Alert archive / Arizona / Red Flag Warnings in 2017

Red Flag Warning 10, NWS Tucson, AZ

May 14, 20174 counties in Arizona

NWS Tucson, AZ issued this red flag warning at May 14, 2017, 2:34 AM MST for 4 counties in Arizona. It took effect at May 14, 2017, 11:00 AM MST. It was in force for 7 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
May 14, 2017, 2:34 AM MST (09:34 UTC)
In effect from
May 14, 2017, 11:00 AM MST
Expired
May 14, 2017, 6:00 PM MST
In force
7 hr
Issued by
NWS Tucson, AZ

Counties Cochise County, AZ, Pima County, AZ, Pinal County, AZ, Santa Cruz County, AZ

The radar

The Tucson radar (KEMX), 37 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Tuscon, AZ (KDMA), launched 00:00Z, 9.6 hours before the alert went out and 8 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tuscon, AZ at 00:00Z on 2017-05-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tuscon, AZ at 00:00Z on 2017-05-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -6 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
4530 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-6 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
7 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

851 
WWUS85 KTWC 140934
RFWTWC

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
234 AM MST Sun May 14 2017

AZZ152-142200-
/O.CAN.KTWC.FW.A.0007.170514T1800Z-170515T0100Z/
/O.NEW.KTWC.FW.W.0011.170515T1800Z-170516T0200Z/
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Southern Greenlee County-Central and Eastern Cochise County-
Southern Graham County-Southern San Carlos Apache Nation-
234 AM MST Sun May 14 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM MST MONDAY FOR
STRONG WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY AND A VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER...
...THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR ZONE 152 IS CANCELLED FOR TODAY...

The National Weather Service in Tucson has issued a Red Flag
Warning, which is in effect from 11 AM to 7 PM MST Monday. The
Fire Weather Watch has been cancelled for today. 

* AFFECTED AREA...The southern half of zone 152. 

* TIMING...The warning is in effect from 11 AM MST through 7 PM 
  MST Monday. 

* WINDS...South to Southwest winds will increase to 15 to 25 mph
  with gusts to 40 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...Will begin to drop below 15 percent by 10 AM
  MST, and bottom out between 7 and 12 percent. 

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop or are ongoing will have the 
  potential to spread rapidly, especially across the lower 
  elevation grass/brush areas.

* FOR A DETAILED VIEW OF THE HAZARD AREA...Visit
  weather.gov/Tucson and click on the Detailed Hazards Icon. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or are expected to develop. A
combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and dry
vegetation will create the potential for rapid and erratic fire
growth.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of the Red Flag Warning for portions of Southeast Arizona.

&&

$$

AZZ150-151-142200-
/O.UPG.KTWC.FW.A.0007.170514T1800Z-170515T0100Z/
/O.NEW.KTWC.FW.W.0010.170514T1800Z-170515T0100Z/
/O.NEW.KTWC.FW.W.0011.170515T1800Z-170516T0200Z/
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Western Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O'Odham Nation-TDC-Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Eastern Pima County-Southeastern Pinal County-
Santa Cruz County-Western Cochise County-
Coronado NF-TDC-
234 AM MST Sun May 14 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM MST
THIS EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY AND VERY HIGH FIRE
DANGER... 
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM MST MONDAY FOR 
STRONG WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER...

The National Weather Service in Tucson has issued a Red Flag
Warning, which is in effect from 11 AM this morning to 6 PM MST
this evening. A Red Flag Warning has also been issued from 11 AM 
to 7 PM MST Monday. The Fire Weather Watch is no longer in effect.

* AFFECTED AREA...Today, all of Fire weather zone 150 and areas
  south of Green Vally in zone 151. For Monday the warning is in
  effect for the eastern half of zone 150, nearly all of 151 and
  the southern half of zone 152.  

* TIMING...Today's warning is in effect from 11 AM MST through 6
  PM MST and the Monday warning from 11 am through 7 pm. 

* WINDS...South to Southwest winds will increase to 15 to 25 mph
  with gusts to 35 to 40 mph each afternoon. The winds today will
  be borderline critical then somewhat stronger on Monday. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...Will begin to drop below 15 percent by
  roughly 10 AM MST both days, and bottom out between 9 and 15
  percent.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop or are ongoing will have the 
  potential to spread rapidly, especially across the lower 
  elevation grass/brush areas.

* FOR A DETAILED VIEW OF THE HAZARD AREA...Visit
  weather.gov/Tucson and click on the Detailed Hazards Icon. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or are expected to develop. A
combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and dry
vegetation will create the potential for rapid and erratic fire
growth.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of the Red Flag Warning for portions of Southeast Arizona.

&&

$$

Cerniglia
Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson
2 follow-up statements
128 
WWUS85 KTWC 142051
RFWTWC

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
151 PM MST Sun May 14 2017

AZZ150-151-150100-
/O.CON.KTWC.FW.W.0010.000000T0000Z-170515T0100Z/
/O.CON.KTWC.FW.W.0011.170515T1800Z-170516T0200Z/
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Western Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O'Odham Nation-TDC-Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Eastern Pima County-Southeastern Pinal County-
Santa Cruz County-Western Cochise County-
Coronado NF-TDC-
151 PM MST Sun May 14 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MST THIS EVENING
FOR STRONG WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER......

