Alert archive / Michigan / Flash Flood Warnings in 2019
Flash Flood Warning 2, NWS Gaylord, MI
NWS Gaylord, MI issued this flash flood warning at Jul 20, 2019, 2:49 PM EDT for Manistee County, Michigan. It was in force for 3 hr. 9 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 20, 2019, 2:49 PM EDT (18:49 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 20, 2019, 5:45 PM EDT
- In force
- 3 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Gaylord, MI
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- None
County Manistee County, MI
The radar
The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 134 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 2:59 PM EDT | HEAVY RAIN 3.25 | 1 Ne Wellston, MI | MESONET STATION WLLM4 WELLSTON. |
| Jul 20, 3:00 PM EDT | FLOOD | 3 S Eastlake, MI | WATER OVER ROAD DUE TO HEAVY RAIN. |
| Jul 20, 3:00 PM EDT | FLASH FLOOD | 1 S Manistee, MI | FLOODING SURROUNDING SOME 12TH STREET RESIDENCES. |
| Jul 20, 3:10 PM EDT | HEAVY RAIN 5.26 | 1 Nnw Wellston, MI | MESONET STATION EW0269 WELLSTON. |
| Jul 20, 3:40 PM EDT | HEAVY RAIN 5.32 | 1 Nnw Wellston, MI | MESONET STATION EW0269 WELLSTON. THE DURATION OF THE HEAVY RAIN EVENT WAS 24 HOURS. |
| Jul 20, 3:46 PM EDT | HEAVY RAIN 3.91 | 1 Ssw Manistee, MI | MESONET STATION DW9113 MANISTEE. |
| Jul 20, 3:47 PM EDT | HEAVY RAIN 6.57 | 1 N Manistee, MI | MESONET STATION DW3748 MANISTEE. |
| Jul 20, 3:55 PM EDT | HEAVY RAIN 5.35 | 1 Nnw Wellston, MI | MESONET STATION EW0269 WELLSTON. |
| Jul 20, 5:00 PM EDT | HEAVY RAIN 8.9 | 1 Nw Parkdale, MI | STORM TOTAL RAIN AS OF 5:00PM. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 12:00Z, 6.8 hours before the alert went out and 153 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2357 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -173 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 706 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 41 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 240 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 254 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 2.9
The text
As transmitted.
238
WGUS53 KAPX 201849
FFWAPX
MIC101-202145-
/O.NEW.KAPX.FF.W.0002.190720T1849Z-190720T2145Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
249 PM EDT Sat Jul 20 2019
The National Weather Service in Gaylord has issued a
* Flash Flood Warning for...
Manistee County in northern Michigan...
* Until 545 PM EDT.
* At 246 PM EDT, trained weather spotters reported thunderstorms
producing heavy rain across Manistee County. Manistee has received
6.39 inches of rain as of 2:30pm, with another inch expected
across the area. Rain rates with this storm have reached 2 inches
an hour at times. Flash flooding is expected.
* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Manistee, Arcadia, Eastlake, Kaleva, Onekama, Copemish, Wellston,
Pierport, Dublin, Brethren, Norwalk, Parkdale, Orchard Beach State
Park, Pere Marquette State Forest and Star Crossing.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
In hilly terrain there are hundreds of low water crossings which are
potentially dangerous in heavy rain. Do not attempt to cross flooded
roads. Find an alternate route.
&&
LAT...LON 4425 8634 4426 8636 4452 8626 4451 8582
4416 8582 4418 8639
$$
STJ1 follow-up statement
054
WGUS73 KAPX 202038
FFSAPX
Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
438 PM EDT Sat Jul 20 2019
MIC101-202145-
/O.CON.KAPX.FF.W.0002.000000T0000Z-190720T2145Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Manistee MI-
438 PM EDT Sat Jul 20 2019
...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM EDT FOR
MANISTEE COUNTY...
At 435 PM EDT, trained weather spotters reported thunderstorms have
produced heavy rain in the city of Manistee. As of 4:30pm this
afternoon 7.53 inches of rain have fallen, and another inch is
expected. Localized flash flooding is expected to continue.
Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Manistee, Eastlake, Kaleva, Onekama, Wellston, Brethren, Norwalk,
Parkdale, Dublin, Orchard Beach State Park and Star Crossing.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
In hilly terrain there are hundreds of low water crossings which are
potentially dangerous in heavy rain. Do not attempt to cross flooded
roads. Find an alternate route.
&&
LAT...LON 4423 8635 4425 8634 4426 8636 4438 8628
4437 8582 4416 8582 4418 8639
$$
STJThe office that day
Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 9:03 PM EDT | Heat Advisory | APX | Arenac, Gladwin, Iosco, Ogemaw | 16 hr |
| Jul 19, 11:15 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | APX | 90 min | |
| Jul 19, 11:40 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Benzie, Grand Traverse, Leelanau, Manistee, Wexford | 80 min |
| Jul 20, 12:12 AM EDT | Coastal Flood Advisory | APX | Antrim, Benzie, Charlevoix, Emmet, Grand Traverse, Leelanau and 1 more | 5 hr |
| Jul 20, 12:49 AM EDT | Special Marine Warning | APX | 86 min | |
| Jul 20, 1:06 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Kalkaska, Missaukee | 39 min |
| Jul 20, 11:43 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Manistee, Wexford | 24 min |
| Jul 20, 12:03 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | APX | Manistee | 3 hr |
| Jul 20, 1:35 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | APX | 85 min | |
| Jul 20, 1:52 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Manistee | 53 min |
| Jul 20, 1:59 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | APX | 46 min | |
| Jul 20, 2:16 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Leelanau | 29 min |
| Jul 20, 2:28 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | APX | 32 min | |
| Jul 20, 2:35 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Benzie, Grand Traverse, Leelanau | 40 min |
| Jul 20, 4:31 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Alcona, Iosco, Ogemaw | 44 min |
| Jul 20, 4:53 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | APX | 97 min | |
| Jul 20, 5:45 PM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | APX | Manistee | 18 hr |
Nearby
Flash Flood Warnings in Michigan, 2019Every flash flood warning in 2019
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.