Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2018

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 21

March 27, 201821 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Mar 27, 2018, 9:51 PM CDT for 21 counties in Texas. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 27, 2018, 9:51 PM CDT (02:51 UTC)
Expired
Mar 28, 2018, 3:00 AM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 21 counties

Atascosa County, TX, Bastrop County, TX, Bexar County, TX, Caldwell County, TX, DeWitt County, TX, Dimmit County, TX, Fayette County, TX, Frio County, TX, Gonzales County, TX, Guadalupe County, TX, Karnes County, TX, La Salle County, TX, Lavaca County, TX, Lee County, TX, Maverick County, TX, McMullen County, TX, Medina County, TX, Uvalde County, TX, Webb County, TX, Wilson County, TX, Zavala County, TX

The radar

The Austin/San Antonio radar (KEWX), 112 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

8 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 27, 10:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPWebb39 min
Mar 27, 10:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPWebb34 min
Mar 27, 11:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXDimmit, Maverick59 min
Mar 27, 11:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPWebb38 min
Mar 27, 11:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXFrio53 min
Mar 28, 12:21 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXAtascosa, Bexar, Medina39 min
Mar 28, 12:34 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXDimmit41 min
Mar 28, 2:40 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXBexar, Medina6 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Corpus Christi, TX (KCRP), launched 00:00Z, 2.9 hours before the alert went out and 196 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Corpus Christi, TX at 00:00Z on 2018-03-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2154 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Corpus Christi, TX at 00:00Z on 2018-03-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 114 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2154 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-37 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
579 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
114 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
62 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.1
Supercell composite
6.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

244 
WWUS20 KWNS 280249
SEL1  
SPC WW 280249
TXZ000-280800-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 21
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
950 PM CDT Tue Mar 27 2018

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  South Central Texas

* Effective this Tuesday night and Wednesday morning from 950 PM
  until 300 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
    inches in diameter possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are intensifying along the Rio Grande River,
and will spread northeastward across the watch area.  Large hail and
damaging winds are the main threat, but an isolated tornado cannot
be ruled out.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles north and south of a line from 55 miles west southwest
of Cotulla TX to 60 miles north of Victoria TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
24035.

...Hart

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 27, 9:23 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtascosa, Bandera, Bexar, Blanco, Caldwell, Comal and 20 more97 min
Mar 27, 11:58 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtascosa, Bastrop, Bexar, Caldwell, Comal, DeWitt and 17 more2 hr
Mar 28, 5:05 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBastrop, Brazos, Burleson, Fayette, Grimes, Lee and 1 more85 min
Mar 28, 9:09 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtascosa, Bexar, Frio, Medina, Wilson2 hr
Mar 28, 11:38 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAustin, Colorado, Fort Bend, Hardin, Harris, Jasper and 10 more67 min
Mar 28, 12:03 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAngelina, Austin, Brazoria, Chambers, Colorado, Fort Bend and 24 more9 hr
Mar 28, 3:07 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAustin, Chambers, Fort Bend, Hardin, Harris, Jasper and 9 more113 min
Mar 28, 5:48 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAustin, Brazoria, Chambers, Colorado, Fort Bend, Hardin and 10 more87 min
Mar 28, 6:53 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrooks, Cameron, Duval, Hidalgo, Jim Hogg, Jim Wells and 6 more97 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2018Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.