Alert archive / California / Red Flag Warnings in 2016

Red Flag Warning 2, NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA

September 20, 2016Monterey County, California

NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA issued this red flag warning at Sep 20, 2016, 12:40 PM PDT for Monterey County, California. It took effect at Sep 21, 2016, 3:00 PM PDT. It was in force for 30 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 20, 2016, 12:40 PM PDT (19:40 UTC)
In effect from
Sep 21, 2016, 3:00 PM PDT
Expired
Sep 22, 2016, 9:00 PM PDT
In force
30 hr
Issued by
NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA

County Monterey County, CA

The radar

The San Francisco radar (KMUX), 115 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:40 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Vandenberg AFB, CA (KVBG), launched 12:00Z, 7.7 hours before the alert went out and 183 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Vandenberg AFB, CA at 12:00Z on 2016-09-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Vandenberg AFB, CA at 12:00Z on 2016-09-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -59 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1346 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
5 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-59 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
29 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

985 
WWUS86 KMTR 201940
RFWMTR

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO CA
1240 PM PDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...DRY COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE TO BRING STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS TO
THE SOBERANES FIRE...

.A DRY COLD FRONT WILL REACH MONTEREY COUNTY STARTING WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON. TYPICAL AFTERNOON ONSHORE WINDS WILL START TO BE
ENHANCED AS THE FRONT APPROACHES. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR
OVERNIGHT WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE
OVER THE RIDGES ABOVE 3000 FEET NEAR CHEWS RIDGE AND TASSAJARA
ROAD WHERE GUSTS FROM 35-40 MPH WILL BE COMMON BY THURSDAY
MORNING. STRONG AND GUSTY NORTHERLY RIDGE TOP WINDS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE DAY THURSDAY BEFORE GRADUALLY DIMINISHING THURSDAY
EVENING. EVEN THOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOL WITH SLIGHTLY
HIGHER HUMIDITY ON THURSDAY...WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE WILL CREATE
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

CAZ517-211200-
/O.NEW.KMTR.FW.W.0002.160921T2200Z-160923T0400Z/
SANTA LUCIA MOUNTAINS AND LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
1240 PM PDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM WEDNESDAY TO 9 PM PDT
THURSDAY FOR STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 517...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN FRANCISCO HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM WEDNESDAY TO 9 PM PDT
THURSDAY. 

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 517 WHICH INCLUDES THE
  SOBERANES WILDFIRE AND THE MONTEREY RANGER DISTRICT OF THE LOS
  PADRES NATIONAL FOREST.

* WIND...WEST TO NORTHWEST 10-20 MPH LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
  BECOMING NORTHWEST AND INCREASING WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY
  MORNING WHEN RIDGE LEVEL WIND GUSTS FROM 35-40 MPH ARE FORECAST.

* HUMIDITY...GOOD RECOVERY BELOW 2000 FEET BUT CONTINUED VERY DRY
  ABOVE 2500 FEET WITH HUMIDITY GENERALLY 20-30%

* HIGHEST THREAT...IS FOR ACTIVE FIRE AREAS ON THE SOBERANES FIRE.
  NIGHT OPERATIONS WILL BE ADVERSELY IMPACTED WITH THE STRONGEST
  WINDS EXPECTED DURING THE PRE-DAWN HOURS OF THURSDAY. EXCESSIVE
  SMOKE AND STRONG WINDS WILL LIKELY IMPACT AIR OPERATIONS
  THURSDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...ANY EXISTING AND NEW SPOT FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL
  LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND DROUGHT STRESSED FUELS 
CAN CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$
RWALBRUN
5 follow-up statements
454 
WWUS86 KMTR 211028
RFWMTR

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO CA
328 AM PDT WED SEP 21 2016

...DRY COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE TO BRING STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS TO
THE SOBERANES FIRE...

