Alert archive / Arizona / Flash Flood Warnings in 2015

Flash Flood Warning 4, NWS Tucson, AZ

July 12, 2015Graham County, Arizona

NWS Tucson, AZ issued this flash flood warning at Jul 12, 2015, 3:43 PM MST for Graham County, Arizona. It was in force for 2 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 12, 2015, 3:43 PM MST (22:43 UTC)
Expired
Jul 12, 2015, 5:45 PM MST
In force
2 hr
Issued by
NWS Tucson, AZ
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

County Graham County, AZ

The radar

The Tucson radar (KEMX), 107 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Tuscon, AZ (KDMA), launched 12:00Z, 10.7 hours before the alert went out and 106 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tuscon, AZ at 12:00Z on 2015-07-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tuscon, AZ at 12:00Z on 2015-07-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 28 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2356 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
23 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
28 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
109 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

656 
WGUS55 KTWC 122243
FFWTWC
AZC009-130045-
/O.NEW.KTWC.FF.W.0004.150712T2243Z-150713T0045Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
343 PM MST SUN JUL 12 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TUCSON HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  SOUTH CENTRAL GRAHAM COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN ARIZONA...

* UNTIL 545 PM MST
    
* AT 340 PM MST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS 
  THAT WENT THROUGH THE SOUTHWEST PORTIONS OF THE PINALENO MOUNTAINS
  PRODUCED 1.50 TO 2.50 INCHES OF RAIN. RAINFALL RUNOFF WILL SWIFTLY 
  DRAIN INTO ASH CREEK RESULTING IN FLASH FLOODING...IMPACTING THE TOWNS OF 
  FORT GRANT AND BONITA. 

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
  BONITA AND FORT GRANT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD
DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.

&&

LAT...LON 3268 10987 3260 10986 3252 11003 3277 11001

$$
1 follow-up statement
817 
WGUS75 KTWC 130042
FFSTWC

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
542 PM MST SUN JUL 12 2015

AZC009-130050-
/O.EXP.KTWC.FF.W.0004.000000T0000Z-150713T0045Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GRAHAM AZ-
542 PM MST SUN JUL 12 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL GRAHAM COUNTY WILL
EXPIRE AT 545 PM MST...

THE HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED...AND FLOODING IS NO LONGER EXPECTED TO 
POSE A THREAT AT THIS TIME.  ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS 
MAY MOVE INTO SOUTHERN GRAHAM COUNTY THIS EVENING SO STAY TUNED TO
YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR UPDATES.

LAT...LON 3268 10987 3260 10986 3252 11003 3277 11001

$$

KD

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tucson, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 11, 5:22 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTWC38 min
Jul 11, 5:54 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTWCGraham36 min
Jul 11, 6:24 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTWCGraham51 min
Jul 11, 7:25 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryTWCGraham3 hr
Jul 12, 12:58 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTWCSanta Cruz32 min
Jul 12, 1:46 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTWCSanta Cruz44 min
Jul 12, 1:52 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTWC38 min
Jul 12, 2:01 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTWCCochise, Graham29 min
Jul 12, 2:20 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTWCSanta Cruz40 min
Jul 12, 2:28 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTWCGraham47 min
Jul 12, 2:41 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryTWCCochise, Graham3 hr
Jul 12, 2:54 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTWCPima23 min
Jul 12, 3:16 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTWCCochise44 min
Jul 12, 3:58 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningTWCSanta Cruz2 hr
Jul 12, 4:21 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTWCCochise39 min
Jul 12, 4:40 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTWCCochise50 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Arizona, 2015Every flash flood warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.