Alert archive / New York / Flood Watches in 2018

Flood Watch 4, NWS Buffalo, NY

February 18, 2018Jefferson County, Lewis County, Oswego County, New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this flood watch at Feb 18, 2018, 4:23 AM EST for Jefferson County, Lewis County, Oswego County, New York. It took effect at Feb 20, 2018, 1:00 AM EST. It was in force for 42 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 18, 2018, 4:23 AM EST (09:23 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 20, 2018, 1:00 AM EST
Expired
Feb 21, 2018, 6:57 PM EST
In force
42 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY
Flood severity
None

Counties Jefferson County, NY, Lewis County, NY, Oswego County, NY

The radar

The Ft Drum radar (KTYX), 18 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 00:00Z, 9.4 hours before the alert went out and 205 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 00:00Z on 2018-02-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 00:00Z on 2018-02-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 341 square meters per square second.1939587897117136156Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1512 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
82 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
341 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
456 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

657 
WGUS61 KBUF 180923
FFABUF

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
423 AM EST Sun Feb 18 2018

NYZ006>008-182130-
/O.NEW.KBUF.FA.A.0004.180220T0600Z-180222T0000Z/
/00000.0.IC.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Oswego, Watertown, and Lowville
423 AM EST Sun Feb 18 2018

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a

* Flood Watch for a portion of central New York...including the 
  following counties...Jefferson...Lewis and Oswego. 

* From late Monday night through Wednesday evening.

* Warming temperatures will result in considerable snow melt. In
  addition, rainfall is expected late Monday through Wednesday
  with potential amounts exceeding an inch. Ice jam flooding is
  possible in the watch area.

* Significant rises are expected on waterways, including the Black
  River, and its tributaries, along with the potential for 
  general lowland flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts. You should monitor later forecasts and be
alert for possible flood warnings. 

Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to 
take action should flooding develop. Stay tuned to weather radio 
or other radio and tv stations for further details or updates

&&

$$

TMA
12 follow-up statements
145 
WGUS61 KBUF 181835
FFABUF

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
135 PM EST Sun Feb 18 2018

NYZ006>008-190300-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0004.180220T0600Z-180222T0000Z/
/00000.0.IC.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Oswego, Watertown, and Lowville
135 PM EST Sun Feb 18 2018

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...

The Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of central New York...including the following 
  counties...Jefferson...Lewis and Oswego. 

* From late Monday night through Wednesday evening.

* Warming temperatures will result in considerable snow melt. In 
  addition, rainfall is expected late Monday through Wednesday 
  with potential amounts exceeding an inch. Ice jam flooding is 
  also possible in the watch area. 

* Significant rises are expected on waterways, including the 
  Black River, and its tributaries, along with the potential for 
  general lowland flooding. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts. You should monitor later forecasts and be
alert for possible flood warnings.

Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to
take action should flooding develop. Stay tuned to weather radio
or other radio and tv stations for further details or updates

&&

$$

Apffel
842 
WGUS61 KBUF 190250
FFABUF

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
950 PM EST Sun Feb 18 2018

NYZ006>008-191100-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0004.180220T0600Z-180222T0000Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Oswego, Watertown, and Lowville
950 PM EST Sun Feb 18 2018

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...

The Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of central New York...including the following 
  counties...Jefferson...Lewis and Oswego. 

* From late Monday night through Wednesday evening.

* Warming temperatures will result in considerable snow melt. In 
  addition, rainfall is expected late Monday through Wednesday 
  with potential amounts exceeding an inch. Ice jam flooding is 
  also possible in the watch area. 

* Significant rises are expected on waterways, including the 
  Black River, and its tributaries, along with the potential for 
  general lowland flooding. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts. You should monitor later forecasts and be
alert for possible flood warnings.

Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to
take action should flooding develop. Stay tuned to weather radio
or other radio and tv stations for further details or updates

&&

$$

Church
701 
WGUS61 KBUF 190905
FFABUF

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
405 AM EST Mon Feb 19 2018

NYZ006>008-192000-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0004.180220T0600Z-180222T0000Z/
/00000.0.IC.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Oswego, Watertown, and Lowville
405 AM EST Mon Feb 19 2018

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...

The Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of central New York...including the following 
  counties...Jefferson...Lewis and Oswego. 

* From late tonight through Wednesday evening.

* Warming temperatures will result in considerable snow melt. In 
  addition, rainfall is expected late Monday through Wednesday 
  with potential amounts exceeding an inch. Ice jam flooding is 
  also possible in the watch area. 

