Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2018
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 21
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Mar 27, 2018, 9:51 PM CDT for 21 counties in Texas. It was in force for 5 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 27, 2018, 9:51 PM CDT (02:51 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 28, 2018, 3:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 5 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 21 counties
Atascosa County, TX, Bastrop County, TX, Bexar County, TX, Caldwell County, TX, DeWitt County, TX, Dimmit County, TX, Fayette County, TX, Frio County, TX, Gonzales County, TX, Guadalupe County, TX, Karnes County, TX, La Salle County, TX, Lavaca County, TX, Lee County, TX, Maverick County, TX, McMullen County, TX, Medina County, TX, Uvalde County, TX, Webb County, TX, Wilson County, TX, Zavala County, TX
The radar
The Austin/San Antonio radar (KEWX), 112 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 5%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 40%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 50%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
8 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 10:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CRP | Webb | 39 min |
| Mar 27, 10:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CRP | Webb | 34 min |
| Mar 27, 11:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Dimmit, Maverick | 59 min |
| Mar 27, 11:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CRP | Webb | 38 min |
| Mar 27, 11:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Frio | 53 min |
| Mar 28, 12:21 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Atascosa, Bexar, Medina | 39 min |
| Mar 28, 12:34 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Dimmit | 41 min |
| Mar 28, 2:40 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Bexar, Medina | 6 hr |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Corpus Christi, TX (KCRP), launched 00:00Z, 2.9 hours before the alert went out and 196 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2154 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -37 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 579 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 37 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 114 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 62 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 1.1
- Supercell composite
- 6.4
The text
As transmitted.
244
WWUS20 KWNS 280249
SEL1
SPC WW 280249
TXZ000-280800-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 21
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
950 PM CDT Tue Mar 27 2018
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
South Central Texas
* Effective this Tuesday night and Wednesday morning from 950 PM
until 300 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are intensifying along the Rio Grande River,
and will spread northeastward across the watch area. Large hail and
damaging winds are the main threat, but an isolated tornado cannot
be ruled out.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles north and south of a line from 55 miles west southwest
of Cotulla TX to 60 miles north of Victoria TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
24035.
...HartSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 9:23 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atascosa, Bandera, Bexar, Blanco, Caldwell, Comal and 20 more | 97 min |
| Mar 27, 11:58 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atascosa, Bastrop, Bexar, Caldwell, Comal, DeWitt and 17 more | 2 hr |
| Mar 28, 5:05 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bastrop, Brazos, Burleson, Fayette, Grimes, Lee and 1 more | 85 min |
| Mar 28, 9:09 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atascosa, Bexar, Frio, Medina, Wilson | 2 hr |
| Mar 28, 11:38 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Austin, Colorado, Fort Bend, Hardin, Harris, Jasper and 10 more | 67 min |
| Mar 28, 12:03 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Angelina, Austin, Brazoria, Chambers, Colorado, Fort Bend and 24 more | 9 hr |
| Mar 28, 3:07 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Austin, Chambers, Fort Bend, Hardin, Harris, Jasper and 9 more | 113 min |
| Mar 28, 5:48 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Austin, Brazoria, Chambers, Colorado, Fort Bend, Hardin and 10 more | 87 min |
| Mar 28, 6:53 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Brooks, Cameron, Duval, Hidalgo, Jim Hogg, Jim Wells and 6 more | 97 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2018Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2018
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.