Alert archive / Arizona / Tornado Warnings in 2018

Tornado Warning 2, NWS Flagstaff, AZ

October 4, 2018Coconino County, Gila County, Arizona

NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued this tornado warning at Oct 4, 2018, 1:56 AM MST for Coconino County, Gila County, Arizona. It was in force for 34 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 4, 2018, 1:56 AM MST (08:56 UTC)
Expired
Oct 4, 2018, 2:30 AM MST
In force
34 min
Issued by
NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Area
Storm-based polygon
Tornado
Radar indicated
Hail
0.75 in

Counties Coconino County, AZ, Gila County, AZ

The radar

The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 34 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:57 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Flgstf/Belemont, AZ (KFGZ), launched 00:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 100 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 00:00Z on 2018-10-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 257 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 00:00Z on 2018-10-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 20 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
257 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-5 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1100 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
54 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
20 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
97 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

273 
WFUS55 KFGZ 040856
TORFGZ
AZC005-007-040930-
/O.NEW.KFGZ.TO.W.0002.181004T0856Z-181004T0930Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
156 AM MST THU OCT 4 2018

The National Weather Service in Flagstaff has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  Gila County in east central Arizona...
  Coconino County in north central Arizona...

* Until 230 AM MST
    
* At 155 AM MST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
  was located 7 miles southwest of Pine, or 13 miles west of Payson,
  moving northeast at 25 mph.

  HAZARD...Tornado. 

  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. 

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. 
           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree 
           damage is likely. 

* Locations impacted include...
  Pine, Strawberry and Geronimo Boy Scout Camp. 

This includes the following highways...
 State Route 260 between mile markers 249 and 251.
 State Route 87 between mile markers 265 and 283.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3428 11150 3433 11159 3452 11144 3445 11132
TIME...MOT...LOC 0855Z 212DEG 20KT 3430 11155 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...<.75IN

$$

MCT
2 follow-up statements
855 
WWUS55 KFGZ 040914
SVSFGZ

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
214 AM MST THU OCT 4 2018

AZC005-007-040930-
/O.CON.KFGZ.TO.W.0002.000000T0000Z-181004T0930Z/
Gila-Coconino-
214 AM MST THU OCT 4 2018

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 AM MST FOR GILA AND
COCONINO COUNTIES...
    
At 213 AM MST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located 7 miles northeast of Pine, or 16 miles north of Payson,
moving northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. Rotation has weakened in the past 
         15 minutes.
         
IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. 
         Tree damage is likely. 

Locations impacted include...
Geronimo Boy Scout Camp.

This includes the following highways...
 State Route 260 between mile markers 249 and 251.
 State Route 87 between mile markers 275 and 283.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

If a tornado or other severe weather is spotted, report it to the
National Weather Service or your local nearest law enforcement agency
who will send your report. This act may save lives of others in the
path of dangerous weather.

&&

LAT...LON 3438 11139 3444 11150 3452 11144 3445 11132
TIME...MOT...LOC 0913Z 217DEG 27KT 3447 11139 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...<.75IN

$$

MCT
812 
WWUS55 KFGZ 040922
SVSFGZ

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
222 AM MST THU OCT 4 2018

AZC005-007-040932-
/O.EXP.KFGZ.TO.W.0002.000000T0000Z-181004T0930Z/
Gila-Coconino-
222 AM MST THU OCT 4 2018

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR GILA AND COCONINO COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT
230 AM MST...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and has exited the warned area. Therefore, the warning will 
be allowed to expire.  However gusty thunderstorm outflow winds are 
still possible.

LAT...LON 3438 11139 3444 11150 3452 11144 3445 11132
TIME...MOT...LOC 0922Z 212DEG 20KT 3450 11137 

$$

MCT

The office that day

Everything else NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 3, 6:09 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino23 min
Oct 3, 6:36 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryFGZCoconino114 min
Oct 4, 1:28 AM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ47 min
Oct 4, 2:59 AM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino, Gila, Yavapai31 min

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Arizona, 2018Every tornado warning in 2018Tornadoes in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.