Alert archive / Florida / River Flood Warnings in 2015
River Flood Warning 21, NWS Tampa Bay, FL
NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued this river flood warning at Aug 20, 2015, 9:47 PM EDT for Manatee County, Florida. It took effect at Aug 21, 2015, 12:30 PM EDT. It was in force for 17 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 20, 2015, 9:47 PM EDT (01:47 UTC)
- In effect from
- Aug 21, 2015, 12:30 PM EDT
- Expired
- Aug 22, 2015, 5:00 AM EDT
- In force
- 17 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Tampa Bay, FL
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
County Manatee County, FL
The radar
The Tampa radar (KTBW), 29 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Manatee River near Myakka Head at SR 64 (MKHF1). The gauge peaked at 11.65 ft at Aug 21, 2015, 8:00 PM EDT.
- Action stage
- 9.5 ft
- Minor stage
- 11 ft
- Moderate stage
- 15 ft
- Major stage
- 17 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02299950, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
672
WGUS42 KTBW 210147
FLWTBW
Bulletin - Immediate Broadcast Requested
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL
947 PM EDT THU AUG 20 2015
...A river Flood Warning has been issued for...
the Manatee River near Myakka Head...
.The Manatee River near Myakke Head will rise to flood stage after recent
heavy rains.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive cars through flooded areas...
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.
&&
FLC081-211447-
/O.NEW.KTBW.FL.W.0021.150821T1630Z-150822T0900Z/
/MKHF1.1.ER.150821T1630Z.150822T0000Z.150822T0300Z.NO/
947 PM EDT THU AUG 20 2015
The National Weather Service in Tampa has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The Manatee River Near Myakka Head
* From Friday afternoon until late Friday night.
* At 9 PM Thursday the stage was...9.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 11 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by early tomorrow afternoon
and continue to rise to near 11.3 feet by tomorrow evening.
* Impact...at 11 feet...Private road and bridge 1 mile downstream flood.
Agricultural, rural Kibler area begins to flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.3 feet on Aug 10
1983.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Manatee
Myakka Head 11 9.6 Thu 09 PM 10.7 9.9 9.9 10.1 8.0
&&
LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
2751 8224 2753 8224
$$2 follow-up statements
552
WGUS82 KTBW 210226
FLSTBW
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL
1026 PM EDT THU AUG 20 2015
...A river Flood Warning continues for...
the Withlacoochee River at Trilby...
the Cypress Creek at Worthington Gardens...
the Alafia River at Lithia...
the Myakka River at Myakka River State Park...
the Peace River at Zolfo Springs...
and the Peace River at Arcadia...
.A prolonged summer rainy period has caused many area rivers and creeks
to rise to minor flood stage.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive cars through flooded areas...
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.
&&
FLC053-101-211526-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TRBF1.1.ER.150815T2245Z.150821T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1026 PM EDT THU AUG 20 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Withlacoochee At Trilby
* Until further notice.
* At 9 PM Thursday the stage was 13.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 13.2 feet by Sunday morning then begin
falling.
* Impact...at 12 feet...Flooding begins at Lacoochee, Talisman Estates,
Riverdale, and River Height Estates.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.4 feet on Sep 7
2012.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Withlacoochee
Trilby 12 13.1 Thu 9 PM 13.2 13.2 13.2 13.2 13.1
&&
LAT...LON 2838 8219 2854 8226 2854 8217 2838 8210
$$
FLC101-211526-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WRGF1.1.ER.150728T0530Z.150806T0930Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1026 PM EDT THU AUG 20 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens
* Until further notice.
* At 10 PM Thursday the stage was 9.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 8 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 10 feet by early Sunday morning then
begin falling.
* Impact...at 11 feet...Flooding threatens two homes on State Road 54.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.8 feet on Sep 30
2013.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Cypress Creek
Worthington 8 9.5 Thu 10 PM 9.7 10.0 10.0 9.9 9.7
&&
LAT...LON 2819 8234 2814 8234 2814 8240 2819 8240
$$
FLC057-211526-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LITF1.1.ER.150817T1350Z.150821T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1026 PM EDT THU AUG 20 2015
...Flood Warning extended...The Flood Warning continues for
The Alafia River At Lithia
* Until further notice.
* At 9 PM Thursday the stage was 14.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 13 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 14.5 feet by early tomorrow afternoon
then begin falling.
* Impact...at 15 feet...Additional residences downstream of State Road 640
bridge begin flooding.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 14.4 feet on Aug 29
2012.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Alafia
Lithia 13 14.2 Thu 09 PM 14.4 14.1 13.9 14.0 13.7
&&
LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218
$$
FLC081-211526-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0021.150821T1630Z-150822T0900Z/
/MKHF1.1.ER.150821T1630Z.150822T0000Z.150822T0300Z.NO/
1026 PM EDT THU AUG 20 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Manatee River Near Myakka Head
* From early tomorrow afternoon through late Friday night.
