Alert archive / New Jersey / Areal Flood Warnings in 2015
Areal Flood Warning 2, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this areal flood warning at Jan 18, 2015, 3:57 PM EST for 7 counties in New Jersey; Bucks County, Pennsylvania. It was in force for 10 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 18, 2015, 3:57 PM EST (20:57 UTC)
- Expired
- Jan 19, 2015, 2:00 AM EST
- In force
- 10 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- None
Counties Burlington County, NJ, Hunterdon County, NJ, Mercer County, NJ, Middlesex County, NJ, Monmouth County, NJ, Morris County, NJ, Somerset County, NJ, Bucks County, PA
The radar
The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 64 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 12:00Z, 9.0 hours before the alert went out and 137 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 660 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 61 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 367 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 375 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
281
WGUS41 KPHI 182057
FLWPHI
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
357 PM EST SUN JAN 18 2015
NJC005-019-021-023-025-027-035-PAC017-190700-
/O.NEW.KPHI.FA.W.0002.150118T2057Z-150119T0700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HUNTERDON NJ-MERCER NJ-MORRIS NJ-SOMERSET NJ-BUCKS PA-MIDDLESEX NJ-
BURLINGTON NJ-MONMOUTH NJ-
357 PM EST SUN JAN 18 2015
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD WARNING FOR SMALL STREAMS IN...
HUNTERDON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...
MERCER COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...
SOUTHERN MORRIS COUNTY IN NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...
SOMERSET COUNTY IN NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...
EAST CENTRAL BUCKS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...
MIDDLESEX COUNTY IN NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...
NORTH CENTRAL BURLINGTON COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...
WESTERN MONMOUTH COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...
* UNTIL 200 AM EST MONDAY
* AT 354 PM EST STREAMS WERE RISING STEADILY AND WHILE THE HEAVIEST
RAIN HAS ALREADY OCCURRED...STREAMS WILL CONTINUE RISING INTO THIS
EVENING. STREAMS IN HUNTERDON...SOMERSET AND MIDDLESEX COUNTIES
AND SOUTHERN MORRIS COUNTIES ARE MOST VULNERABLE.
* THE NESHANIC IN REAVILLE IS FIRST UP FOR POSSIBLE FLOODING BY 5 PM.
A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.
ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS IMMEDIATELY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE ELEVATED LEVELS ON
SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...AND PONDING OF WATER ON COUNTRY ROADS AND
FARMLAND ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS.
A FLOOD WARNING MEANS FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT. MOST
FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
WATER COVERED BRIDGES...DIPS...OR LOW WATER CROSSINGS. NEVER TRY TO
CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...EVEN A SMALL ONE...ON FOOT. TO ESCAPE RISING
WATER MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND.
&&
LAT...LON 4004 7462 4043 7517 4089 7465 4076 7436
4068 7445 4066 7445 4067 7440 4060 7444
4061 7421 4056 7421 4055 7424 4049 7426
4045 7420 4046 7418
$$
DRAG3 follow-up statements
118
WGUS81 KPHI 182128
FLSPHI
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
428 PM EST SUN JAN 18 2015
NJC005-019-021-023-025-027-035-PAC017-190700-
/O.CON.KPHI.FA.W.0002.000000T0000Z-150119T0700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HUNTERDON NJ-MERCER NJ-MORRIS NJ-SOMERSET NJ-BUCKS PA-MIDDLESEX NJ-
BURLINGTON NJ-MONMOUTH NJ-
428 PM EST SUN JAN 18 2015
...THE FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM EST MONDAY FOR
SMALL STREAMS IN WESTERN MONMOUTH...NORTH CENTRAL BURLINGTON...
MIDDLESEX...EAST CENTRAL BUCKS...SOMERSET...SOUTHERN MORRIS...MERCER
AND HUNTERDON COUNTIES...
AT 421 PM THE NESHANIC RIVER IN REAVILLE OF HUNTERDON COUNTY HAS
RISEN OUT OF ITS BANKS AND WAS IN FLOOD.
OTHER STREAMS IN NORTH CENTRAL NEW JERSEY WILL BE RISING THROUGH THE
NIGHT...INCLUDING THE MILLSTONE AT GRIGGSTOWN AND BLACKWELLS
MILLS...THE MIDDLE BROOK AT BURNT MILLS AND THE GREEN BROOK AT
PLAINFIELD.
A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.
STREAM RISES WILL BE STEADY. ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE
NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS IMMEDIATELY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE ELEVATED LEVELS ON
SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...AND PONDING OF WATER ON COUNTRY ROADS AND
FARMLAND ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS.
A FLOOD WARNING MEANS FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT. MOST
FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
WATER COVERED BRIDGES...DIPS...OR LOW WATER CROSSINGS. NEVER TRY TO
CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...EVEN A SMALL ONE...ON FOOT. TO ESCAPE RISING
WATER MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND.