.A DRY COLD FRONT WILL REACH MONTEREY COUNTY STARTING THIS AFTERNOON.
NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE AS THE FRONT APPROACHES THIS
AFTERNOON. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE OVER THE RIDGES ABOVE 3000
FEET NEAR CHEWS RIDGE AND TASSAJARA ROAD WHERE GUSTS FROM 35-40
MPH WILL BE COMMON BY THURSDAY MORNING. STRONG AND GUSTY NORTHERLY
RIDGE TOP WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY THURSDAY BEFORE
GRADUALLY DIMINISHING THURSDAY EVENING. EVEN THOUGH TEMPERATURES
WILL BE COOL WITH SLIGHTLY HIGHER HUMIDITY ON THURSDAY...WINDS OF
THIS MAGNITUDE WILL CREATE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

CAZ517-211800-
/O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0002.160921T2200Z-160923T0400Z/
SANTA LUCIA MOUNTAINS AND LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
328 AM PDT WED SEP 21 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
9 PM PDT THURSDAY FOR STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONE 517...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 517 WHICH INCLUDES THE 
  SOBERANES WILDFIRE AND THE MONTEREY RANGER DISTRICT OF THE LOS 
  PADRES NATIONAL FOREST. 

* WIND...WEST TO NORTHWEST 10-20 MPH LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON 
  BECOMING NORTHWEST AND INCREASING WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO 
  THURSDAY MORNING WHEN RIDGE LEVEL WIND GUSTS FROM 35-40 MPH 
  ARE FORECAST.

* HUMIDITY...GOOD RECOVERY BELOW 2000 FEET BUT CONTINUED VERY 
  DRY ABOVE 2500 FEET WITH HUMIDITY GENERALLY 20-30% 

* HIGHEST THREAT...IS FOR ACTIVE FIRE AREAS ON THE SOBERANES
  FIRE. NIGHT OPERATIONS WILL BE ADVERSELY IMPACTED WITH THE 
  STRONGEST WINDS EXPECTED DURING THE PRE-DAWN HOURS OF 
  THURSDAY. EXCESSIVE SMOKE AND STRONG WINDS WILL LIKELY IMPACT 
  AIR OPERATIONS THURSDAY MORNING. 

* IMPACTS...ANY EXISTING AND NEW SPOT FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL 
  LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND DROUGHT STRESSED FUELS
CAN CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$
341 
WWUS86 KMTR 211804
RFWMTR

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO CA
1104 AM PDT WED SEP 21 2016

...DRY COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE TO BRING STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS TO
THE SOBERANES FIRE...

.A DRY COLD FRONT WILL REACH MONTEREY COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON WITH
INCREASING NORTHWEST WINDS. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR
OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE OVER THE
RIDGES ABOVE 3000 FEET NEAR CHEWS RIDGE AND TASSAJARA ROAD WHERE
GUSTS FROM 35-40 MPH WILL BE COMMON BY THURSDAY MORNING. STRONG
AND GUSTY NORTHERLY RIDGE TOP WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY
THURSDAY BEFORE GRADUALLY DIMINISHING THURSDAY EVENING. EVEN
THOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOL WITH SLIGHTLY HIGHER HUMIDITY ON
THURSDAY...WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE WILL CREATE CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS.

CAZ517-221130-
/O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0002.160921T2200Z-160923T0400Z/
SANTA LUCIA MOUNTAINS AND LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
1104 AM PDT WED SEP 21 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
9 PM PDT THURSDAY FOR STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONE 517...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 517 WHICH INCLUDES THE 
  SOBERANES WILDFIRE AND THE MONTEREY RANGER DISTRICT OF THE LOS 
  PADRES NATIONAL FOREST. 

* WIND...WEST TO NORTHWEST 10-20 MPH LATE THIS AFTERNOON BECOMING
  NORTHWEST AND INCREASING OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING WHEN
  RIDGE LEVEL WIND GUSTS FROM 35-40 MPH ARE FORECAST.

* HUMIDITY...GOOD RECOVERY BELOW 2000 FEET BUT CONTINUED VERY 
  DRY ABOVE 2500 FEET WITH HUMIDITY GENERALLY 20-30%

* HIGHEST THREAT...IS FOR ACTIVE FIRE AREAS ON THE SOBERANES 
  FIRE. NIGHT OPERATIONS WILL BE ADVERSELY IMPACTED WITH THE 
  STRONGEST WINDS EXPECTED DURING THE PRE-DAWN HOURS OF 
  THURSDAY. EXCESSIVE SMOKE AND STRONG WINDS WILL LIKELY IMPACT 
  AIR OPERATIONS THURSDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...ANY EXISTING AND NEW SPOT FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL 
  LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND DROUGHT STRESSED FUELS
CAN CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$
386 
WWUS86 KMTR 221055
RFWMTR

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO CA
355 AM PDT THU SEP 22 2016

...STRONG AND GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS FORECAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL
COAST AND SOBERANES FIRE...

