal Ocean-
Southeastern Burlington-
Including the cities of New Brunswick, Freehold, Sandy Hook, 
Moorestown, Mount Holly, Jackson, Long Beach Island, 
and Wharton State Forest
607 AM EST Sat Dec 14 2019

...FLOOD WATCH HAS EXPIRED...

The Flood Watch for portions of central New Jersey, northern New
Jersey, and southern New Jersey has expired. 

Around three quarters to one and one quarter inches of rain fell 
across the watch area overnight. While more rain is expected to 
fall through this morning, it is not expected to cause any 
additional problems on the area rivers. Poor drainage and low- 
lying flooding is likely to continue in the more prone areas.


$$

NJZ008>010-015-PAZ105-106-141700-
/O.CON.KPHI.FA.A.0004.000000T0000Z-191214T1700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Morris-Hunterdon-Somerset-Mercer-Upper Bucks-Lower Bucks-
Including the cities of Morristown, Flemington, Somerville, 
Trenton, Chalfont, Perkasie, Morrisville, and Doylestown
607 AM EST Sat Dec 14 2019

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

The Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of New Jersey and southeast Pennsylvania, including 
  the following areas, in New Jersey, Hunterdon, Mercer, Morris, 
  and Somerset. In southeast Pennsylvania, Lower Bucks and Upper 
  Bucks. 

* Until noon EST today

* Periods of heavy rain will continue through this morning. 
  Amounts of up to two inches are possible. This could lead to 
  small stream as well as main-stem flooding. Poor drainage and 
  low- lying flooding is likely. 

* The risk of low-lying and small stream flooding will increase 
  overnight into Saturday. The risk of main-stem flooding will 
  increase late Saturday into Saturday night. Please refer to 
  the Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service (AHPS) website for 
  both Passaic and Raritan Basin crest forecasts. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts.

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible
Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be
prepared to take action should flooding develop.

&&

$$
932 
WGUS61 KPHI 141400
FFAPHI

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
900 AM EST Sat Dec 14 2019

NJZ008>010-015-PAZ105-106-141500-
/O.CAN.KPHI.FA.A.0004.000000T0000Z-191214T1700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Morris-Hunterdon-Somerset-Mercer-Upper Bucks-Lower Bucks-
Including the cities of Morristown, Flemington, Somerville, 
Trenton, Chalfont, Perkasie, Morrisville, and Doylestown
900 AM EST Sat Dec 14 2019

...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Watch for portions of New Jersey and southeast
Pennsylvania has been cancelled. 

The heavy rain from last night has ended. Another batch of
rainfall is expected this afternoon, however, it is not expected
to have much impact on local rivers, creeks, or streams. 

Many local rivers, creeks, and streams will continue to have rises
trough today, tonight, and Sunday. Most places are not expected to
exceed flood stage at this time. The only exception if Pine Brook
on the Passaic which may approach flood stage on Sunday afternoon.

$$

Robertson

The office that day

Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 13, 4:28 AM ESTGale WatchPHI23 hr
Dec 13, 4:28 AM ESTSmall Craft AdvisoryPHI35 hr
Dec 13, 2:34 PM ESTCoastal Flood AdvisoryPHIAtlantic, Burlington, Cape May, Cumberland, Middlesex, Monmouth and 1 more22 hr
Dec 13, 3:16 PM ESTSmall Craft AdvisoryPHI24 hr

Nearby

Flood Watches in New Jersey, 2019Flood Watches in Pennsylvania, 2019Every flood watch in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.