* Significant rises are expected on waterways, including the 
  Black River, and its tributaries, along with the potential for 
  general lowland flooding. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts. You should monitor later forecasts and be
alert for possible flood warnings.

Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to
take action should flooding develop. Stay tuned to weather radio
or other radio and tv stations for further details or updates

&&

$$

TMA
455 
WGUS61 KBUF 191653
FFABUF

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1153 AM EST Mon Feb 19 2018

NYZ006>008-200300-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0004.180220T0600Z-180222T0000Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Oswego, Watertown, and Lowville
1153 AM EST Mon Feb 19 2018

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...

The Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of central New York...including the following 
  counties...Jefferson...Lewis and Oswego. 

* From late tonight through Wednesday evening.

* Warming temperatures will result in considerable snow melt. In
  addition, rainfall is expected late today through Wednesday with
  1 to 2 inches possible across the area. Ice jam flooding is 
  also possible in the watch area. 

* Significant rises are expected on waterways, including the Black
  River, and its tributaries, along with the potential for general
  lowland flooding. Flooding along the Black River may last
  through the end of the week due to slow response times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts. You should monitor later forecasts and be
alert for possible flood warnings.

Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to
take action should flooding develop. Stay tuned to weather radio
or other radio and tv stations for further details or updates

&&

$$

Apffel
723 
WGUS61 KBUF 200231
FFABUF

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
931 PM EST Mon Feb 19 2018

NYZ006>008-201045-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0004.180220T0600Z-180222T0000Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Oswego, Watertown, and Lowville
931 PM EST Mon Feb 19 2018

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM EST TUESDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...

The Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of central New York...including the following 
  counties...Jefferson...Lewis and Oswego. 

* From 1 AM EST Tuesday through Wednesday evening.

* Warming temperatures will result in considerable snow melt. In
  addition, rainfall is expected through Wednesday with 1 to 2 
  inches possible across the area. Ice jam flooding is also 
  possible in the watch area. 

* Significant rises are expected on waterways, including the 
  Black River, and its tributaries, along with the potential for 
  general lowland flooding. Flooding along the Black River may 
  last through the end of the week due to slow response times. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts. You should monitor later forecasts and be
alert for possible flood warnings.

Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to
take action should flooding develop. Stay tuned to weather radio
or other radio and tv stations for further details or updates

&&

$$

Church
401 
WGUS61 KBUF 200916
FFABUF

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
416 AM EST Tue Feb 20 2018

NYZ006>008-201930-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0004.000000T0000Z-180222T0000Z/
/00000.0.IC.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Oswego, Watertown, and Lowville
416 AM EST Tue Feb 20 2018

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

The Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of central New York...including the following 
  counties...Jefferson...Lewis and Oswego. 

* Through Wednesday evening.

* Warming temperatures will result in considerable snow melt. In
  addition, rainfall is expected through Wednesday with 1 to 2 
  inches possible across the area. Ice jam flooding is also 
  possible in the watch area. 

* Significant rises are expected on waterways, including the 
  Black River, and its tributaries, along with the potential for 
  general lowland flooding. Flooding along the Black River may 
  last through the end of the week due to slow response times. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts. You should monitor later forecasts and be
alert for possible flood warnings.

Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to
take action should flooding develop. Stay tuned to weather radio
or other radio and tv stations for further details or updates

&&

$$

TMA
662 
WGUS61 KBUF 201452
FFABUF

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
952 AM EST Tue Feb 20 2018

NYZ006>008-202300-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0004.000000T0000Z-180222T0000Z/
/00000.0.IC.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Oswego, Watertown, and Lowville
952 AM EST Tue Feb 20 2018

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

The Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of central New York...including the following 
  counties...Jefferson...Lewis and Oswego. 

* Through Wednesday evening.

* Warming temperatures will result in considerable snow melt. In 
  addition, rainfall is expected through Wednesday with 1 to 2 
  inches possible across the area. Ice jam flooding is also 
  possible in the watch area. 

* Significant rises are expected on waterways, including the 
  Black River, and its tributaries, along with the potential for 
  general lowland flooding. Flooding along the Black River may 
  last through the end of the week due to slow response times. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts. You should monitor later forecasts and be
alert for possible flood warnings.

Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to
take action should flooding develop. Stay tuned to weather radio
or other radio and tv stations for further details or updates

&&

$$

JJR/TMA
221 
WGUS61 KBUF 201938
FFABUF

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
238 PM EST Tue Feb 20 2018

NYZ006>008-210400-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0004.000000T0000Z-180222T0000Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Oswego, Watertown, and Lowville
238 PM EST Tue Feb 20 2018

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

The Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of central New York...including the following 
  counties...Jefferson...Lewis and Oswego. 

* Through Wednesday evening.

* Warm temperatures will result in considerable snow melt. In
  addition rainfall amounts between an inch and an inch and a half
  will result in considerable runoff into area creeks and rivers. 
 
* Significant rises are expected on waterways, including the Black
  River, and its tributaries, along with the potential for general
  lowland flooding. Flooding along the Black River may last
  through the end of the week due to slow response times. Ice jam
  flooding is also possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts. You should monitor later forecasts and be
alert for possible flood warnings.

Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to
take action should flooding develop. Stay tuned to weather radio
or other radio and tv stations for further details or updates

&&

$$

Apffel
095 
WGUS61 KBUF 210554
FFABUF

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1254 AM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

NYZ006>008-211400-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0004.000000T0000Z-180222T0000Z/
/00000.0.IC.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Oswego, Watertown, and Lowville
1254 AM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

The Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of central New York...including the following 
  counties...Jefferson...Lewis and Oswego. 

* Through this evening.

* Warm temperatures will result in considerable snow melt. In
  addition, previous rainfall between a half and one inch with an
  additional half inch possible later today will result in
  considerable runoff into area creeks and rivers.

* Significant rises are expected on waterways, including the 
  Black River, and its tributaries, along with the potential for 
  general lowland flooding. Flooding along the Black River may 
  last through the end of the week due to slow response times. 
  Ice jam flooding is also possible. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts. You should monitor later forecasts and be
alert for possible flood warnings.

Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to
take action should flooding develop. Stay tuned to weather radio
or other radio and tv stations for further details or updates

&&

$$

SMITH
836 
WGUS61 KBUF 211147
FFABUF

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
647 AM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

NYZ006>008-212000-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0004.000000T0000Z-180222T0000Z/
/00000.0.IC.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Oswego, Watertown, and Lowville
647 AM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

The Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of central New York...including the following 
  counties...Jefferson...Lewis and Oswego. 

* Through this evening.

* Warm temperatures are resulting in considerable snow melt. In
  addition, Tuesday's rainfall of between a half and one inch with
  up to an additional half inch possible today has and will 
  result in considerable runoff into area creeks and rivers. 

* Significant rises are expected on waterways, including the Black
  River, and its tributaries, along with the potential for general
  lowland flooding. Possible flooding along the Black River may 
  last through the end of the week due to slow response times. Ice
  jam flooding is also possible. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts. You should monitor later forecasts and be
alert for possible flood warnings.

Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to
take action should flooding develop. Stay tuned to weather radio
or other radio and tv stations for further details or updates

&&

$$

SMITH
198 
WGUS61 KBUF 211245
FFABUF

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
745 AM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

NYZ006>008-220000-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0004.000000T0000Z-180222T0000Z/
/00000.0.IC.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Oswego, Watertown, and Lowville
745 AM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

The Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of central New York...including the following 
  counties...Jefferson...Lewis and Oswego. 

* Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* Warm temperatures are resulting in considerable snow melt. In
  addition, previous rainfall of one half to one inch with up to
  an additional quarter inch possible today has and will result 
  in considerable runoff into area creeks and rivers. 

* Significant rises are expected on waterways, including the 
  Black River, and its tributaries, along with the potential for 
  general lowland flooding. Possible flooding along the Black 
  River may last through the end of the week due to slow 
  response times. Ice jam flooding is also possible. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts. You should monitor later forecasts and be
alert for possible flood warnings.

Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to
take action should flooding develop. Stay tuned to weather radio
or other radio and tv stations for further details or updates

&&

$$

JJR
098 
WGUS61 KBUF 212357
FFABUF

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
657 PM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

NYZ006>008-220100-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FA.A.0004.000000T0000Z-180222T0000Z/
/00000.0.IC.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Oswego, Watertown, and Lowville
657 PM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Watch for a portion of central New York has been
cancelled. 

$$

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 18, 6:39 PM ESTSmall Craft AdvisoryBUF3 days
Feb 18, 6:39 PM ESTWind AdvisoryBUFChautauqua15 hr

Nearby

Flood Watches in New York, 2018Every flood watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.