Alert archive / Kansas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2016
Mesoscale Discussion 1069
The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jun 28, 2016, 4:39 AM CDT for 9 counties in Kansas. It was in force for 2 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 28, 2016, 4:39 AM CDT (09:39 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 28, 2016, 6:45 AM CDT
- In force
- 2 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Chance of a watch
- 5%
Counties Butler County, KS, Chase County, KS, Dickinson County, KS, Geary County, KS, Harvey County, KS, Marion County, KS, McPherson County, KS, Morris County, KS, Saline County, KS
The radar
The Topeka radar (KTWX), 86 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:42 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Topeka, KS (KFOE), launched 00:00Z, 9.7 hours before the alert went out and 134 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 173 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -103 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2461 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 27 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 34 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 20 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.3
The text
As transmitted.
318
ACUS11 KWNS 280940
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 280939
KSZ000-281145-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1069
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0439 AM CDT TUE JUN 28 2016
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF ERN KS
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 280939Z - 281145Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT
SUMMARY...A SMALL CLUSTER OF STRONG/LOCALLY SEVERE STORMS WILL
CONTINUE MOVING SSEWD OVER THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS...WITH LOCALLY
GUSTY/DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL POSSIBLE.
DISCUSSION...A SMALL/FAIRLY WELL-ORGANIZED CLUSTER OF STRONG/SEVERE
STORMS CONTINUES MOVING SSEWD AT NEAR 30 KT ACROSS PARTS OF N
CENTRAL/NERN KS ATTM. WHILE ELEVATED ABOVE A SHALLOW STABLE
LAYER...AND DESPITE VERY WEAK FLOW THROUGH THE LOWEST 3 KM PER MODEL
POINT-FORECAST SOUNDINGS AND CONFIRMED BY LATEST TWX /TOPEKA KS/
WSR-88D VWP...WIND GUSTS OF 50-60 MPH HAVE BEEN REPORTED IN THE PAST
HALF HOUR WITH THE STRONGEST CELL NOW MOVING INTO DICKINSON CO.
THOUGH STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES/MODERATE ELEVATED CAPE WILL
SUPPORT CONTINUATION OF THE STORMS AND 30 KT NNWLYS NEAR H5 DRIVE
CONTINUED SSELY STORM MOTION...DOWNSTREAM SEVERE RISK SHOULD REMAIN
LIMITED/ISOLATED DUE TO THE AFOREMENTIONED BOUNDARY-LAYER STABILITY
AND LACK OF MORE FAVORABLE FLOW.
..GOSS/THOMPSON.. 06/28/2016
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...
LAT...LON 39129770 39269731 39109675 38649633 38069620 37699667
37929750 38819786 39129770SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 3:10 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barber, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Harper, Kingman and 4 more | 65 min |
Nearby
Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2016Every mesoscale discussion in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.