Alert archive / Minnesota / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2017

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 430

July 21, 201720 counties in Minnesota; 5 counties in South Dakota; 7 counties in Wisconsin

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 21, 2017, 7:34 PM CDT for 20 counties in Minnesota; 5 counties in South Dakota; 7 counties in Wisconsin. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 21, 2017, 7:34 PM CDT (00:34 UTC)
Expired
Jul 22, 2017, 2:00 AM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 32 counties

Benton County, MN, Big Stone County, MN, Chippewa County, MN, Chisago County, MN, Douglas County, MN, Isanti County, MN, Kanabec County, MN, Kandiyohi County, MN, Lac qui Parle County, MN, Meeker County, MN, Mille Lacs County, MN, Morrison County, MN, Pine County, MN, Pope County, MN, Sherburne County, MN, Stearns County, MN, Stevens County, MN, Swift County, MN, Todd County, MN, Yellow Medicine County, MN, Clark County, SD, Codington County, SD, Deuel County, SD, Grant County, SD, Hamlin County, SD, Bayfield County, WI, Burnett County, WI, Douglas County, WI, Polk County, WI, Price County, WI, Sawyer County, WI, Washburn County, WI

The radar

The Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 141 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

9 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 21, 7:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHAitkin, Carlton, Pine41 min
Jul 21, 7:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHBayfield, Douglas50 min
Jul 21, 7:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHDouglas46 min
Jul 21, 8:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHCarlton, Pine33 min
Jul 21, 8:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXDouglas40 min
Jul 21, 9:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHBayfield, Douglas, Sawyer, Washburn30 min
Jul 21, 11:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRClark, Spink64 min
Jul 21, 11:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRClark, Codington, Day, Hamlin, Spink63 min
Jul 22, 12:28 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRCodington, Deuel, Grant, Hamlin32 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 00:00Z, 0.6 hours before the alert went out and 138 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 00:00Z on 2017-07-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 337 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 00:00Z on 2017-07-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 14 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
337 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-126 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
981 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
35 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
14 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
40 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

443 
WWUS20 KWNS 220031
SEL0  
SPC WW 220031
MNZ000-SDZ000-WIZ000-LSZ000-220700-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 430
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
735 PM CDT Fri Jul 21 2017

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  South-central Minnesota
  Eastern South Dakota
  Northwest Wisconsin
  Lake Superior

* Effective this Friday night and Saturday morning from 735 PM
  until 200 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...A relatively fast-moving line of storms across
north-central/northeast Minnesota early this evening will continue
southeastward into northwest Wisconsin and east-central Minnesota,
while additional storms will continue to develop within a moderately
unstable air mass across eastern South Dakota into west-central
Minnesota. Damaging winds and some severe hail are the main
concerns.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 30
statute miles north and south of a line from 20 miles west of
Watertown SD to 145 miles east northeast of Saint Cloud MN. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 428...WW 429...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
31035.

...Guyer

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 22, 3:09 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarlton, Cook, Lake, Pine, Saint Louis2 hr
Jul 21, 7:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Campbell, Corson, Dewey, Edmunds, Faulk and 7 more89 min
Jul 21, 10:16 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAurora, Brookings, Brule, Charles Mix, Davison, Douglas and 11 more89 min
Jul 21, 10:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Campbell, Clark, Day, Edmunds, Faulk and 6 more56 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Minnesota, 2017Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Wisconsin, 2017Severe Thunderstorm Watches in South Dakota, 2017Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.