Alert archive / Arizona / Flash Flood Warnings in 2017

Flash Flood Warning 39, NWS Flagstaff, AZ

July 19, 2017Yavapai County, Arizona

NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued this flash flood warning at Jul 19, 2017, 6:04 PM MST for Yavapai County, Arizona. It was in force for 4 hr. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jul 19, 2017, 6:04 PM MST (01:04 UTC)
Expired
Jul 19, 2017, 10:00 PM MST
In force
4 hr
Issued by
NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

County Yavapai County, AZ

The radar

The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 90 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:07 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jul 19, 9:15 PM MSTFLASH FLOOD3 Ese Cordes Junction, AZSTREAM GAGE AFMA3 (AGUA FRIA NEAR MAYER) REPORTED A 5.84 FT. RISE IN WATER LEVEL IN A 45-MINUTE PERIOD FROM 8:30PM TO 9:15PM MST.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Phoenix, AZ (KPSR), launched 00:00Z, 1.1 hours before the alert went out and 102 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Phoenix, AZ at 00:00Z on 2017-07-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 672 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Phoenix, AZ at 00:00Z on 2017-07-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 83 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
672 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-114 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1921 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
83 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
147 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

543 
WGUS55 KFGZ 200104
FFWFGZ
AZC025-200400-
/O.NEW.KFGZ.FF.W.0039.170720T0104Z-170720T0400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
604 PM MST WED JUL 19 2017

The National Weather Service in Flagstaff has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Yavapai County in west central Arizona...

* Until 900 PM MST

* At 600 PM MST, law enforcement reports flooding in Big Bug creek 
  moving southeast through Mayer. Flood waters will move through Big 
  Bug creek, all the way to the confluence with the Agua Fria river.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
  Cordes Lakes, Spring Valley and Cordes Junction. 

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 17 near mile marker 262.
 State Route 69 between mile markers 263 and 267.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Move to higher ground now. Act quickly to protect your life.

Heavy rainfall over the Goodwin fire scar will likely trigger life
threatening flash floods and debris flows in and downstream of the
fire area. Residences near drainages and creeks, particularly Big Bug
Creek and surrounding tributaries such as Grapevine Creek and
Hackberry Creek, may be affected by high water and debris flows.
Heavy rains may cause flooding across roadways in Mayer near Big Bug
Creek. Move away from drainages now!

&&

LAT...LON 3432 11206 3430 11205 3429 11210 3433 11216
      3436 11221 3437 11219 3438 11219 3438 11218
      3436 11217 3434 11213 3432 11211

$$
1 follow-up statement
065 
WGUS55 KFGZ 200318
FFWFGZ
AZC025-200500-
/O.EXT.KFGZ.FF.W.0039.000000T0000Z-170720T0500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
818 PM MST WED JUL 19 2017

The National Weather Service in Flagstaff has extended the

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Yavapai County in west central Arizona...

* Until 1000 PM MST

* At 805 PM MST, law enforcement officials are reporting evacuations 
  and flooding in Spring Valley and Cordes Lakes, as high water 
  continues to move down Big Bug creek, toward the Agua Fria.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
  Spring Valley and Cordes Lakes. 

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 17 near mile marker 262.
 State Route 69 between mile markers 263 and 267.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Move to higher ground now. Act quickly to protect your life.

Prior rainfall over the Goodwin fire scar is currently producing 
life threatening flash floods and debris flows in and downstream of 
the fire area. Residences near drainages and creeks, particularly 
Big Bug Creek and surrounding tributaries such as Grapevine Creek 
and Hackberry Creek, will continue to be affected by high water and 
debris flows. Expect continued flooding near Big Bug creek in Spring 
Valley and Cordes Lakes. Move away from drainages now!

&&

LAT...LON 3432 11206 3430 11205 3429 11210 3433 11216
      3436 11221 3437 11219 3438 11219 3438 11218
      3436 11217 3434 11213 3432 11211

$$

The office that day

Everything else NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 19, 5:09 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryFGZYavapai111 min
Jul 19, 5:13 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino, Yavapai32 min
Jul 19, 5:54 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningFGZCoconino, Yavapai3 hr
Jul 19, 7:35 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryFGZNavajo115 min
Jul 19, 7:41 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningFGZYavapai109 min
Jul 19, 9:47 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningFGZYavapai8 hr
Jul 19, 10:03 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningFGZYavapai3 hr
Jul 19, 11:27 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryFGZApache2 hr
Jul 20, 12:37 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningFGZNavajo3 hr
Jul 20, 3:45 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningFGZCoconino3 hr
Jul 20, 4:59 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningFGZYavapai3 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Arizona, 2017Every flash flood warning in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.