Alert archive / New Jersey / Flood Watches in 2018

Flood Watch 7, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

November 8, 20188 counties in New Jersey

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this flood watch at Nov 8, 2018, 3:20 PM EST for 8 counties in New Jersey. It took effect at Nov 9, 2018, 6:00 PM EST. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 8, 2018, 3:20 PM EST (20:20 UTC)
In effect from
Nov 9, 2018, 6:00 PM EST
Expired
Nov 9, 2018, 8:21 PM EST
In force
2 hr
Issued by
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
Flood severity
None

Counties Hunterdon County, NJ, Mercer County, NJ, Middlesex County, NJ, Monmouth County, NJ, Morris County, NJ, Somerset County, NJ, Sussex County, NJ, Warren County, NJ

The radar

The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 78 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 12:00Z, 8.3 hours before the alert went out and 151 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2018-11-08Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2018-11-08The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -176 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1599 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
79 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-176 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-56 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

948 
WGUS61 KPHI 082020
FFAPHI

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
320 PM EST Thu Nov 8 2018

NJZ001-007>010-012>015-091100-
/O.NEW.KPHI.FA.A.0007.181109T2300Z-181110T1100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Sussex-Warren-Morris-Hunterdon-Somerset-Middlesex-
Western Monmouth-Eastern Monmouth-Mercer-
Including the cities of Newton, Washington, Morristown, 
Flemington, Somerville, New Brunswick, Freehold, Sandy Hook, 
and Trenton
320 PM EST Thu Nov 8 2018

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT...

The National Weather Service in Mount Holly has issued a

* Flood Watch for northern New Jersey.

* Friday night.

* Showers develop throughout the day Friday, and then moderate to
  heavy rain will impact the area late Friday and Friday night. 
  Rainfall totals of 1 to 2 inches, with locally higher amounts, 
  will fall during this time.
  
* The heaviest rain will fall across portions of northern New
  Jersey. Flash flooding is also possible on roadways and
  especially in areas of poor drainage. The Raritan and Passaic
  mainstems will experience rises, in some cases to bankful or
  even exceeding bankful. Flooding along small streams and creeks
  is possible as well. River flooding may continue into Saturday
  morning, well after the heavy rain has ended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts.

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible
Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be
prepared to take action should flooding develop.

&&

$$

MPS
3 follow-up statements
989 
WGUS61 KPHI 090836
FFAPHI

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
336 AM EST Fri Nov 9 2018

NJZ001-007>010-012>015-092100-
/O.CON.KPHI.FA.A.0007.181109T2300Z-181110T1100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Sussex-Warren-Morris-Hunterdon-Somerset-Middlesex-
Western Monmouth-Eastern Monmouth-Mercer-
Including the cities of Newton, Washington, Morristown, 
Flemington, Somerville, New Brunswick, Freehold, Sandy Hook, 
and Trenton
336 AM EST Fri Nov 9 2018

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE
TONIGHT...

The Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of central New Jersey, northern New Jersey, and 
  northwest New Jersey, including the following areas, in 
  central New Jersey, Eastern Monmouth, Mercer, and Western 
  Monmouth. In northern New Jersey, Middlesex, Morris, Somerset, 
  Sussex, and Warren. In northwest New Jersey, Hunterdon. 

* From this evening through late tonight

* Showers develop throughout today, and then moderate to heavy
  rain will impact the area late this afternoon and tonight.  
  Rainfall totals of 1 to 2 inches, with locally higher amounts, 
  will fall during this time. 

* The heaviest rain will fall across portions of northern New 
  Jersey. Flash flooding is also possible on roadways and 
  especially in areas of poor drainage. The Raritan and Passaic 
  mainstems will experience rises, in some cases to bankful or 
  even exceeding bankful. Flooding along small streams and 
  creeks is possible as well. River flooding may continue into 
  Saturday morning, well after the heavy rain has ended. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts.

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible
Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be
prepared to take action should flooding develop.

&&

$$
515 
WGUS61 KPHI 092048
FFAPHI

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
348 PM EST Fri Nov 9 2018

NJZ001-007>010-012>015-101100-
/O.CON.KPHI.FA.A.0007.181109T2300Z-181110T1100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Sussex-Warren-Morris-Hunterdon-Somerset-Middlesex-
Western Monmouth-Eastern Monmouth-Mercer-
Including the cities of Newton, Washington, Morristown, 
Flemington, Somerville, New Brunswick, Freehold, Sandy Hook, 
and Trenton
348 PM EST Fri Nov 9 2018

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

The Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of central New Jersey, northern New Jersey, and 
  northwest New Jersey, including the following areas, in 
  central New Jersey, Eastern Monmouth, Mercer, and Western 
  Monmouth. In northern New Jersey, Middlesex, Morris, Somerset, 
  Sussex, and Warren. In northwest New Jersey, Hunterdon. 

* Through late tonight.

* Rain, heavy at times, will impact the area through this evening.
  Rainfall totals of 1 to 2 inches, with possibly locally higher
  amounts, are expected.

* The heaviest rain will fall across portions of northern New
  Jersey. Flash flooding is also possible on roadways, and this 
  will be enhanced if fallen leaves clog storm drains. The Raritan
  and Passaic mainstems will experience rises, in some cases to 
  bankful or even exceeding bankful. Flooding along small streams 
  and creeks is possible as well. River flooding may continue into
  Saturday morning, well after the heavy rain has ended. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts.

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible
Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be
prepared to take action should flooding develop.

&&

$$
113 
WGUS61 KPHI 100121
FFAPHI

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
821 PM EST Fri Nov 9 2018


NJZ001-007>010-012>015-100230-
/O.CAN.KPHI.FA.A.0007.000000T0000Z-181110T1100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Sussex-Warren-Morris-Hunterdon-Somerset-Middlesex-
Western Monmouth-Eastern Monmouth-Mercer-
Including the cities of Newton, Washington, Morristown, 
Flemington, Somerville, New Brunswick, Freehold, Sandy Hook, 
and Trenton
821 PM EST Fri Nov 9 2018

...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Watch for portions of central New Jersey, northern New
Jersey, and northwest New Jersey has been cancelled. The heavy
rain has moved out and while there will continue to be rises on
the rivers tonight into Saturday any flooding that occurs looks 
to be isolated and minor. 


$$

The office that day

Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 8, 5:20 AM ESTSmall Craft AdvisoryPHI49 hr
Nov 8, 3:33 PM ESTGale WatchPHI10 hr

Nearby

Flood Watches in New Jersey, 2018Every flood watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.