&&
LAT...LON 4004 7462 4043 7517 4089 7465 4076 7436
4068 7445 4066 7445 4067 7440 4060 7444
4061 7421 4056 7421 4055 7424 4049 7426
4045 7420 4046 7418
$$
DRAG778
WGUS81 KPHI 190146
FLSPHI
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
846 PM EST SUN JAN 18 2015
NJC005-019-021-023-025-027-035-PAC017-190700-
/O.CON.KPHI.FA.W.0002.000000T0000Z-150119T0700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HUNTERDON NJ-MERCER NJ-MORRIS NJ-SOMERSET NJ-BUCKS PA-MIDDLESEX NJ-
BURLINGTON NJ-MONMOUTH NJ-
846 PM EST SUN JAN 18 2015
...THE FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM EST FOR SMALL
STREAMS IN WESTERN MONMOUTH...NORTH CENTRAL BURLINGTON...MIDDLESEX...
EAST CENTRAL BUCKS...SOMERSET...SOUTHERN MORRIS...MERCER AND
HUNTERDON COUNTIES...
AT 840 PM THERE WERE STILL SEVERAL RIVERS INCHING UP TO TOWARD FLOOD
STAGE WITH THE NESHANIC AT REAVILLE IN HUNTERDON COUNTY NEW JERSEY
HAVING CRESTED ABOUT A FOOT ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AT 615 PM.
THE OVERALL TREND SHOULD BE FOR RIVERS TO CREST OVERNIGHT WITH A
GENERAL RECESSION DEVELOPING BY MORNING.
THIS WARNING MAY BE CANCELLED BY 10 PM, PENDING RECEIPT OF NEW RIVER
STAGE DATA.
A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE ELEVATED LEVELS ON
SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...AND PONDING OF WATER IN URBAN AREAS...
HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS.
A FLOOD WARNING MEANS FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT. MOST
FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
WATER COVERED BRIDGES...DIPS...OR LOW WATER CROSSINGS. NEVER TRY TO
CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...EVEN A SMALL ONE...ON FOOT. TO ESCAPE RISING
WATER MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND.
&&
LAT...LON 4004 7462 4043 7517 4089 7465 4076 7436
4068 7445 4066 7445 4067 7440 4060 7444
4061 7421 4056 7421 4055 7424 4049 7426
4045 7420 4046 7418
$$
DRAG988
WGUS81 KPHI 190543
FLSPHI
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1243 AM EST MON JAN 19 2015
NJC005-019-021-023-025-027-035-PAC017-190551-
/O.CAN.KPHI.FA.W.0002.000000T0000Z-150119T0700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HUNTERDON NJ-MERCER NJ-MORRIS NJ-SOMERSET NJ-BUCKS PA-MIDDLESEX NJ-
BURLINGTON NJ-MONMOUTH NJ-
1243 AM EST MON JAN 19 2015
...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR SMALL STREAMS IN WESTERN
MONMOUTH...NORTH CENTRAL BURLINGTON...MIDDLESEX...EAST CENTRAL
BUCKS...SOMERSET...SOUTHERN MORRIS...MERCER AND HUNTERDON COUNTIES...
ALL SMALLER GAGED CREEKS AND RIVERS HAVE RETURNED WITHIN THEIR
BANKS. THERE IS SOME FLOODING ALONG THE MILLSTONE RIVER THAT HAS
CLOSED CAUSEWAYS AND THE MILLSTONE RIVER AT BLACKWELLS MILLS AS WELL
AS THE NORTH BRANCH OF THE RANCOCAS CREEK ARE EXPECTED TO CREST NEAR
FLOOD STAGE LATER TODAY.
THERE ARE SEPARATE SPECIAL RIVER STATEMENTS BEING ISSUED FOR THESE
TWO FORECAST POINTS.
PLEASE BE WARY IF DRIVING THAT THERE WILL BE ICY SPOTS DEVELOPING IF
NOT ALREADY WHERE WATER HAS PONDED FROM YESTERDAY'S HEAVY RAINS.
LAT...LON 4004 7462 4043 7517 4089 7465 4076 7436
4068 7445 4066 7445 4067 7440 4060 7444
4061 7421 4056 7421 4055 7424 4049 7426
4045 7420 4046 7418
$$
TFGThe office that day
Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 6:58 AM EST | Freezing Rain Advisory | PHI | Burlington, Camden, Gloucester, Hunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex and 5 more | 6 hr |
| Jan 18, 11:22 AM EST | Areal Flood Advisory | PHI | Atlantic, Burlington, Camden, Cumberland, Gloucester, Salem | 6 hr |
| Jan 18, 11:43 AM EST | Areal Flood Warning | PHI | Burlington, Camden, Gloucester, Salem | 10 hr |
| Jan 18, 11:57 AM EST | Areal Flood Advisory | PHI | Burlington, Hunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex, Monmouth, Morris and 2 more | 8 hr |
| Jan 18, 2:24 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | PHI | Ocean | 36 min |
Nearby
Areal Flood Warnings in New Jersey, 2015Areal Flood Warnings in Pennsylvania, 2015Every areal flood warning in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.