* At 9 PM Thursday the stage was 9.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by early tomorrow afternoon
and continue to rise to near 11.3 feet by tomorrow evening.
* Impact...at 11 feet...Private road and bridge 1 mile downstream flood.
Agricultural, rural Kibler area begins to flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.4 feet on Sep 18
2013.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Manatee
Myakka Head 11 9.6 Thu 09 PM 10.7 9.9 9.9 10.1 8.0
&&
LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
2751 8224 2753 8224
$$
FLC115-211526-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.1.ER.150727T1300Z.150818T1830Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1026 PM EDT THU AUG 20 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* Until further notice.
* At 9 PM Thursday the stage was 8.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 7 feet.
* Impact...at 8 feet...The main road at Myakka State Park floods.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 7.2 feet on Sep 9
2013.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Myakka
Myakka Rive 7 8.1 Thu 09 PM 8.1 7.9 7.9 7.8 7.9
&&
LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226
$$
FLC049-211526-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ZFSF1.1.ER.150817T0837Z.150822T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1026 PM EDT THU AUG 20 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Peace River At Zolfo Springs
* Until further notice.
* At 9 PM Thursday the stage was 17.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 17.7 feet by Monday morning then begin
falling.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 17.6 feet on Oct 11
2011.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Peace
Zolfo Sprin 16 17.5 Thu 09 PM 17.6 17.6 17.5 17.7 17.5
&&
LAT...LON 2762 8176 2735 8179 2735 8187 2762 8184
$$
FLC027-211526-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARCF1.1.ER.150818T0230Z.150824T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1026 PM EDT THU AUG 20 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Peace River At Arcadia
* Until further notice.
* At 9 PM Thursday the stage was 11.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 11 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 12.1 feet by Monday early afternoon
then begin falling.
* Impact...at 12 feet...The Girl Scout camp floods.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.1 feet on Jul 30
2013.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Peace
Arcadia 11 11.2 Thu 09 PM 11.5 11.7 11.9 12.1 11.9
&&
LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
2714 8197 2735 8186
$$773
WGUS82 KTBW 211509
FLSTBW
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL
1109 AM EDT FRI AUG 21 2015
...A river Flood Warning continues for...
the Withlacoochee River at Trilby...
the Cypress Creek at Worthington Gardens...
the Alafia River at Lithia...
the Myakka River at Myakka River State Park...
the Peace River at Zolfo Springs...
and the Peace River at Arcadia...
and the river Flood Warnings are cancelled for the Manatee River
near Myakka Head and the Horse Creek near Arcadia...
.A prolonged summer rainy period has caused many area rivers and creeks
to rise into minor flood stage.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive cars through flooded areas...
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.
&&
FLC053-101-221509-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TRBF1.1.ER.150815T2245Z.150822T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1109 AM EDT FRI AUG 21 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Withlacoochee At Trilby
* Until further notice.
* At 10 AM Friday the stage was 13.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 13.3 feet by Saturday morning then
begin falling.
* Impact...at 14.2 feet...River road east of the river is flooded. One campsite
at the park is flooded. Peterson Park is flooded and closed. One home on
Cercelia road is isolated. The Florida Campland is flooded. Wood River Court
homes are isolated. And the Withlacoochee River canoe rental is flooded.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...Flooding begins at Lacoochee, Talisman Estates,
Riverdale, and River Height Estates.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.4 feet on Sep 7
2012.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Withlacoochee
Trilby 12 13.3 Fri 10 AM 13.3 13.2 13.2 13.1 13.0
&&
LAT...LON 2838 8219 2854 8226 2854 8217 2838 8210
$$
FLC101-221509-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WRGF1.1.ER.150728T0530Z.150806T0930Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1109 AM EDT FRI AUG 21 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens
* Until further notice.
* At 10 AM Friday the stage was 9.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 10.0 feet by tomorrow evening then
begin falling.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Flooding threatens two homes on State Road 54.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...Flooding begins at the recreation area on State Road
54.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.8 feet on Sep 30
2013.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Cypress Creek
Worthington 8 9.7 Fri 10 AM 10.0 10.0 9.8 9.5 9.3
&&
LAT...LON 2819 8234 2814 8234 2814 8240 2819 8240
$$
FLC057-221509-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-150825T0600Z/
/LITF1.1.ER.150817T1350Z.150821T1400Z.150825T0000Z.NO/
1109 AM EDT FRI AUG 21 2015
...The Flood Warning continues
for the Alafia River At Lithia
* Until late Monday night.
* At 10 AM Friday the stage was 14.8 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by Monday evening.
