Alert archive / Louisiana / Tornado Watches in 2015
Tornado Watch 521
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Oct 25, 2015, 7:12 PM CDT for 9 parishes in Louisiana; Hancock County, Harrison County, Jackson County, Mississippi. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 25, 2015, 7:12 PM CDT (00:12 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 26, 2015, 2:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 0.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
Counties Jefferson Parish, LA, Lafourche Parish, LA, Orleans Parish, LA, Plaquemines Parish, LA, Saint Bernard Parish, LA, Saint Charles Parish, LA, Saint John the Baptist Parish, LA, Saint Tammany Parish, LA, Terrebonne Parish, LA, Hancock County, MS, Harrison County, MS, Jackson County, MS
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 10%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 5%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 30%
Warnings issued inside it
3 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 7:21 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LIX | Lafourche, Saint Charles | 39 min |
| Oct 25, 8:44 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LIX | Lafourche, Terrebonne | 31 min |
| Oct 25, 9:44 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LIX | Jefferson, Saint Charles | 31 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Slidell Radar S, LA (KSIL), launched 00:00Z, 0.2 hours before the alert went out and 43 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 318 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 488 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 64 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 468 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 554 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.8
- Supercell composite
- 3.6
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
957 WWUS20 KWNS 260010 SEL1 SPC WW 260010 LAZ000-MSZ000-CWZ000-260700- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 521 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 710 PM CDT SUN OCT 25 2015 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA COASTAL MISSISSIPPI COASTAL WATERS * EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 710 PM UNTIL 200 AM CDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE SUMMARY...A GRADUAL INCREASE IN TORNADO THREAT IS APPARENT ACROSS THE WATCH AREA AND SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST PART OF THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. GIVEN THE LIKELIHOOD OF A FEW MORE SUPERCELLS DEVELOPING FROM THIS POINT FORWARD...THIS TORNADO WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT. OTHERWISE...SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1887 FOR INITIAL METEOROLOGICAL REASONING. THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA TO 50 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF GULFPORT MISSISSIPPI. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. && AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 17525. ...EDWARDS
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 10:15 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Jefferson, Lafourche, Orleans, Plaquemines, Saint Bernard, Saint Charles and 4 more | 2 hr |
| Oct 26, 1:32 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Saint Bernard | 118 min |
| Oct 26, 2:05 AM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Saint Bernard | 7 hr |
| Oct 25, 7:53 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | George, Jackson | 3 hr |
| Oct 26, 7:32 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | George, Jackson | 118 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2015Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.