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM MST 
MONDAY FOR STRONG WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY AND VERY HIGH FIRE 
DANGER...

* AFFECTED AREA...This afternoon for all of Fire weather zone 150
  and areas south of Green Valley in zone 151. For Monday, the 
  warning is in effect for the eastern half of zone 150, nearly 
  all of 151 and the southern half of zone 152. 

* TIMING...This afternoon the warning is in effect through 6 PM 
  MST and the Monday warning is from 11 am through 7 pm.
  

* WINDS...South to Southwest winds will 15 to 25 mph with gusts to
  35 to 40 mph each afternoon. The winds this afternoon will be 
  borderline critical then somewhat stronger on Monday. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...Will drop to 15 percent by roughly 10 AM MST,
  and bottom out between 9 and 15 percent in the afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop or are ongoing will have the 
  potential to spread rapidly, especially across the lower 
  elevation grass/brush areas.

* FOR A DETAILED VIEW OF THE HAZARD AREA...Visit 
  weather.gov/Tucson and click on the Detailed Hazards Icon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or are expected to develop. A
combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and dry
vegetation will create the potential for rapid and erratic fire
growth.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of the Red Flag Warning for portions of Southeast Arizona.

&&

$$

AZZ152-150100-
/O.CON.KTWC.FW.W.0011.170515T1800Z-170516T0200Z/
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Southern Greenlee County-Central and Eastern Cochise County-
Southern Graham County-Southern San Carlos Apache Nation-
151 PM MST Sun May 14 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM MST
MONDAY FOR STRONG WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY AND A VERY HIGH FIRE
DANGER...

* AFFECTED AREA...The southern half of zone 152.

* TIMING...The warning is in effect from 11 AM MST through 7 PM 
  MST Monday.

* WINDS...South to Southwest winds will increase to 15 to 25 
  mph with gusts to 40 mph. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...Will begin to drop below 15 percent by 10 
  AM MST, and bottom out between 7 and 12 percent. 

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop or are ongoing will have the 
  potential to spread rapidly, especially across the lower 
  elevation grass/brush areas.

* FOR A DETAILED VIEW OF THE HAZARD AREA...Visit 
  weather.gov/Tucson and click on the Detailed Hazards Icon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or are expected to develop. A
combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and dry
vegetation will create the potential for rapid and erratic fire
growth.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of the Red Flag Warning for portions of Southeast Arizona.

&&

$$


Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson
505 
WWUS85 KTWC 150100
RFWTWC

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
600 PM MST Sun May 14 2017


AZZ150-151-150900-
/O.EXP.KTWC.FW.W.0010.000000T0000Z-170515T0100Z/
/O.CON.KTWC.FW.W.0011.170515T1800Z-170516T0200Z/
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Western Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O'Odham Nation-TDC-Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Eastern Pima County-Southeastern Pinal County-
Santa Cruz County-Western Cochise County-
Coronado NF-TDC-
600 PM MST Sun May 14 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM MST
MONDAY FOR STRONG WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY AND VERY HIGH FIRE
DANGER......


* AFFECTED AREA...The warning is in effect for the eastern half 
  of zone 150, nearly all of 151 and the southern half of zone 
  152. 

* TIMING...Monday 11 AM through 7 PM MST.

* WINDS...South to Southwest winds will 15 to 25 mph with gusts to
  40 mph Monday afternoon. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...Will drop to 15 percent by roughly 10 AM
  MST, and bottom out between 9 and 15 percent in the 
  afternoon. 

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop or are ongoing will have the 
  potential to spread rapidly, especially across the lower 
  elevation grass/brush areas.

* FOR A DETAILED VIEW OF THE HAZARD AREA...Visit 
  weather.gov/Tucson and click on the Detailed Hazards Icon.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or are expected to develop. A
combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and dry
vegetation will create the potential for rapid and erratic fire
growth.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of the Red Flag Warning for portions of Southeast Arizona.

&&

$$

AZZ152-150900-
/O.CON.KTWC.FW.W.0011.170515T1800Z-170516T0200Z/
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Southern Greenlee County-Central and Eastern Cochise County-
Southern Graham County-Southern San Carlos Apache Nation-
600 PM MST Sun May 14 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM MST
MONDAY FOR STRONG WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY AND A VERY HIGH FIRE
DANGER...

* AFFECTED AREA...The southern half of zone 152.

* TIMING...The warning is in effect from 11 AM MST through 7 PM 
  MST Monday.

* WINDS...South to Southwest winds will increase to 15 to 25 
  mph with gusts to 40 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...Will begin to drop below 15 percent by 10 
  AM MST, and bottom out between 7 and 12 percent.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop or are ongoing will have the 
  potential to spread rapidly, especially across the lower 
  elevation grass/brush areas.

* FOR A DETAILED VIEW OF THE HAZARD AREA...Visit 
  weather.gov/Tucson and click on the Detailed Hazards Icon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or are expected to develop. A
combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and dry
vegetation will create the potential for rapid and erratic fire
growth.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of the Red Flag Warning for portions of Southeast Arizona.

&&

$$


Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tucson, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 14, 2:34 AM MSTRed Flag WarningTWCCochise, Graham, Greenlee, Pima, Pinal, Santa Cruz40 hr

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Arizona, 2017Every red flag warning in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.