.STRONG AND GUSTY NORTHERLY RIDGE TOP WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
TODAY BEFORE GRADUALLY DIMINISHING LATER THIS EVENING. EVEN
THOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOL WITH SLIGHTLY HIGHER HUMIDITY
VALUES TODAY...WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE WILL CREATE CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS.

CAZ517-222200-
/O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160923T0400Z/
SANTA LUCIA MOUNTAINS AND LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
355 AM PDT THU SEP 22 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT THIS EVENING
FOR STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 517...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 517 WHICH INCLUDES THE 
  SOBERANES WILDFIRE AND THE MONTEREY RANGER DISTRICT OF THE LOS 
  PADRES NATIONAL FOREST. 

* WIND...WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS 15-25 MPH WITH RIDGE LEVEL WIND
  GUSTS FROM 35-40 MPH THROUGH THIS EVENING.

* HUMIDITY...GOOD RECOVERY BELOW 2000 FEET BUT CONTINUED VERY 
  DRY ABOVE 2500 FEET WITH HUMIDITY GENERALLY 20-30%

* HIGHEST THREAT...IS FOR ACTIVE FIRE AREAS ON THE SOBERANES FIRE.
  NIGHT OPERATIONS WILL BE ADVERSELY IMPACTED WITH THE STRONGEST
  WINDS EXPECTED DURING THE PRE-DAWN HOURS. EXCESSIVE SMOKE AND
  STRONG WINDS WILL LIKELY IMPACT AIR OPERATIONS THIS MORNING.

* IMPACTS...ANY EXISTING AND NEW SPOT FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL 
  LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND DROUGHT STRESSED FUELS
CAN CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$
571 
WWUS86 KMTR 221930
RFWMTR

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO CA
1230 PM PDT THU SEP 22 2016

...STRONG AND GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS OVER THE SOBERANES FIRE...

.STRONG AND GUSTY NORTHERLY RIDGE TOP WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THIS EVENING. EVEN THOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOL WITH HIGHER
HUMIDITY VALUES TODAY...WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE WILL CREATE
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

CAZ517-230400-
/O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160923T0400Z/
SANTA LUCIA MOUNTAINS AND LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
1230 PM PDT THU SEP 22 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT THIS EVENING
FOR STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 517...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 517 WHICH INCLUDES THE 
  SOBERANES WILDFIRE AND THE MONTEREY RANGER DISTRICT OF THE LOS 
  PADRES NATIONAL FOREST. 

* WIND...NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS 15-25 MPH WITH RIDGE LEVEL WIND
  GUSTS FROM 35-40 MPH THROUGH THIS EVENING.

* HUMIDITY...HUMIDITY VALUES 25-40% THROUGH SUNSET.

* IMPACTS...ANY EXISTING AND NEW SPOT FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL 
  LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND DROUGHT STRESSED FUELS
CAN CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$
519 
WWUS86 KMTR 230349
RFWMTR

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO CA
849 PM PDT THU SEP 22 2016

CAZ517-230500-
/O.EXP.KMTR.FW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160923T0400Z/
SANTA LUCIA MOUNTAINS AND LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
849 PM PDT THU SEP 22 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR
STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 517...

GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS ACROSS THE RIDGE TOPS OF THE SANTA LUCIA
RANGE AND LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST FIRE WILL PERSIST THROUGH
TONIGHT...HOWEVER THEY ARE FORECAST TO GRADUALLY EASE OVERNIGHT.
WITH RELATIVELY MOIST RH VALUES AND DECREASING WINDS CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AND THE RED FLAG
WARNING WILL BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

$$

CW

The office that day

Everything else NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 20, 2:35 PM PDTSmall Craft AdvisoryMTR42 hr

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in California, 2016Every red flag warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.