Alert archive / New York / Flood Watches in 2017

Flood Watch 3, NWS Buffalo, NY

February 28, 2017Jefferson County, Lewis County, New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this flood watch at Feb 28, 2017, 2:52 PM EST for Jefferson County, Lewis County, New York. It took effect at Mar 1, 2017, 7:00 PM EST. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 28, 2017, 2:52 PM EST (19:52 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 1, 2017, 7:00 PM EST
Expired
Mar 2, 2017, 3:21 AM EST
In force
8 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY
Flood severity
None

Counties Jefferson County, NY, Lewis County, NY

The radar

The Ft Drum radar (KTYX), 16 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 7.9 hours before the alert went out and 205 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2017-02-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2017-02-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 43 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1261 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
75 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
43 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
135 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

199 
WGUS61 KBUF 281952
FFABUF

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
252 PM EST Tue Feb 28 2017

NYZ007-008-010400-
/O.NEW.KBUF.FA.A.0003.170302T0200Z-170303T1700Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Watertown and Lowville
252 PM EST Tue Feb 28 2017

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING...

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a

* Flood Watch for a portion of central New York...including the 
  following counties...Jefferson and Lewis. 

* From Wednesday evening through Friday morning.

* Low pressure is forecast to track from the Lower Great Lakes
  region to Northern New England on Wednesday and Wednesday night.
  This will bring rain showers and warm temperatures which will
  result in snow melt. Flows are already running very high on the
  Black River, leaving it vulnerable to flooding.

* Flows on the Black River will remain high through Wednesday
  afternoon but are expected to remain below flood stage. After
  this, the Black River should begin to rise Wednesday night as it
  responds to this additional rain and snow melt. This may result
  in flooding along the Black River and some of its larger
  tributaries.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts. You should monitor later forecasts and be
alert for possible flood warnings. Those living in areas prone to
flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding
develop. Stay tuned to weather radio or other radio and tv
stations for further details or updates

&&

$$

Apffel
7 follow-up statements
414 
WGUS61 KBUF 010200
FFABUF

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
900 PM EST Tue Feb 28 2017

NYZ007-008-011000-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FA.A.0003.170302T0000Z-170303T1700Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Watertown and Lowville
900 PM EST Tue Feb 28 2017

...FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH
FRIDAY MORNING...

The Flood Watch is now in effect for

* A portion of central New York...including the following 
  counties...Jefferson and Lewis. 

* From Wednesday evening through Friday morning.

* Low pressure is forecast to track from the Lower Great Lakes 
  region to Northern New England on Wednesday and Wednesday 
  night. This will bring rain showers and warm temperatures 
  which will result in snow melt. Flows are already running very 
  high on the Black River, leaving it vulnerable to flooding. 

* Flows on the Black River will remain high through Wednesday 
  afternoon but are expected to remain below flood stage. After 
  this, the Black River should begin to rise Wednesday night as 
  it responds to this additional rain and snow melt. This may 
  result in flooding along the Black River and some of its 
  larger tributaries. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts. You should monitor later forecasts and be
alert for possible flood warnings. Those living in areas prone to
flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding
develop. Stay tuned to weather radio or other radio and tv
stations for further details or updates

&&

$$

RSH
782 
WGUS61 KBUF 010835
FFABUF

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
335 AM EST Wed Mar 1 2017


NYZ007-008-011645-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0003.170302T0000Z-170303T1700Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Watertown and Lowville
335 AM EST Wed Mar 1 2017

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING...

The Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of central New York...including the following 
  counties...Jefferson and Lewis. 

* From this evening through Friday morning.

* Low pressure is forecast to track from the Great Lakes to New
  England through tonight. This will bring periods of rain showers
  and very warm temperatures which will result in additional snow
  melt. River flows are already running very high on the Black
  River, leaving it vulnerable to flooding. 

* Flows on the Black River will remain high through this afternoon
  but are expected to remain below flood stage. After this, the
  Black River should begin to rise tonight as it responds to the
  additional rain and snow melt. This may result in flooding along
  the Black River and some of its larger tributaries through the 
  end of the week.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts. You should monitor later forecasts and be
alert for possible flood warnings. Those living in areas prone to
flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding
develop. Stay tuned to weather radio or other radio and tv
stations for further details or updates

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK
577 
WGUS61 KBUF 011346
FFABUF

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
846 AM EST Wed Mar 1 2017

NYZ007-008-012300-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0003.170302T0000Z-170303T1700Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Watertown and Lowville
846 AM EST Wed Mar 1 2017

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING
THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

The Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of central New York...including the following 
  counties...Jefferson and Lewis. 

* From 7 PM EST this evening through Friday morning.