* Impact...at 15.0 feet...Additional residences downstream of State Road 640
bridge begin flooding.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...River Drive and Squirrel Run Way downstream of State
Road 640 are completely covered by water. One home begins to flood.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...Water begins to affect River Drive and Squirrel Run
Way downstream of State Road 640.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 14.4 feet on Aug 29
2012.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Alafia
Lithia 13 14.8 Fri 10 AM 14.0 13.7 13.3 12.7 12.2
&&
LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218
$$
FLC115-221509-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.1.ER.150727T1300Z.150818T1830Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1109 AM EDT FRI AUG 21 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* Until further notice.
* At 10 AM Friday the stage was 8.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river will fall very slowly during the next week.
* Impact...at 8.5 feet...Most of Myakka State Park is closed.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...The main road at Myakka State Park floods.
* Impact...at 7.0 feet...Trails, picnic areas, and parking lots at Myakka State
Park flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 7.2 feet on Sep 9
2013.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Myakka
Myakka Rive 7 8.1 Fri 10 AM 7.9 7.9 7.7 7.6 7.5
&&
LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226
$$
FLC105-221509-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0022.150823T0000Z-150826T0600Z/
/BARF1.1.ER.150823T0000Z.150823T1200Z.150826T0000Z.NO/
1109 AM EDT FRI AUG 21 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Peace River At Bartow
* From tomorrow evening through late Tuesday night.
* At 10 AM Friday the stage was 7.6 feet and forecast to rise just past
its flood stage.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow evening and
continue to rise to near 8.1 feet by Sunday evening. the river is expected to
fall below flood stage by Tuesday evening.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...Private roads downstream flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.1 feet on Oct 14
2011.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Peace
Bartow 8 7.6 Fri 10 AM 7.9 8.1 8.1 8.0 7.8
&&
LAT...LON 2791 8178 2762 8176 2762 8184 2791 8186
$$
FLC049-221509-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ZFSF1.1.ER.150817T0837Z.150824T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1109 AM EDT FRI AUG 21 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Peace River At Zolfo Springs
* Until further notice.
* At 10 AM Friday the stage was 17.6 feet and steady.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* The river will remain near its present level for the next several days.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 17.6 feet on Oct 11
2011.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Peace
Zolfo Sprin 16 17.6 Fri 10 AM 17.5 17.5 17.7 17.5 17.2
&&
LAT...LON 2762 8176 2735 8179 2735 8187 2762 8184
$$
FLC027-221509-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARCF1.1.ER.150818T0230Z.150824T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1109 AM EDT FRI AUG 21 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Peace River At Arcadia
* Until further notice.
* At 10 AM Friday the stage was 11.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river will rise to near 11.8 feet by Monday morning then begin
falling.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The Girl Scout camp floods.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Access roads to river acres become flooded.
* Impact...at 10.0 feet...3 to 4 homes in the river acres subdivision flood and
the lowest portion of the girl scout camp floods.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.1 feet on Jul 30
2013.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Peace
Arcadia 11 11.3 Fri 10 AM 11.6 11.7 11.8 11.6 11.5
&&
LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
2714 8197 2735 8186
$$
FLC081-211539-
/O.CAN.KTBW.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-150822T0900Z/
/MKHF1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1109 AM EDT FRI AUG 21 2015
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
The Manatee River Near Myakka Head.
* At 10 AM Friday the stage was 9.9 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...A private road and bridge 1 mile downstream flood.
Agricultural, rural Kibler area begins to flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest
of 11.4 feet on Sep 18 2013.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Manatee
Myakka Head 11 9.9 Fri 10 AM 9.3 8.8 7.7 6.3 5.4
&&
LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
2751 8224 2753 8224
$$
FLC027-221509-
/O.ROU.KTBW.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARHF1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1109 AM EDT FRI AUG 21 2015
The flood warning is cancelled for the Horse Creek
near Arcadia.
* At 10 AM Friday the stage was 11.6 feet and steady.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet
* Forecast...The river will remain just below its flood stage for the
next few days.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The access road to Hidden Acres is impassable.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Secondary roads in hidden acres and royal palm begin
to flood.
* Impact...at 10.5 feet...Two homes become isolated.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest
of 12.7 feet on Sep 26 2013.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Horse Creek
Arcadia 12 11.6 Fri 10 AM 11.6 11.8 11.8 11.6 11.3
&&
LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201
$$The office that day
Everything else NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 9:14 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | TBW | Lee | 46 min |
| Aug 21, 10:43 AM EDT | River Flood Warning | TBW | Polk | 5 days |
| Aug 21, 2:53 PM EDT | River Flood Warning | TBW | Manatee | 16 hr |
| Aug 21, 4:09 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | TBW | Charlotte | 36 min |
| Aug 21, 5:25 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | TBW | Highlands | 50 min |
| Aug 21, 6:51 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | TBW | Hardee | 39 min |
| Aug 21, 7:29 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | TBW | Hardee | 46 min |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Florida, 2015Every river flood warning in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.