Alert archive / Arizona / Flash Flood Warnings in 2018

Flash Flood Warning 40, NWS Tucson, AZ

October 3, 2018Pima County, Arizona

NWS Tucson, AZ issued this flash flood warning at Oct 3, 2018, 9:16 PM MST for Pima County, Arizona. It was in force for 16 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 3, 2018, 9:16 PM MST (04:16 UTC)
Expired
Oct 4, 2018, 1:15 PM MST
In force
16 hr
Issued by
NWS Tucson, AZ
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

County Pima County, AZ

The radar

The Phoenix radar (KIWA), 183 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Tuscon, AZ (KDMA), launched 00:00Z, 4.3 hours before the alert went out and 161 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tuscon, AZ at 00:00Z on 2018-10-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 596 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tuscon, AZ at 00:00Z on 2018-10-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -4 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
596 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-23 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1415 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
43 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-4 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
59 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

528 
WGUS55 KTWC 040416
FFWTWC
AZC019-041215-
/O.NEW.KTWC.FF.W.0040.181004T0416Z-181004T1215Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
916 PM MST WED OCT 3 2018

The National Weather Service in Tucson has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Central Pima County in southeastern Arizona...

* Until 515 AM MST Thursday.

* At 914 PM MST, the water level behind Menagers Dam remains stable 
  however due to concerns related to the structural integrity of the 
  dam and the potential for it to fail, the Flash Flood Warning will 
  remain effect through tonight. 
  

* Some locations that will experience flooding if the dam fails 
  include...Ali Chuk.

This includes the following streams and drainages...Ali Chuk Wash...
Pia Oik Wash and Siovi Shuatak Wash.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Stay away or be swept away if the dam fails. 

&&

LAT...LON 3183 11265 3189 11252 3177 11244

$$

Cerniglia
1 follow-up statement
388 
WGUS55 KTWC 041210
FFWTWC
AZC019-042015-
/O.EXT.KTWC.FF.W.0040.000000T0000Z-181004T2015Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
510 AM MST THU OCT 4 2018

The National Weather Service in Tucson has extended the

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Central Pima County in southeastern Arizona...

* Until 115 PM MST Thursday.

* At 509 AM MST, concerns related to the structural integrity of 
  Menagers Dam and the potential for it to fail remain this morning. 
  Thus the Flash Flood Warning has been extended until early this 
  afternoon.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
  Ali Chuk.

This includes the following streams and drainages...Ali Chuk Wash...
Pia Oik Wash and Siovi Shuatak Wash.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Stay away or be swept away. River banks and culverts can become
unstable and unsafe.

&&

LAT...LON 3183 11265 3189 11252 3177 11244

$$

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tucson, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 4, 3:31 AM MSTAreal Flood WarningTWCPima6 hr
Oct 4, 1:19 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningTWCPima24 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Arizona, 2018Every flash flood warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.