* Low pressure is forecast to track from the Great Lakes to New 
  England through tonight. This will bring periods of rain 
  showers and very warm temperatures which will result in 
  additional snow melt. River flows are already running very 
  high on the Black River, leaving it vulnerable to flooding. 

* Flows on the Black River will remain high through this 
  afternoon but are expected to remain below flood stage. After 
  this, the Black River should begin to rise tonight as it 
  responds to the additional rain and snow melt. This may result 
  in flooding along the Black River and some of its larger 
  tributaries through the end of the week. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts. You should monitor later forecasts and be
alert for possible flood warnings. Those living in areas prone to
flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding
develop. Stay tuned to weather radio or other radio and tv
stations for further details or updates

&&

$$

Apffel
972 
WGUS61 KBUF 011855
FFABUF

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
155 PM EST Wed Mar 1 2017

NYZ007-008-020400-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0003.170302T0000Z-170303T1700Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Watertown and Lowville
155 PM EST Wed Mar 1 2017

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING
THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

The Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of central New York...including the following 
  counties...Jefferson and Lewis. 

* From 7 PM EST this evening through Friday morning.

* Low pressure is forecast to track from Southern Ontario to
  Northern New England through tonight. This will bring periods of
  rain showers and very warm temperatures which will result in additional
  snow melt. River flows are already running very high on the 
  Black River, leaving it vulnerable to flooding.


* Flows on the Black River will remain high through this evening
  but are expected to remain below flood stage. After this, the
  Black River should begin to rise tonight as it responds to the
  additional rain and snow melt. This may result in flooding along
  the Black River and some of its larger tributaries through the
  end of the week. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts. You should monitor later forecasts and be
alert for possible flood warnings. Those living in areas prone to
flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding
develop. Stay tuned to weather radio or other radio and tv
stations for further details or updates

&&

$$

Apffel
106 
WGUS61 KBUF 020013
FFABUF

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
713 PM EST Wed Mar 1 2017

NYZ007-008-020815-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0003.000000T0000Z-170303T1700Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Watertown and Lowville
713 PM EST Wed Mar 1 2017

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

The Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of central New York...including the following 
  counties...Jefferson and Lewis. 

* Through Friday morning.

* Low pressure is forecast to track from Southern Ontario to 
  Northern New England through tonight. This will bring periods 
  of rain showers and very warm temperatures which will result 
  in additional snow melt. River flows are already running very 
  high on the Black River, leaving it vulnerable to flooding. 

* Flows on the Black River will remain high through this evening 
  but are expected to remain below flood stage. After this, the 
  Black River should begin to rise tonight as it responds to the 
  additional rain and snow melt. This may result in flooding 
  along the Black River and some of its larger tributaries 
  through the end of the week. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts. You should monitor later forecasts and be
alert for possible flood warnings. Those living in areas prone to
flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding
develop. Stay tuned to weather radio or other radio and tv
stations for further details or updates

&&

$$
147 
WGUS61 KBUF 020400
FFABUF

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1100 PM EST Wed Mar 1 2017

NYZ007-008-021200-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0003.000000T0000Z-170303T1700Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Watertown and Lowville
1100 PM EST Wed Mar 1 2017

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

The Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of central New York...including the following 
  counties...Jefferson and Lewis. 

* Through Friday morning.

* Low pressure is forecast to track from Southern Ontario to
  Northern New England overnight. This will bring periods of rain
  showers and relatively high temperatures which will result in
  additional snow melt. River flows are already running very high
  on the Black River...leaving it vulnerable to flooding. 

* Flows on the Black River will remain high through the night...
  but are expected to remain below flood stage. The river should
  rise late tonight and Thursday from the rain and snow melt. This
  may result in flooding along the Black River and some of its
  larger tributaries through the end of the week.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts. You should monitor later forecasts and be
alert for possible flood warnings. Those living in areas prone to
flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding
develop. Stay tuned to weather radio or other radio and tv
stations for further details or updates

&&

$$
859 
WGUS61 KBUF 020821
FFABUF

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
321 AM EST Thu Mar 2 2017

NYZ007-008-020930-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FA.A.0003.000000T0000Z-170303T1700Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Watertown and Lowville
321 AM EST Thu Mar 2 2017

...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Watch for a portion of central New York has been
cancelled. Colder air will spread across the region overnight and
today, refreezing any remaining snow pack. This will stop the 
runoff of melt water and will alleviate the risk of rising flood 
waters.

$$

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 28, 2:51 PM ESTWind AdvisoryBUFAllegany, Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chautauqua, Erie, Genesee and 10 more43 hr
Feb 28, 2:54 PM ESTGale WatchBUF13 hr
Feb 28, 2:54 PM ESTGale WarningBUF43 hr
Feb 28, 2:54 PM ESTSmall Craft AdvisoryBUF4 days

Nearby

Flood Watches in New York, 2017Every flood watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.